Cathie Wood 剛剛雙倍下注了她對比特幣 100 萬美元的價格預測。她是對的嗎？

到 2030 年，比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）的價格將達到 100 萬美元。

Cathie Wood, the founder, CEO, and CIO of Ark Invest, made headlines in 2023 when she boldly predicted that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) would reach a price of $1 million by 2030.

Ark Invest 創辦人、執行長兼資訊長 Cathie Wood 在 2023 年成為頭條新聞，當時她大膽預測比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）的價格到 2030 年將達到 100 萬美元。

That was well before Bitcoin ever broke through the $100,000 price level, and well before the launch of the new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024. The prediction came when Bitcoin was emerging from the crypto winter of 2022, and its prospects looked uncertain at best.

那是在比特幣突破10 萬美元價格水準之前，也是在2024 年1 月推出新的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF) 之前。際做出的，其前景充其量是不確定的。

Now, Wood has doubled down on her prediction, saying that she believes Bitcoin could actually reach a price of $1.5 million by 2030. She made the comments in a recent interview with CNBC.

現在，伍德更加堅定了她的預測，表示她相信到 2030 年，比特幣的價格實際上可能會達到 150 萬美元。

"I think we're going to see a lot of institutional interest in the coming years," Wood said. "And I think that's what's going to drive the price of Bitcoin up."

「我認為未來幾年我們將看到很多機構的興趣，」伍德說。 “我認為這將推動比特幣價格上漲。”

Wood has long been bullish on Bitcoin, and she believes that it has the potential to become a global reserve currency. She also believes that the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETFs will help to legitimize Bitcoin in the eyes of institutional investors.

伍德長期以來一直看好比特幣，她認為比特幣有潛力成為全球儲備貨幣。她也認為，現貨比特幣ETF的推出將有助於使比特幣在機構投資者眼中合法化。

"I think the ETFs are going to be a big catalyst for institutional adoption," Wood said. "And I think that's what's going to drive the price of Bitcoin up."

「我認為 ETF 將成為機構採用的重要催化劑，」伍德說。 “我認為這將推動比特幣價格上漲。”

Of course, Wood's prediction is just that -- a prediction. There's no guarantee that Bitcoin will actually reach a price of $1 million or $1.5 million by 2030. But if Wood is right, it would certainly be a windfall for early adopters of the cryptocurrency.

當然，伍德的預測只是一個預測。無法保證到 2030 年，比特幣的價格實際上會達到 100 萬美元或 150 萬美元。

Here's what you need to know about Wood's surprising Bitcoin price prediction and the role ETFs could play in driving institutional investment in the cryptocurrency.

以下是您需要了解的有關 Wood 令人驚訝的比特幣價格預測以及 ETF 在推動機構投資加密貨幣方面可能發揮的作用的資訊。

Why is Wood's Bitcoin price prediction surprising?

為什麼伍德的比特幣價格預測令人驚訝？

When Wood first made her $1 million Bitcoin price prediction in 2023, it was met with skepticism by some. At the time, Bitcoin was still trading below $20,000 and had yet to fully recover from the bear market of 2022.

當 Wood 首次做出 2023 年比特幣價格 100 萬美元的預測時，遭到了一些人的懷疑。當時，比特幣的交易價格仍低於 2 萬美元，尚未完全從 2022 年的熊市中恢復過來。

However, Wood's prediction was based on her analysis of Bitcoin's fundamentals, such as its scarcity, portability, and divisibility. She also took into account the growing institutional interest in the cryptocurrency.

然而，伍德的預測是基於她對比特幣基本面的分析，例如其稀缺性、可移植性和可分割性。她也考慮到機構對加密貨幣日益增長的興趣。

Since then, Bitcoin has rallied to new all-time highs and the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETFs has brought a wave of institutional capital into the cryptocurrency markets. As a result, Wood's prediction now seems more realistic than ever before.

此後，比特幣上漲至歷史新高，現貨比特幣ETF的推出為加密貨幣市場帶來了一波機構資本。因此，伍德的預測現在看起來比以往任何時候都更加現實。

How could ETFs help to drive institutional investment in Bitcoin?

ETF 如何協助推動機構對比特幣的投資？

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are a type of investment vehicle that tracks a specific index, commodity, or asset class. They offer investors a way to gain exposure to a broad range of assets without having to buy and sell them individually.

交易所交易基金 (ETF) 是一種追蹤特定指數、商品或資產類別的投資工具。它們為投資者提供了一種獲得廣泛資產的方式，而無需單獨買賣這些資產。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are designed to track the daily price of Bitcoin, and they offer investors a convenient and cost-effective way to add the cryptocurrency to their portfolios. The launch of these ETFs is expected to attract a large amount of institutional capital into the Bitcoin market.

現貨比特幣 ETF 旨在追蹤比特幣的每日價格，它們為投資者提供了一種方便且經濟高效的方式將加密貨幣添加到他們的投資組合中。這些ETF的推出預計將吸引大量機構資本進入比特幣市場。

This is because institutions, such as pension funds, endowments, and insurance companies, typically prefer to invest in regulated and transparent markets. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC provides institutions with the assurance they need to allocate a portion of their portfolios to the cryptocurrency.

這是因為退休基金、捐贈基金和保險公司等機構通常更喜歡投資受監管和透明的市場。美國證券交易委員會批准現貨比特幣 ETF 為機構提供了將部分投資組合分配給加密貨幣所需的保證。

Increased institutional investment is likely to drive up the demand for Bitcoin, which could lead to higher prices. In turn, this could help to fulfill Wood's bold prediction of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2030.

機構投資的增加可能會推高對比特幣的需求，從而導致價格上漲。反過來，這可能有助於實現 Wood 的大膽預測：到 2030 年，比特幣價格將達到 100 萬美元。