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这些天加密市场有潜在的积极消息:狗狗币区块链正在经历真正的交易繁荣。
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) blockchain is experiencing a real boom in transactions, with two peaks in the first half of October.
狗狗币(加密货币:DOGE)区块链正在经历真正的交易繁荣,在 10 月上半月出现了两个峰值。
According to Bitinfocharts, almost 570,000 transactions were recorded in a single day on October 1st, while the second peak occurred on October 7th, with more than 550,000 transactions.
根据 Bitinfocharts 的数据,10 月 1 日单日记录了近 57 万笔交易,而第二个峰值出现在 10 月 7 日,交易笔数超过 55 万笔。
On other days, transactions rarely exceeded 250,000, with daily peaks even below 50,000.
其他日子的交易量很少超过25万,日峰值甚至低于5万。
However, this boom is not completely isolated, as in June these levels were even higher, with as many as two peaks above 800,000 daily transactions.
然而,这种繁荣并不是完全孤立的,6 月份这些水平甚至更高,多达两个峰值日交易量超过 80 万笔。
Moreover, the annual high occurred in March, during a full bull run, with more than 2.1 million transactions recorded in a single day.
此外,年度高点出现在3月份,正值全面牛市期间,单日交易量超过210万笔。
What is surprising, however, is that for some time now the interest in criptovalute has dropped significantly.
然而,令人惊讶的是,一段时间以来,人们对 criptovalute 的兴趣大幅下降。
For example, taking as a reference the volume of searches for the word Dogecoin on Google globally, it is discovered that the average level in October was very close to the annual lows, while in March it was almost ten times higher.
例如,以狗狗币一词在全球范围内的谷歌搜索量为参考,发现10月份的平均水平非常接近年度低点,而3月份则几乎高出十倍。
So, while on one hand it is obvious that a boom in the use of blockchain occurs when interest is at its peak, on the other hand, a boom when interest is at its minimum appears anomalous.
因此,一方面,很明显,当兴趣达到顶峰时,区块链的使用就会出现繁荣;另一方面,当兴趣处于最低点时,区块链的使用繁荣就会显得异常。
Only before the boom of 2021 was the global interest in Dogecoin lower than it is currently, so in such a lack of interest, two daily transaction booms, even if not particularly high, must be considered in all respects as two anomalies.
只是在 2021 年繁荣之前,全球对狗狗币的兴趣才低于目前,因此在如此缺乏兴趣的情况下,每日两次交易热潮,即使不是特别高,也必须从各个方面被视为两次异常现象。
All this, however, has not impacted the market value of DOGE.
然而这一切并没有影响DOGE的市值。
Compared to the $0.22 in March, the current price of $0.11 is half.
与3月份的0.22美元相比,目前的价格为0.11美元,减半了。
Furthermore, the current price is also lower than the $0.13 at the end of September.
此外,目前的价格也低于9月底的0.13美元。
What could, however, give hope is that the current price of DOGE is still significantly higher than the $0.087 at the end of February, when the mini-bubble began to inflate and then burst in April.
然而,可以带来希望的是,DOGE 目前的价格仍显着高于 2 月底的 0.087 美元,当时迷你泡沫开始膨胀,然后在 4 月份破裂。
Moreover, the bottom of the last bear-market was positioned below $0.06, which is a figure slightly more than half of the current one.
此外,上一次熊市的底部位于0.06美元以下,这个数字略高于当前熊市的一半。
Taking the 2024 performance as a reference, Dogecoin is currently at +29%, while Bitcoin is at +55%. Ethereum however is still at +15%, so DOGE this year is doing better than ETH, at least for now.
以 2024 年的表现为参考,狗狗币目前为 +29%,而比特币为 +55%。然而,以太坊仍处于 +15% 的水平,因此 DOGE 今年的表现比 ETH 更好,至少目前如此。
It can be said that the price performance of Dogecoin in 2024 has been average, and not high.
可以说,狗狗币2024年的价格表现已经一般,并不算高。
The fact is that there are also other metrics on the rise, besides the simple number of transactions recorded daily on the Dogecoin blockchain.
事实上,除了狗狗币区块链上每天记录的简单交易数量之外,其他指标也在上升。
Stands out in particular the number of daily active addresses, given that the two peaks in October are the largest since March.
鉴于 10 月份的两个峰值是 3 月份以来最大的,因此日活跃地址数量尤其引人注目。
However, these are not particularly high levels, even though they are significantly higher compared to the previous months.
然而,尽管与前几个月相比明显较高,但这些水平并不是特别高。
The two peaks in October were recorded above the level of 75,000 active addresses daily, against an average well below 50,000. From April to September, the 60,000 mark was exceeded only three times.
10 月份的两个峰值均高于每日活跃地址 75,000 个的水平,而平均活跃地址远低于 50,000 个。从4月到9月,仅3次突破6万大关。
In March, however, a peak of even more than 500,000 active addresses in a single day was reached, but at the time there was FOMO in the markets.
然而在3月份,单日活跃地址甚至达到了50万以上的峰值,但当时市场上存在“FOMO”现象。
Moreover, the average transaction volume did not turn out to be higher than usual in October, with peaks of $28,000 well below the peaks of $50,000 at the end of May.
此外,10 月份的平均交易量并未高于平常,峰值为 28,000 美元,远低于 5 月底的峰值 50,000 美元。
In light of this, it is easy to understand why these daily booms did not have the strength to positively impact the price of DOGE on the bull and bear crypto markets.
鉴于此,很容易理解为什么这些日常繁荣没有力量对牛市和熊市加密货币市场上的 DOGE 价格产生积极影响。
All this, however, has led some analysts to make positive forecasts regarding the trend of Dogecoin’s price in the coming weeks.
然而,所有这一切使得一些分析师对未来几周狗狗币的价格走势做出了积极的预测。
The hypothesis that has started to circulate is that of a possible return above $0.20, which is not very far from the peaks of 2024.
已经开始流传的假设是回报率可能高于 0.20 美元,距离 2024 年的峰值已经不远了。
The all-time high of $0.73 from May 2021 is still far away, but in the current phase, many would probably be satisfied with even just nearly doubling from the current levels.
距 2021 年 5 月 0.73 美元的历史高点仍然很遥远,但在当前阶段,许多人可能会满足于即使是目前水平的近一倍。
Much, however, will probably depend on Bitcoin, because if a new bull run were to actually be triggered, it would most likely be due to the awakening of BTC.
然而,很大程度上可能取决于比特币,因为如果真正触发新一轮牛市,很可能是由于比特币的觉醒。
The hypothesis circulating is that from tomorrow a bull phase could begin that might last until the end of the month, and this could indeed help DOGE to approach $0.20 again.
流传的假设是,从明天开始,牛市可能会开始,可能持续到月底,这确实可以帮助 DOGE 再次接近 0.20 美元。
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