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在之前的多頭市場中,所有山寨幣並沒有同時上漲。這不是指10-30%的成長,而是激增300-700%甚至更高。
In previous bull markets, not all altcoins surged simultaneously. This refers not to a 10-30% increase, but to surges of 300-700% or even higher. These rotating surges constitute the entire bull market cycle.
在先前的多頭市場中,並非所有山寨幣都同時飆升。這不是指10-30%的成長,而是激增300-700%甚至更高。這些輪番上漲構成了整個牛市週期。
Funds continuously flow between different tokens, which is why altcoin seasons last not just for a week, but for several months. The previous flow of funds was as follows:
資金在不同代幣之間不斷流動,這就是為什麼山寨幣季節不僅持續一周,而是持續幾個月。前期資金流向如下:
BTC > ETH > High Market Cap Tokens > Low Market Cap Tokens > BTC……
BTC > ETH > 高市值代幣 > 低市值代幣 > BTC…
But now this model is outdated, and the current flow of funds is more subtle. Each stage will be discussed in detail below.
但現在這種模式已經過時了,而且目前的資金流向也更加微妙。以下將詳細討論每個階段。
Stage One
第一階段
BTC continues to lead as always. Market giants drive the crypto trend, but once BTC stops rising (or its rise slows), other tokens will "take over."
BTC 一如既往地繼續領先。市場巨頭推動了加密貨幣趨勢,但一旦 BTC 停止上漲(或上漲放緩),其他代幣就會「接管」。
Stage Two
第二階段
SOL, as a standout among altcoins in this cycle, is beginning to rise. Additionally, some major altcoins may follow suit but perform weaker (currently in this stage).
SOL作為本週期山寨幣的佼佼者,開始崛起。此外,一些主要的山寨幣可能會效仿,但表現較弱(目前處於此階段)。
Stage Three
第三階段
The following tokens may "take over" the rise from SOL:
以下代幣可能會「接替」SOL的上漲:
Some tokens may perform poorly or surge late.
有些代幣可能表現不佳或較晚飆升。
Stage Four
第四階段
The most popular narratives dominate this stage. Memecoins, AI, RWA, and some combinations of these narratives, such as AI memes and AI x DePIN, etc.
最流行的敘事主導了這個階段。 Memecoins、AI、RWA 以及這些敘述的一些組合,例如 AI meme 和 AI x DePIN 等。
Some narratives may be skipped, and players may get stuck. Therefore, choose wisely.
有些敘述可能會被跳過,玩家可能會陷入困境。因此,請明智地選擇。
Stage Five
第五階段
In this stage, low market cap tokens begin to rise rapidly, even increasing hourly. This stage is the best trading opportunity for solid memecoins and fundamentally strong projects. Choose the best-performing tokens, as market surges and drops often occur.
在這個階段,低市值代幣開始快速上漲,甚至每小時都在上漲。這個階段是堅實的模因幣和基本面強大的項目的最佳交易機會。選擇表現最好的代幣,因為市場經常出現上漲和下跌。
Stage Six
第六階段
Funds flow back to BTC. As the market matures, these cycles become increasingly difficult to predict. Don’t waste this bull market; you still have time to make life-changing money in the next 5-9 months.
資金流回BTC。隨著市場的成熟,這些週期變得越來越難以預測。不要浪費這個牛市;在接下來的 5-9 個月裡,你仍然有時間賺改變生活的錢。
But remember one important thing: you can accumulate wealth in two ways:
但請記住一件重要的事情:您可以透過兩種方式累積財富:
Historically, less than 1% of those who try the second method achieve long-term success.
從歷史上看,嘗試第二種方法的人中只有不到 1% 取得了長期成功。
Therefore, most of your funds should still be held in long-term positions, and if you want to catch every pump opportunity, you should use spare funds (small positions).
因此,你的大部分資金仍應長期持有,如果你想抓住每一個上漲機會,你應該使用閒置資金(小部位)。
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