BTC预测很少准确，但它们在塑造情感中起着至关重要的作用

当罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）宣称美元即将崩溃，比特币飙升至200,000美元时，人们很容易相信，购买和梦想。

Cryptocurrency predictions are rarely accurate, yet they play a crucial role in shaping sentiment, fueling innovation, and keeping the industry dynamic.

加密货币预测很少是准确的，但是它们在塑造情感，推动创新和保持行业动态的情绪中起着至关重要的作用。

Several experts have made bold predictions about Bitcoin’s price this year. Some, like Robert Kiyosaki, are known for their outsized claims, which often miss the mark. However, their role in driving conversation and investment interest cannot be ignored.

几位专家对今年比特币的价格做出了大胆的预测。有些人，例如罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki），以其巨大的主张而闻名，这些主张常常错过了这一点。但是，它们在推动对话和投资兴趣中的作用不可忽视。

Several crypto experts have made bold predictions about Bitcoin’s price this year. While some like Robert Kiyosaki are known for their outsized claims which often miss the mark, their role in driving conversation and investment interest cannot be ignored.

几位加密专家对今年的比特币价格做出了大胆的预测。尽管有些像罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）这样的人以其巨大的主张而闻名，但他们常常错过了这一目标，但他们在推动对话和投资兴趣中的作用不容忽视。

As several experts continue to make predictions about Bitcoin’s price in 2024, it’s worth noting that few of them have been accurate.

随着几位专家在2024年继续对比特币价格做出预测，值得注意的是，很少有人是准确的。

Still, the Avantegarde of predictions keeps rolling.

尽管如此，预测的前卫仍在滚动。

As several experts continue to make predictions about Bitcoin’s price in 2024, it’s worth noting that few of them have been accurate.

随着几位专家在2024年继续对比特币价格做出预测，值得注意的是，很少有人是准确的。

When Robert Kiyosaki says the U.S. dollar will collapse and Bitcoin will soar to $200,000, it’s tempting to believe, buy in, and dream of riches. But should we trust such bold claims? Let’s take a closer look.

当罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）表示，美元将崩溃，比特币将飙升至200,000美元时，很容易相信，购买和梦想财富。但是我们应该相信这样的大胆主张吗？让我们仔细看一下。

Dollar Die Dad, Bitcoin To the Moon Dad?

Dollar Die爸爸，爸爸的比特币？

In February, entrepreneur, investor, and Rich Dad, Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki predicted Bitcoin would hit $500,000 by 2025.

2月，企业家，投资者和Rich Dad，可怜的父亲作家Robert Kiyosaki预测比特币将在2025年达到500,000美元。

Giant crash coming. Depression possible. Fed forced to print billions in fake money. By 2025 gold at $5,000 silver at $500 and Bitcoin at $500,000. Why? Because faith in US dollar, fake money, will be destroyed. Gold & Silver Gods money. Bitcoin peoples’$. Take care.

巨大的坠机即将到来。可能的抑郁。美联储被迫用假钱打印数十亿美元。到2025年，黄金以5,000美元的价格为$ 500，比特币为500,000美元。为什么？因为对美元的信仰，假钱，将被摧毁。黄金和银神的钱。比特币人民的$。小心。

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) February 13, 2023

- 罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2023年2月13日

That prediction has already missed the mark.

该预测已经错过了标记。

By August, he was back at it—declaring the death of the U.S. dollar and predicting Bitcoin would reach $120,000 in 2024. Again, he was off. As of now, Bitcoin’s all-time high (ATH) stands at $109,114, according to CoinMarketCap.

到八月，他又回到了这件事 - 宣传美元的去世，预计比特币将在2024年达到120,000美元。再次，他离开了。根据CoinMarketCap的数据，截至目前，比特币的历史最高水平为109,114美元。

August 22, 2023, in Johannesburg, South Africa, BRICS nations announce gold backed crypto. US $ will die. Trillions of US $ rush home. Inflation through the roof. Buy Gold, Silver. Bitcoin to $120k next year.

2023年8月22日，在南非约翰内斯堡，金砖国家宣布黄金支持加密货币。 US $会死。我们的$ $抢回家。通过屋顶通货膨胀。买黄金，银。明年比特币至$ 120K。

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) July 11, 2023

- 罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2023年7月11日

Then in January, Kiyosaki tried once more, this time claiming Bitcoin would hit $150,000 following the approval of a Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. A year later, what do we see? Bitcoin hasn’t even sustained levels above the psychological $100,000 mark.

然后，在一月份，Kiyosaki再次尝试了，这次声称比特币在一年后美国批准比特币ETF后将达到150,000美元，我们看到了什么？比特币甚至没有超过心理$ 100,000的水平。

BITCOIN ETF. Yay. Glad I bought years ago. Bitcoin to $150k soon. Gold to the moon as Central Banks buy , store, and never sell. Silver to crash as silver stackers sell to pay bills, caused by rising inflation. Great news for silver stackers. Time to buy more as silver crashes.…

比特币ETF。耶。很高兴我几年前买了。比特币很快至15万美元。当中央银行购买，存储并且从不出售时，向月球发黄金。银堆积物卖给银行崩溃，这是由于通货膨胀率上升而造成的。银堆的好消息。是时候购买更多作为银事故了。…

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) January 10, 2024

- 罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2024年1月10日

Clearly, Kiyosaki’s forecasts should be taken with skepticism. If he throws out a new Bitcoin prediction every week, eventually one will be correct—but how many will mislead retail investors in the process?

显然，Kiyosaki的预测应持怀疑态度。如果他每周都会提出一个新的比特币预测，最终将是正确的，但是在此过程中有多少人会误导零售投资者？

Maxi Strategy for MicroStrategy

缩影策略

Michael Saylor—entrepreneur, founder of MicroStrategy, and main Bitcoin maxi—takes a different approach to his predictions.

迈克尔·赛勒（Michael Saylor） - 企业家，微型策略的创始人和Main Bitcoin Maxi，对他的预测采取了另一种方法。

In July, he made a bold claim: Bitcoin will hit $13M by 2045. But how realistic is this? Will Saylor even be around to be held accountable? Will Bitcoin? This kind of statement is classic Saylor—promising unimaginable wealth to Bitcoin investors, as long as they’re willing to wait.

7月，他大胆地说：到2045年，比特币将达到1300万美元。但这有多现实？ Saylor甚至会承担责任吗？比特币会吗？这种说法是经典的塞勒（Saylor），只要他们愿意等待，就可以向比特币投资者提供难以想象的财富。

Back in summer 2020, MicroStrategy became the first publicly traded company on Nasdaq to convert part of its capital into Bitcoin. Since then, the firm has continued accumulating BTC. As of March, MicroStrategy holds 499,096 BTC—worth over $44 billion, according to BitcoinTreasuries.

早在2020年夏季，MicroStrategy就成为纳斯达克上第一家将其资本转换为比特币的上市公司。从那以后，该公司继续积累BTC。截至3月，MicroStrategy持有499,096 BTC，据BTC持有超过440亿美元。

In December, Saylor made another bold claim: Bitcoin will either drop to zero or skyrocket to $1M. This type of blind faith in infinite price appreciation sounds more like a casino bet than an investment thesis. Notably, Saylor didn’t specify when investors should expect Bitcoin to reach that price.

12月，塞勒（Saylor）提出了另一个大胆的主张：比特币将降至零或飙升至100万美元。这种对无限价格欣赏的盲目信念听起来更像是赌场赌注，而不是投资论文。值得注意的是，Saylor没有指定投资者何时应该期望比特币达到这个价格。