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這些天加密市場有潛在的積極消息:狗狗幣區塊鏈正在經歷真正的交易繁榮。
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) blockchain is experiencing a real boom in transactions, with two peaks in the first half of October.
狗狗幣(加密貨幣:DOGE)區塊鏈正在經歷真正的交易繁榮,在 10 月上半月出現了兩個高峰。
According to Bitinfocharts, almost 570,000 transactions were recorded in a single day on October 1st, while the second peak occurred on October 7th, with more than 550,000 transactions.
根據 Bitinfocharts 的數據,10 月 1 日單日記錄了近 57 萬筆交易,而第二個高峰出現在 10 月 7 日,交易筆數超過 55 萬筆。
On other days, transactions rarely exceeded 250,000, with daily peaks even below 50,000.
其他日子的交易量很少超過25萬,日高峰甚至低於5萬。
However, this boom is not completely isolated, as in June these levels were even higher, with as many as two peaks above 800,000 daily transactions.
然而,這種繁榮並不是完全孤立的,6 月這些水準甚至更高,多達兩個高峰日交易量超過 80 萬筆。
Moreover, the annual high occurred in March, during a full bull run, with more than 2.1 million transactions recorded in a single day.
此外,年度高點出現在3月份,正值全面多頭期間,單日交易量超過210萬筆。
What is surprising, however, is that for some time now the interest in criptovalute has dropped significantly.
然而,令人驚訝的是,一段時間以來,人們對 criptovalute 的興趣大幅下降。
For example, taking as a reference the volume of searches for the word Dogecoin on Google globally, it is discovered that the average level in October was very close to the annual lows, while in March it was almost ten times higher.
例如,以狗狗幣一詞在全球的Google搜尋量為參考,發現10月份的平均值非常接近年度低點,而3月份則幾乎高出十倍。
So, while on one hand it is obvious that a boom in the use of blockchain occurs when interest is at its peak, on the other hand, a boom when interest is at its minimum appears anomalous.
因此,一方面,很明顯,當興趣達到頂峰時,區塊鏈的使用就會出現繁榮;另一方面,當興趣處於最低點時,區塊鏈的使用繁榮就會顯得異常。
Only before the boom of 2021 was the global interest in Dogecoin lower than it is currently, so in such a lack of interest, two daily transaction booms, even if not particularly high, must be considered in all respects as two anomalies.
只是在2021 年繁榮之前,全球對狗狗幣的興趣才低於目前,因此在如此缺乏興趣的情況下,每日兩次交易熱潮,即使不是特別高,也必須從各個方面被視為兩次異常現象。
All this, however, has not impacted the market value of DOGE.
然而這一切並沒有影響DOGE的市值。
Compared to the $0.22 in March, the current price of $0.11 is half.
與3月的0.22美元相比,目前的價格為0.11美元,減半了。
Furthermore, the current price is also lower than the $0.13 at the end of September.
此外,目前的價格也低於9月底的0.13美元。
What could, however, give hope is that the current price of DOGE is still significantly higher than the $0.087 at the end of February, when the mini-bubble began to inflate and then burst in April.
然而,可以帶來希望的是,DOGE 目前的價格仍顯著高於 2 月底的 0.087 美元,當時迷你泡沫開始膨脹,然後在 4 月破裂。
Moreover, the bottom of the last bear-market was positioned below $0.06, which is a figure slightly more than half of the current one.
此外,上一次熊市的底部位於0.06美元以下,這個數字略高於目前熊市的一半。
Taking the 2024 performance as a reference, Dogecoin is currently at +29%, while Bitcoin is at +55%. Ethereum however is still at +15%, so DOGE this year is doing better than ETH, at least for now.
以 2024 年的表現為參考,狗狗幣目前為 +29%,而比特幣為 +55%。然而,以太坊仍處於 +15% 的水平,因此 DOGE 今年的表現比 ETH 更好,至少目前如此。
It can be said that the price performance of Dogecoin in 2024 has been average, and not high.
可以說,狗狗幣2024年的價格表現已經是一般,不算高。
The fact is that there are also other metrics on the rise, besides the simple number of transactions recorded daily on the Dogecoin blockchain.
事實上,除了狗狗幣區塊鏈上每天記錄的簡單交易數量之外,其他指標也在上升。
Stands out in particular the number of daily active addresses, given that the two peaks in October are the largest since March.
鑑於 10 月的兩個高峰是自 3 月以來最大的,因此每日活躍地址數量尤其引人注目。
However, these are not particularly high levels, even though they are significantly higher compared to the previous months.
然而,儘管與前幾個月相比明顯較高,但這些水平並不是特別高。
The two peaks in October were recorded above the level of 75,000 active addresses daily, against an average well below 50,000. From April to September, the 60,000 mark was exceeded only three times.
10 月的兩個峰值均高於每日活躍地址 75,000 個的水平,而平均活躍地址遠低於 50,000 個。從4月到9月,僅3次突破6萬大關。
In March, however, a peak of even more than 500,000 active addresses in a single day was reached, but at the time there was FOMO in the markets.
然而在3月份,單日活躍地址甚至達到了50萬以上的峰值,但當時市場上存在著「FOMO」現象。
Moreover, the average transaction volume did not turn out to be higher than usual in October, with peaks of $28,000 well below the peaks of $50,000 at the end of May.
此外,10 月的平均交易量並未高於平常,高峰為 28,000 美元,遠低於 5 月底的峰值 50,000 美元。
In light of this, it is easy to understand why these daily booms did not have the strength to positively impact the price of DOGE on the bull and bear crypto markets.
有鑑於此,很容易理解為什麼這些日常繁榮沒有力量對牛市和熊市加密貨幣市場上的 DOGE 價格產生正面影響。
All this, however, has led some analysts to make positive forecasts regarding the trend of Dogecoin’s price in the coming weeks.
然而,這一切使得一些分析師對未來幾週狗狗幣的價格走勢做出了積極的預測。
The hypothesis that has started to circulate is that of a possible return above $0.20, which is not very far from the peaks of 2024.
已經開始流傳的假設是回報率可能高於 0.20 美元,距離 2024 年的高峰已經不遠了。
The all-time high of $0.73 from May 2021 is still far away, but in the current phase, many would probably be satisfied with even just nearly doubling from the current levels.
距離 2021 年 5 月 0.73 美元的歷史高點仍然很遙遠,但在當前階段,許多人可能會滿足於即使是目前水平的近一倍。
Much, however, will probably depend on Bitcoin, because if a new bull run were to actually be triggered, it would most likely be due to the awakening of BTC.
然而,很大程度上可能取決於比特幣,因為如果真正觸發新一輪牛市,很可能是由於比特幣的覺醒。
The hypothesis circulating is that from tomorrow a bull phase could begin that might last until the end of the month, and this could indeed help DOGE to approach $0.20 again.
流傳的假設是,從明天開始,牛市可能會開始,可能會持續到月底,這確實可以幫助 DOGE 再次接近 0.20 美元。
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