Cardano（ADA）价格在3月管理13.5％

Cardano（ADA）的价格在2月份下降了32％后，在3月的稳定13.5％。第1季度的Altcoin仍下跌15％

Cardano’s (ADA) price has managed a steady 13.5% in March after experiencing a 32% in February. The altcoin is still down 15% in Q1, but technical data is beginning to point to the continuation of the recent positive price action.

Cardano（ADA）的价格在2月份经历了32％的32％后，在3月的稳定13.5％。在第1季度，AltCoin仍在下降15％，但技术数据开始指出最近的正价行动的延续。

Cardano 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Cardano 1天图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Despite ADA price moving sideways between $0.78 and $0.70 over the past 10 days, social sentiment related to the altcoin has hit a new year-to-date high.

尽管ADA价格在过去的10天内侧面偏向0.78美元至0.70美元，但与Altcoin相关的社交情绪却达到了新的年度高潮。

Cardano’s ‘bullish’ sentiment soars to 4-month high

卡达诺的“看涨”情绪飙升至4个月高

According to Santiment, an onchain intelligence platform, Cardano’s social sentiment exhibited its highest positive measurement in four months.

根据Onchain Intelligence平台Santiment的说法，Cardano的社交情绪在四个月内表现出最高的积极测量。

ADA investors received a boost from the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent comments, which classified Cardano’s use case as “smart contracts for government services.” The SEC statement was followed by ADA’s highest ratio of positive comments since the first week of November 24.

ADA投资者从美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近的评论中获得了提升，该评论将Cardano的用例归类为“政府服务的智能合约”。 SEC声明之后，自11月24日第一周以来，ADA的正面评论比例最高。

Cardano’s crowd sentiment score by Santiment. Source: X.com

卡尔达诺（Cardano）的人群情绪得分。资料来源：X.com

A rise in social sentiment is often aligned with increased trading activity and, at times, higher prices. In Q4 2024, a rise in positive social sentiment and active transactions went hand in hand for ADA. However, the environment is slightly different right now.

社会情绪的上升通常与贸易活动增加以及有时更高的价格保持一致。在2024年第四季度，积极的社会情绪和积极交易的上升汇聚了ADA。但是，现在的环境略有不同。

Data from Cardanoscan.io showed a stark difference between the number of active transaction counts from early November 2024 and now. In Q4, the average transaction count remained above 100,000 for most of November and December, but currently, it is roughly down 70%, with the number of transactions coming in at 26,437 on March 18.

来自Cardanoscan.io的数据表明，从2024年11月上旬到现在，主动交易计数数量之间存在明显的差异。在第四季度，11月和12月的大部分时间的平均交易数量仍超过100,000，但目前约为70％，3月18日的交易数量为26,437。

Daily transaction count and fees chart. Source: cardanoscan.io

每日交易计数和费用图表。资料来源：Cardanoscan.io

Regardless of the weak onchain activity, Michael Heinrich, CEO of 0G Labs, told Cointelegraph that Cardano’s strength lies in “lobbying” its community. Speaking on ADA and XRP’s inclusion in a US Digital Asset Stockpile, Heinrich said,

不管0G Labs的首席执行官迈克尔·海因里希（Michael Heinrich）告诉Cointelegraph，Carano的力量在于“游说”其社区。海因里希说

Related: Cardano’s ADA lands spot in US Digital Asset Stockpile — Will it generate value?

相关：Cardano在美国数字资产库存中的ADA Lands景点 - 它会产生价值吗？

ADA to rally 20% before the end of March?

ADA至3月底之前的Rally 20％？

Irrespective of the underwhelming onchain data, ADA price has been receptive to positive news in the past.

不论势不可挡的OnChain数据如何，ADA Price过去都接受了积极的消息。

The altcoin has maintained a position above the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement line despite ADA being in a downtrend since its 2024 high of $1.32. This indicates that ADA’s high-time frame (HTF) chart remains on a technical uptrend.

尽管ADA自2024年高点1.32美元以来，ADA处于下降趋势，但Altcoin一直保持高于0.50的斐波那契反回试。这表明ADA的高级框架（HTF）图表仍处于技术上升趋势。

ADA/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

ADA/USDT 1天图表。资料来源：TradingView

Cardano retained support from the ascending trendline (black line) while oscillating between its parallel channel. Currently, the immediate resistance lies at the upper range of the channel at $0.78, which is supported by the 200-day exponential moving average (200-DEMA, orange line). A positive candle close above the 200-DEMA on the daily chart indicates a bullish shift, potentially triggering a move above $0.78.

Cardano在其平行通道之间振荡时保留了上升趋势线（黑线）的支持。目前，直接电阻在该通道的上部为0.78美元，这是由200天的指数移动平均线（200-DEMA，Orange Line）支持的。在每日图表上超过200 d-Dema的正面蜡烛表明看涨的转变，可能会引发超过0.78美元的移动。

The immediate target above $0.78 lies between 0.84 and $0.88, where a daily fair value gap (FVG) is present. A retest of $0.88 marks a 20% return from its current price.

高于$ 0.78的直接目标位于0.84至0.88美元之间，其中有公允价值差距（FVG）。重新测试为0.88美元，其目前价格为20％。

However, historically, Cardano has exhibited prolonged periods of sideways movement, which could limit immediate gains. A break above $0.78 provides further confirmation for a rally, but until then, the altcoin may continue to range between $0.78 and $0.70.

但是，从历史上看，卡尔达诺（Cardano）表现出了很长时间的横向运动，这可能会限制立即的收益。超过$ 0.78的休息时间为集会提供了进一步的确认，但在此之前，Altcoin可能会继续在0.78美元至0.70美元之间。

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相关：比特币只是看到“正常校正”，循环峰尚未到来：分析师

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。