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在之前的牛市中,所有山寨币并没有同时上涨。这不是指10-30%的增长,而是激增300-700%甚至更高。
In previous bull markets, not all altcoins surged simultaneously. This refers not to a 10-30% increase, but to surges of 300-700% or even higher. These rotating surges constitute the entire bull market cycle.
在之前的牛市中,并非所有山寨币都同时飙升。这不是指10-30%的增长,而是激增300-700%甚至更高。这些轮番上涨构成了整个牛市周期。
Funds continuously flow between different tokens, which is why altcoin seasons last not just for a week, but for several months. The previous flow of funds was as follows:
资金在不同代币之间不断流动,这就是为什么山寨币季节不仅持续一周,而是持续几个月。前期资金流向如下:
BTC > ETH > High Market Cap Tokens > Low Market Cap Tokens > BTC……
BTC > ETH > 高市值代币 > 低市值代币 > BTC……
But now this model is outdated, and the current flow of funds is more subtle. Each stage will be discussed in detail below.
但现在这种模式已经过时了,而且目前的资金流向也更加微妙。下面将详细讨论每个阶段。
Stage One
第一阶段
BTC continues to lead as always. Market giants drive the crypto trend, but once BTC stops rising (or its rise slows), other tokens will "take over."
BTC 一如既往地继续领先。市场巨头推动了加密货币趋势,但一旦 BTC 停止上涨(或上涨放缓),其他代币就会“接管”。
Stage Two
第二阶段
SOL, as a standout among altcoins in this cycle, is beginning to rise. Additionally, some major altcoins may follow suit but perform weaker (currently in this stage).
SOL作为本周期山寨币中的佼佼者,开始崛起。此外,一些主要的山寨币可能会效仿,但表现较弱(目前处于此阶段)。
Stage Three
第三阶段
The following tokens may "take over" the rise from SOL:
以下代币可能会“接替”SOL的上涨:
Some tokens may perform poorly or surge late.
有些代币可能表现不佳或较晚飙升。
Stage Four
第四阶段
The most popular narratives dominate this stage. Memecoins, AI, RWA, and some combinations of these narratives, such as AI memes and AI x DePIN, etc.
最流行的叙事主导了这个阶段。 Memecoins、AI、RWA 以及这些叙述的一些组合,例如 AI meme 和 AI x DePIN 等。
Some narratives may be skipped, and players may get stuck. Therefore, choose wisely.
有些叙述可能会被跳过,玩家可能会陷入困境。因此,请明智地选择。
Stage Five
第五阶段
In this stage, low market cap tokens begin to rise rapidly, even increasing hourly. This stage is the best trading opportunity for solid memecoins and fundamentally strong projects. Choose the best-performing tokens, as market surges and drops often occur.
在这个阶段,低市值代币开始快速上涨,甚至每小时都在上涨。这个阶段是坚实的模因币和基本面强大的项目的最佳交易机会。选择表现最好的代币,因为市场经常出现上涨和下跌。
Stage Six
第六阶段
Funds flow back to BTC. As the market matures, these cycles become increasingly difficult to predict. Don’t waste this bull market; you still have time to make life-changing money in the next 5-9 months.
资金流回BTC。随着市场的成熟,这些周期变得越来越难以预测。不要浪费这个牛市;在接下来的 5-9 个月里,你仍然有时间去赚改变生活的钱。
But remember one important thing: you can accumulate wealth in two ways:
但请记住一件重要的事情:您可以通过两种方式积累财富:
Historically, less than 1% of those who try the second method achieve long-term success.
从历史上看,尝试第二种方法的人中只有不到 1% 取得了长期成功。
Therefore, most of your funds should still be held in long-term positions, and if you want to catch every pump opportunity, you should use spare funds (small positions).
因此,你的大部分资金仍应长期持有,如果你想抓住每一个上涨机会,你应该使用闲置资金(小仓位)。
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