Cardano（ADA）價格在3月管理13.5％

Cardano（ADA）的價格在2月份下降了32％後，在3月的穩定13.5％。第1季度的Altcoin仍下跌15％

Cardano’s (ADA) price has managed a steady 13.5% in March after experiencing a 32% in February. The altcoin is still down 15% in Q1, but technical data is beginning to point to the continuation of the recent positive price action.

Cardano（ADA）的價格在2月份經歷了32％的32％後，在3月的穩定13.5％。在第1季度，AltCoin仍在下降15％，但技術數據開始指出最近的正價行動的延續。

Cardano 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Cardano 1天圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Despite ADA price moving sideways between $0.78 and $0.70 over the past 10 days, social sentiment related to the altcoin has hit a new year-to-date high.

儘管ADA價格在過去的10天內側面偏向0.78美元至0.70美元，但與Altcoin相關的社交情緒卻達到了新的年度高潮。

Cardano’s ‘bullish’ sentiment soars to 4-month high

卡達諾的“看漲”情緒飆升至4個月高

According to Santiment, an onchain intelligence platform, Cardano’s social sentiment exhibited its highest positive measurement in four months.

根據Onchain Intelligence平台Santiment的說法，Cardano的社交情緒在四個月內表現出最高的積極測量。

ADA investors received a boost from the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent comments, which classified Cardano’s use case as “smart contracts for government services.” The SEC statement was followed by ADA’s highest ratio of positive comments since the first week of November 24.

ADA投資者從美國證券交易委員會（SEC）最近的評論中獲得了提升，該評論將Cardano的用例歸類為“政府服務的智能合約”。 SEC聲明之後，自11月24日第一周以來，ADA的正面評論比例最高。

Cardano’s crowd sentiment score by Santiment. Source: X.com

卡爾達諾（Cardano）的人群情緒得分。資料來源：X.com

A rise in social sentiment is often aligned with increased trading activity and, at times, higher prices. In Q4 2024, a rise in positive social sentiment and active transactions went hand in hand for ADA. However, the environment is slightly different right now.

社會情緒的上升通常與貿易活動增加以及有時更高的價格保持一致。在2024年第四季度，積極的社會情緒和積極交易的上升匯聚了ADA。但是，現在的環境略有不同。

Data from Cardanoscan.io showed a stark difference between the number of active transaction counts from early November 2024 and now. In Q4, the average transaction count remained above 100,000 for most of November and December, but currently, it is roughly down 70%, with the number of transactions coming in at 26,437 on March 18.

來自Cardanoscan.io的數據表明，從2024年11月上旬到現在，主動交易計數數量之間存在明顯的差異。在第四季度，11月和12月的大部分時間的平均交易數量仍超過100,000，但目前約為70％，交易次數在3月18日收入為26,437。

Daily transaction count and fees chart. Source: cardanoscan.io

每日交易計數和費用圖表。資料來源：Cardanoscan.io

Regardless of the weak onchain activity, Michael Heinrich, CEO of 0G Labs, told Cointelegraph that Cardano’s strength lies in “lobbying” its community. Speaking on ADA and XRP’s inclusion in a US Digital Asset Stockpile, Heinrich said,

0G實驗室首席執行官邁克爾·海因里希（Michael Heinrich）告訴Cointelegraph，卡爾達諾的力量在於“遊說”其社區。海因里希說

Related: Cardano’s ADA lands spot in US Digital Asset Stockpile — Will it generate value?

相關：Cardano在美國數字資產庫存中的ADA Lands景點 - 它會產生價值嗎？

ADA to rally 20% before the end of March?

ADA至3月底之前的Rally 20％？

Irrespective of the underwhelming onchain data, ADA price has been receptive to positive news in the past.

不論勢不可擋的OnChain數據如何，ADA Price過去都接受了積極的消息。

The altcoin has maintained a position above the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement line despite ADA being in a downtrend since its 2024 high of $1.32. This indicates that ADA’s high-time frame (HTF) chart remains on a technical uptrend.

儘管ADA自2024年高點1.32美元以來，ADA處於下降趨勢，但Altcoin一直保持高於0.50的斐波那契反回試。這表明ADA的高級框架（HTF）圖表仍處於技術上升趨勢。

ADA/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

ADA/USDT 1天圖表。資料來源：TradingView

Cardano retained support from the ascending trendline (black line) while oscillating between its parallel channel. Currently, the immediate resistance lies at the upper range of the channel at $0.78, which is supported by the 200-day exponential moving average (200-DEMA, orange line). A positive candle close above the 200-DEMA on the daily chart indicates a bullish shift, potentially triggering a move above $0.78.

Cardano在其平行通道之間振盪時保留了上升趨勢線（黑線）的支持。目前，直接電阻在該通道的上部為0.78美元，這是由200天的指數移動平均線（200-DEMA，Orange Line）支持的。在每日圖表上超過200 d-Dema的正面蠟燭表明看漲的轉變，可能會引發超過0.78美元的移動。

The immediate target above $0.78 lies between 0.84 and $0.88, where a daily fair value gap (FVG) is present. A retest of $0.88 marks a 20% return from its current price.

高於$ 0.78的直接目標位於0.84至0.88美元之間，其中有公允價值差距（FVG）。重新測試為0.88美元，其目前價格為20％。

However, historically, Cardano has exhibited prolonged periods of sideways movement, which could limit immediate gains. A break above $0.78 provides further confirmation for a rally, but until then, the altcoin may continue to range between $0.78 and $0.70.

但是，從歷史上看，卡爾達諾（Cardano）表現出了很長時間的橫向運動，這可能會限制立即的收益。超過$ 0.78的休息時間為集會提供了進一步的確認，但在此之前，Altcoin可能會繼續在0.78美元至0.70美元之間。

Related: Bitcoin is just seeing a ‘normal correction,’ cycle peak is yet to come: Analysts

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。