BTC預測很少準確，但它們在塑造情感中起著至關重要的作用

當羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）宣稱美元即將崩潰，比特幣飆升至200,000美元時，人們很容易相信，購買和夢想財富。

Cryptocurrency predictions are rarely accurate, yet they play a crucial role in shaping sentiment, fueling innovation, and keeping the industry dynamic.

加密貨幣預測很少是準確的，但是它們在塑造情感，推動創新和保持行業動態的情緒中起著至關重要的作用。

Several experts have made bold predictions about Bitcoin’s price this year. Some, like Robert Kiyosaki, are known for their outsized claims, which often miss the mark. However, their role in driving conversation and investment interest cannot be ignored.

幾位專家對今年比特幣的價格做出了大膽的預測。有些人，例如羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki），以其巨大的主張而聞名，這些主張常常錯過了這一點。但是，它們在推動對話和投資興趣中的作用不可忽視。

Several crypto experts have made bold predictions about Bitcoin’s price this year. While some like Robert Kiyosaki are known for their outsized claims which often miss the mark, their role in driving conversation and investment interest cannot be ignored.

幾位加密專家對今年的比特幣價格做出了大膽的預測。儘管有些像羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）這樣的人以其巨大的主張而聞名，但他們常常錯過了這一目標，但他們在推動對話和投資興趣中的作用不容忽視。

As several experts continue to make predictions about Bitcoin’s price in 2024, it’s worth noting that few of them have been accurate.

隨著幾位專家在2024年繼續對比特幣價格做出預測，值得注意的是，很少有人是準確的。

Still, the Avantegarde of predictions keeps rolling.

儘管如此，預測的前衛仍在滾動。

As several experts continue to make predictions about Bitcoin’s price in 2024, it’s worth noting that few of them have been accurate.

隨著幾位專家在2024年繼續對比特幣價格做出預測，值得注意的是，很少有人是準確的。

When Robert Kiyosaki says the U.S. dollar will collapse and Bitcoin will soar to $200,000, it’s tempting to believe, buy in, and dream of riches. But should we trust such bold claims? Let’s take a closer look.

當羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）表示，美元將崩潰，比特幣將飆升至200,000美元時，很容易相信，購買和夢想財富。但是我們應該相信這樣的大膽主張嗎？讓我們仔細看一下。

Dollar Die Dad, Bitcoin To the Moon Dad?

Dollar Die爸爸，爸爸的比特幣？

In February, entrepreneur, investor, and Rich Dad, Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki predicted Bitcoin would hit $500,000 by 2025.

2月，企業家，投資者和Rich Dad，可憐的父親作家Robert Kiyosaki預測比特幣將在2025年達到500,000美元。

Giant crash coming. Depression possible. Fed forced to print billions in fake money. By 2025 gold at $5,000 silver at $500 and Bitcoin at $500,000. Why? Because faith in US dollar, fake money, will be destroyed. Gold & Silver Gods money. Bitcoin peoples’$. Take care.

巨大的墜機即將到來。可能的抑鬱。美聯儲被迫用假錢打印數十億美元。到2025年，黃金以5,000美元的價格為$ 500，比特幣為500,000美元。為什麼？因為對美元的信仰，假錢，將被摧毀。黃金和銀神的錢。比特幣人民的$。小心。

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) February 13, 2023

- 羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2023年2月13日

That prediction has already missed the mark.

該預測已經錯過了標記。

By August, he was back at it—declaring the death of the U.S. dollar and predicting Bitcoin would reach $120,000 in 2024. Again, he was off. As of now, Bitcoin’s all-time high (ATH) stands at $109,114, according to CoinMarketCap.

到八月，他又回到了這件事 - 宣傳美元的去世，預計比特幣將在2024年達到120,000美元。再次，他離開了。根據CoinMarketCap的數據，截至目前，比特幣的歷史最高水平為109,114美元。

August 22, 2023, in Johannesburg, South Africa, BRICS nations announce gold backed crypto. US $ will die. Trillions of US $ rush home. Inflation through the roof. Buy Gold, Silver. Bitcoin to $120k next year.

