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領先的加密貨幣交易所Bybit發布了一份報告,顯示根據目前的價格和需求,交易所只有九個月的比特幣供應量。該報告將此歸因於即將到來的比特幣減半,這將導致供應量減少 50%。減半後,該報告預計比特幣供應緊縮將加劇,強調減半使比特幣比黃金更稀有的重要性,預計庫存流量 (S2F) 比率為 112,而黃金目前為 60。
Bybit Report Issues Warning: Bitcoin Supply Dwindling Rapidly on Exchanges
Bybit報告發出警告:交易所比特幣供應迅速減少
Dubai, UAE, April 17, 2024 – A groundbreaking report released by Bybit, one of the world's leading cryptocurrency exchanges by trading volume, has revealed that the current supply dynamics of Bitcoin on exchanges are alarming, leaving a mere nine-month window before the supply runs out at current prices. The impending Bitcoin halving event, scheduled for April 2024, looms as a major factor contributing to this supply crunch.
阿聯酋杜拜,2024 年4 月17 日– 全球交易量領先的加密貨幣交易所之一Bybit 發布的一份開創性報告顯示,目前交易所上比特幣的供應動態令人擔憂,距比特幣交易量激增僅剩下9 個月的時間。即將到來的比特幣減半事件(定於 2024 年 4 月舉行)成為造成供應緊縮的一個主要因素。
The report, meticulously compiled by Bybit's team of experts, meticulously examines the supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin on centralized exchanges. It reveals that the supply of Bitcoin on these platforms has been steadily declining, with only approximately 2 million Bitcoins remaining. Notably, the report indicates that if the current daily inflow of $500 million into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) persists, the equivalent of around 7,142 Bitcoins will be withdrawn from exchange reserves each day. This alarming rate of depletion suggests that within nine months, all remaining Bitcoin reserves on exchanges could be exhausted.
該報告由Bybit專家團隊精心編寫,仔細研究了中心化交易所中比特幣的供需動態。報告顯示,這些平台上的比特幣供應量一直在穩定下降,僅剩約 200 萬個比特幣。值得注意的是,該報告指出,如果目前比特幣現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)每天流入 5 億美元的情況持續下去,那麼每天將從交易所儲備中提取相當於約 7,142 個比特幣。這種驚人的消耗速度表明,在九個月內,交易所上所有剩餘的比特幣儲備可能會耗盡。
The impending Bitcoin halving is expected to further intensify this supply squeeze. The halving, an event programmed into Bitcoin's code, will reduce the block reward for Bitcoin miners by 50%. Historically, halving events have had a profound impact on Bitcoin's supply and price dynamics.
即將到來的比特幣減半預計將進一步加劇供應緊張。減半是比特幣程式碼中的事件,將使比特幣礦工的區塊獎勵減少 50%。從歷史上看,減半事件對比特幣的供應和價格動態產生了深遠的影響。
"Post-halving, the Bitcoin supply squeeze is anticipated to escalate," the report underscores. "Bitcoin reserves in all centralized exchanges have been depleting at an accelerated pace."
報告強調:“減半後,比特幣供應緊張預計將加劇。” “所有中心化交易所的比特幣儲備都在加速耗盡。”
The report draws a compelling parallel between Bitcoin and gold, highlighting that the halving will effectively make Bitcoin twice as scarce as the precious metal. It explains that the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio, a measure of scarcity calculated by dividing the circulating supply of a commodity by its annual production, provides a valuable gauge. Prior to the halving, Bitcoin's S2F ratio is approximately 56, while gold's ratio stands at 60. However, following the halving in April 2024, Bitcoin's S2F ratio is projected to double to an astounding 112.
該報告將比特幣和黃金進行了令人信服的類比,強調減半實際上將使比特幣的稀缺性成為貴金屬的兩倍。它解釋說,庫存與流量(S2F)比率是一種稀缺性衡量標準,透過將商品的循環供應量除以其年產量來計算,提供了一個有價值的衡量標準。在減半之前,比特幣的 S2F 比率約為 56,而黃金的比率為 60。
Institutional investors, recognizing the profound implications of this impending scarcity, have been strategically positioning themselves well ahead of the halving event, particularly since the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved Bitcoin spot ETFs.
機構投資者認識到這種即將到來的稀缺性的深遠影響,在減半事件之前就已經做好了戰略定位,特別是自美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 批准比特幣現貨 ETF 以來。
"Bitcoin is rapidly emerging as the most secure investment option, even among the most discerning investors in the crypto domain," the report emphasizes. "The correlation between Bitcoin's price and the broader cryptocurrency market has consistently been strong, and investment in Bitcoin is widely viewed as a low-beta strategy."
報告強調:“比特幣正在迅速成為最安全的投資選擇,即使在加密領域最挑剔的投資者中也是如此。” “比特幣價格與更廣泛的加密貨幣市場之間的相關性一直很強,對比特幣的投資被廣泛視為一種低貝塔策略。”
Ben Zhou, Co-Founder and CEO of Bybit, offers a succinct summary of the report's key findings. "Each Bitcoin halving reinforces the narrative that Bitcoin is not merely a currency, but a scarce digital asset, akin to digital gold," he states. "This upcoming halving in 2024 will propel Bitcoin into an era of unprecedented scarcity, making it twice as rare as gold."
Bybit 聯合創辦人兼執行長週本對報告的主要發現進行了簡潔總結。 「每次比特幣減半都強化了這樣一種說法:比特幣不僅僅是一種貨幣,而且是一種稀缺的數位資產,類似於數位黃金,」他說。 “即將到來的 2024 年減半將推動比特幣進入一個前所未有的稀缺時代,使其稀有程度是黃金的兩倍。”
The report serves as a clarion call to investors, urging them to carefully consider the implications of the impending Bitcoin supply shortage. It underscores the importance of proactively evaluating one's investment strategies in light of this significant event.
該報告向投資者發出了響亮的號召,敦促他們仔細考慮即將到來的比特幣供應短缺的影響。它強調了根據這一重大事件主動評估投資策略的重要性。
Investors can access the full report here: [report link]
投資者可以在此處訪問完整報告:[報告連結]
About Bybit
關於Bybit
Bybit is one of the world's leading cryptocurrency exchanges by trading volume, catering to over 25 million users globally. Established in 2018, Bybit has carved a niche as a professional platform, offering an ultra-fast matching engine, 24/7 customer support, and a robust multilingual community support network. Bybit takes pride in its partnership with Formula One's reigning Constructors' and Drivers' champions, the Oracle Red Bull Racing team.
以交易量計算,Bybit 是全球領先的加密貨幣交易所之一,為全球超過 2,500 萬用戶提供服務。 Bybit 成立於 2018 年,已成為專業平台,提供超快速的配對引擎、24/7 客戶支援和強大的多語言社群支援網路。 Bybit 為與一級方程式衛冕車隊和車手冠軍甲骨文紅牛車隊的合作夥伴關係感到自豪。
For further information, please visit Bybit Press.
欲了解更多信息,請訪問Bybit出版社。
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