贝莱德首只比特币 ETF 在市场波动和阻力中遭遇挫折

贝莱德的比特币 ETF (IBIT) 经历了自成立以来的第一个零流入日。比特币未能突破 67,000 美元阻力位，导致利息和价格波动下降。灰度比特币信托基金的大量资金流出表明市场可能出现低迷，而技术分析则表明比特币可能出现看涨或看跌的情况。

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Stalls amid Market Volatility and Resistance Barriers

贝莱德的比特币 ETF 在市场波动和阻力障碍中停滞不前

In a significant development, the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has recorded its first day without any inflows since its launch in January, marking a potential shift in investor sentiment towards the world's leading cryptocurrency. This development coincides with Bitcoin's inability to breach the $67,000 resistance level, raising concerns about the strength of the current rally and hinting at a possible market downturn.

一项重大进展是，贝莱德 iShares 比特币信托基金 (IBIT) 自 1 月份推出以来首日没有任何资金流入，这标志着投资者情绪可能转向全球领先的加密货币。这一发展恰逢比特币无法突破 67,000 美元的阻力位，引发了人们对当前反弹力度的担忧，并暗示市场可能陷入低迷。

Zero Inflows for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF

贝莱德比特币 ETF 零流入

On April 24th, the IBIT, which provides investors with exposure to Bitcoin without the need for direct ownership, experienced a day without any new investments. This marked a notable departure from its previous trajectory, where it had attracted millions of dollars daily and amassed nearly $15.5 billion in assets under management within just 71 days.

4 月 24 日，为投资者提供比特币投资而无需直接拥有所有权的 IBIT 经历了没有任何新投资的一天。这与之前的轨迹显着背离，此前该公司每天吸引数百万美元资金，并在短短 71 天内积累了近 155 亿美元的管理资产。

While most other Bitcoin ETFs also saw no inflows on the same day, the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund and the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF bucked the trend, receiving inflows of $5.6 million and $4.2 million, respectively. However, these inflows were offset by a significant $130.4 million outflow from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, resulting in a net outflow of $120.6 million across all Bitcoin ETFs.

虽然大多数其他比特币 ETF 同日也没有出现资金流入，但 Fidelity Wise Origin 比特币基金和 ARK 21Shares 比特币 ETF 逆势而上，分别收到 560 万美元和 420 万美元的资金流入。然而，这些资金流入被灰度比特币信托基金 1.304 亿美元的巨额流出所抵消，导致所有比特币 ETF 净流出 1.206 亿美元。

Despite occasional days of zero inflows for other funds like Fidelity's FBTC, the overall US Bitcoin ETF market has grown substantially since the launch of the first such product in October 2021, with total assets under management currently standing at $12.3 billion. However, the outflows from the Grayscale fund, which has lost over $17 billion since January 11th, have partially offset these gains.

尽管 Fidelity 的 FBTC 等其他基金偶尔出现零流入，但自 2021 年 10 月推出第一个此类产品以来，美国比特币 ETF 整体市场已大幅增长，目前管理的总资产达到 123 亿美元。然而，自 1 月 11 日以来已损失超过 170 亿美元的 Grayscale 基金的资金流出部分抵消了这些收益。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

After reaching a high of nearly $74,000 on March 13th, Bitcoin has experienced several price fluctuations, including a sharp drop below $60,000 on April 17th. This peak may represent the third wave in a five-wave pattern that began in November 2022, suggesting that the recent downturn is a typical fourth-wave correction that could be followed by another rally.

在3月13日达到近74,000美元的高位后，比特币经历了多次价格波动，其中包括4月17日大幅跌破60,000美元。该峰值可能代表 2022 年 11 月开始的五浪模式中的第三浪，表明近期的低迷是典型的第四浪修正，随后可能会出现另一次反弹。

Since bottoming out on April 19th, Bitcoin has recovered by approximately 12%, climbing to $67,000 as of April 23rd. It is currently testing its previously breached ascending support as a resistance level. Looking ahead, there are two potential scenarios:

自 4 月 19 日触底以来，比特币已回升约 12%，截至 4 月 23 日攀升至 67,000 美元。目前它正在测试之前被突破的上升支撑位作为阻力位。展望未来，有两种可能的情况：

1. Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin could break through the $67,000 resistance and continue its upward momentum, targeting higher levels. This would suggest that the March high was not the peak of the current rally and that the market is still in an overall bullish trend.
2. Pessimistic Scenario: The March high could represent the peak of a significant uptrend that started in January. The current price movements may mark the beginning of a substantial downturn, with the decline that ended on March 20th at $61,000 and the recovery to $72,900 in April representing the initial sub-waves of this downturn. In this scenario, Bitcoin could potentially fall to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $53,000, signaling the end of the correction phase and setting the stage for a continuation of the bull market.

It is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to rapid price swings. Investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions and conduct thorough research before committing funds.

乐观情景：比特币可能突破 67,000 美元阻力位，并继续其上涨势头，目标更高。这表明三月高点并不是当前反弹的顶峰，市场仍处于整体看涨趋势。 悲观情景：三月高点可能代表一月份开始的显着上升趋势的顶峰。当前的价格走势可能标志着大幅下滑的开始，3 月 20 日的跌幅结束于 61,000 美元，4 月份回升至 72,900 美元，代表了本次低迷的最初子波。在这种情况下，比特币可能会跌至 1.618 斐波那契扩展位 53,000 美元，这标志着修正阶段的结束，并为牛市的延续奠定了基础。值得注意的是，加密货币市场高度波动且受制于导致价格快速波动。投资者在做出投资决定时应谨慎行事，并在投入资金之前进行彻底的研究。