2023年8月22日，在南非約翰內斯堡，金磚國家宣布黃金支持加密貨幣。 US $會死。我們的$ $搶回家。通過屋頂通貨膨脹。買黃金，銀。明年比特幣至$ 120K。

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) July 11, 2023

- 羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2023年7月11日

Then in January, Kiyosaki tried once more, this time claiming Bitcoin would hit $150,000 following the approval of a Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. A year later, what do we see? Bitcoin hasn’t even sustained levels above the psychological $100,000 mark.

然後，在一月份，Kiyosaki再次嘗試了，這次聲稱比特幣在一年後美國批准比特幣ETF後將達到150,000美元，我們看到了什麼？比特幣甚至沒有超過心理$ 100,000的水平。

BITCOIN ETF. Yay. Glad I bought years ago. Bitcoin to $150k soon. Gold to the moon as Central Banks buy , store, and never sell. Silver to crash as silver stackers sell to pay bills, caused by rising inflation. Great news for silver stackers. Time to buy more as silver crashes.…

比特幣ETF。耶。很高興我幾年前買了。比特幣很快至15萬美元。當中央銀行購買，存儲並且從不出售時，向月球發黃金。銀堆積物賣給銀行崩潰，這是由於通貨膨脹率上升而造成的。銀堆的好消息。是時候購買更多作為銀事故了。…

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) January 10, 2024

- 羅伯特·基亞薩基（Robert Kiyosaki）（@therealkiyosaki）2024年1月10日

Clearly, Kiyosaki’s forecasts should be taken with skepticism. If he throws out a new Bitcoin prediction every week, eventually one will be correct—but how many will mislead retail investors in the process?

顯然，Kiyosaki的預測應持懷疑態度。如果他每週都會提出一個新的比特幣預測，最終將是正確的，但是在此過程中有多少人會誤導零售投資者？

Maxi Strategy for MicroStrategy

縮影策略

Michael Saylor—entrepreneur, founder of MicroStrategy, and main Bitcoin maxi—takes a different approach to his predictions.

邁克爾·賽勒（Michael Saylor） - 企業家，微型策略的創始人和Main Bitcoin Maxi，對他的預測採取了另一種方法。

In July, he made a bold claim: Bitcoin will hit $13M by 2045. But how realistic is this? Will Saylor even be around to be held accountable? Will Bitcoin? This kind of statement is classic Saylor—promising unimaginable wealth to Bitcoin investors, as long as they’re willing to wait.

7月，他大膽地說：到2045年，比特幣將達到1300萬美元。但這有多現實？ Saylor甚至會承擔責任嗎？比特幣會嗎？這種說法是經典的塞勒（Saylor），只要他們願意等待，就可以向比特幣投資者提供難以想像的財富。

Back in summer 2020, MicroStrategy became the first publicly traded company on Nasdaq to convert part of its capital into Bitcoin. Since then, the firm has continued accumulating BTC. As of March, MicroStrategy holds 499,096 BTC—worth over $44 billion, according to BitcoinTreasuries.

早在2020年夏季，MicroStrategy就成為納斯達克上第一家將其資本轉換為比特幣的上市公司。從那以後，該公司繼續積累BTC。截至3月，MicroStrategy持有499,096 BTC，據BTC持有超過440億美元。

In December, Saylor made another bold claim: Bitcoin will either drop to zero or skyrocket to $1M. This type of blind faith in infinite price appreciation sounds more like a casino bet than an investment thesis. Notably, Saylor didn’t specify when investors should expect Bitcoin to reach that price.

12月，塞勒（Saylor）提出了另一個大膽的主張：比特幣將降至零或飆升至100萬美元。這種對無限價格欣賞的盲目信念聽起來更像是賭場賭注，而不是投資論文。值得注意的是，Saylor沒有指定投資者何時應該期望比特幣達到這個價格。