Bybit报告警告：交易所的比特币供应迅速减少

领先的加密货币交易所Bybit发布了一份报告，表明根据当前的价格和需求，交易所只有九个月的比特币供应量。该报告将此归因于即将到来的比特币减半，这将导致供应量减少 50%。减半后，该报告预计比特币供应紧缩将加剧，强调减半使比特币比黄金更稀有的重要性，预计库存流量 (S2F) 比率为 112，而黄金目前为 60。

Bybit Report Issues Warning: Bitcoin Supply Dwindling Rapidly on Exchanges

Bybit报告发出警告：交易所比特币供应迅速减少

Dubai, UAE, April 17, 2024 – A groundbreaking report released by Bybit, one of the world's leading cryptocurrency exchanges by trading volume, has revealed that the current supply dynamics of Bitcoin on exchanges are alarming, leaving a mere nine-month window before the supply runs out at current prices. The impending Bitcoin halving event, scheduled for April 2024, looms as a major factor contributing to this supply crunch.

阿联酋迪拜，2024 年 4 月 17 日 – 全球交易量领先的加密货币交易所之一 Bybit 发布的一份开创性报告显示，目前交易所上比特币的供应动态令人担忧，距比特币交易量激增仅剩下 9 个月的时间。按当前价格计算，供应已耗尽。即将到来的比特币减半事件（定于 2024 年 4 月举行）成为造成供应紧缩的一个主要因素。

The report, meticulously compiled by Bybit's team of experts, meticulously examines the supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin on centralized exchanges. It reveals that the supply of Bitcoin on these platforms has been steadily declining, with only approximately 2 million Bitcoins remaining. Notably, the report indicates that if the current daily inflow of $500 million into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) persists, the equivalent of around 7,142 Bitcoins will be withdrawn from exchange reserves each day. This alarming rate of depletion suggests that within nine months, all remaining Bitcoin reserves on exchanges could be exhausted.

该报告由Bybit专家团队精心编写，仔细研究了中心化交易所中比特币的供需动态。报告显示，这些平台上的比特币供应量一直在稳步下降，仅剩约 200 万个比特币。值得注意的是，该报告指出，如果目前比特币现货交易所交易基金（ETF）每天流入 5 亿美元的情况持续下去，那么每天将从交易所储备中提取相当于约 7,142 个比特币。这种惊人的消耗速度表明，在九个月内，交易所上所有剩余的比特币储备可能会耗尽。

The impending Bitcoin halving is expected to further intensify this supply squeeze. The halving, an event programmed into Bitcoin's code, will reduce the block reward for Bitcoin miners by 50%. Historically, halving events have had a profound impact on Bitcoin's supply and price dynamics.

即将到来的比特币减半预计将进一步加剧供应紧张。减半是比特币代码中的一项事件，将使比特币矿工的区块奖励减少 50%。从历史上看，减半事件对比特币的供应和价格动态产生了深远的影响。

"Post-halving, the Bitcoin supply squeeze is anticipated to escalate," the report underscores. "Bitcoin reserves in all centralized exchanges have been depleting at an accelerated pace."

报告强调：“减半后，比特币供应紧张预计将加剧。” “所有中心化交易所的比特币储备都在加速耗尽。”

The report draws a compelling parallel between Bitcoin and gold, highlighting that the halving will effectively make Bitcoin twice as scarce as the precious metal. It explains that the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio, a measure of scarcity calculated by dividing the circulating supply of a commodity by its annual production, provides a valuable gauge. Prior to the halving, Bitcoin's S2F ratio is approximately 56, while gold's ratio stands at 60. However, following the halving in April 2024, Bitcoin's S2F ratio is projected to double to an astounding 112.

该报告将比特币和黄金进行了令人信服的类比，强调减半实际上将使比特币的稀缺性成为贵金属的两倍。它解释说，库存与流量（S2F）比率是一种稀缺性衡量标准，通过将商品的循环供应量除以其年产量来计算，提供了一个有价值的衡量标准。在减半之前，比特币的 S2F 比率约为 56，而黄金的比率为 60。然而，在 2024 年 4 月减半之后，比特币的 S2F 比率预计将翻倍，达到惊人的 112。

Institutional investors, recognizing the profound implications of this impending scarcity, have been strategically positioning themselves well ahead of the halving event, particularly since the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved Bitcoin spot ETFs.

机构投资者认识到这种即将到来的稀缺性的深远影响，在减半事件之前就已经做好了战略定位，特别是自美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 批准比特币现货 ETF 以来。

"Bitcoin is rapidly emerging as the most secure investment option, even among the most discerning investors in the crypto domain," the report emphasizes. "The correlation between Bitcoin's price and the broader cryptocurrency market has consistently been strong, and investment in Bitcoin is widely viewed as a low-beta strategy."

报告强调：“比特币正在迅速成为最安全的投资选择，即使是在加密领域最挑剔的投资者中也是如此。” “比特币价格与更广泛的加密货币市场之间的相关性一直很强，对比特币的投资被广泛视为一种低贝塔策略。”

Ben Zhou, Co-Founder and CEO of Bybit, offers a succinct summary of the report's key findings. "Each Bitcoin halving reinforces the narrative that Bitcoin is not merely a currency, but a scarce digital asset, akin to digital gold," he states. "This upcoming halving in 2024 will propel Bitcoin into an era of unprecedented scarcity, making it twice as rare as gold."

Bybit 联合创始人兼首席执行官周本对报告的主要发现进行了简洁总结。 “每次比特币减半都强化了这样一种说法：比特币不仅仅是一种货币，而且是一种稀缺的数字资产，类似于数字黄金，”他表示。 “即将到来的 2024 年减半将推动比特币进入一个前所未有的稀缺时代，使其稀有程度是黄金的两倍。”

The report serves as a clarion call to investors, urging them to carefully consider the implications of the impending Bitcoin supply shortage. It underscores the importance of proactively evaluating one's investment strategies in light of this significant event.

该报告向投资者发出了响亮的号召，敦促他们仔细考虑即将到来的比特币供应短缺的影响。它强调了根据这一重大事件主动评估投资策略的重要性。

Investors can access the full report here: [report link]

投资者可以在此处访问完整报告：[报告链接]

About Bybit

关于Bybit

Bybit is one of the world's leading cryptocurrency exchanges by trading volume, catering to over 25 million users globally. Established in 2018, Bybit has carved a niche as a professional platform, offering an ultra-fast matching engine, 24/7 customer support, and a robust multilingual community support network. Bybit takes pride in its partnership with Formula One's reigning Constructors' and Drivers' champions, the Oracle Red Bull Racing team.

按交易量计算，Bybit 是全球领先的加密货币交易所之一，为全球超过 2500 万用户提供服务。 Bybit 成立于 2018 年，已成为专业平台，提供超快速的匹配引擎、24/7 客户支持和强大的多语言社区支持网络。 Bybit 为与一级方程式卫冕车队和车手冠军甲骨文红牛车队的合作伙伴关系感到自豪。

For further information, please visit Bybit Press.

欲了解更多信息，请访问Bybit出版社。

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