貝萊德首隻比特幣 ETF 在市場波動和阻力中遭遇挫折

貝萊德的比特幣 ETF (IBIT) 經歷了自成立以來的第一個零流入日。比特幣未能突破 67,000 美元阻力位，導致利息和價格波動下降。灰階比特幣信託基金的大量資金流出表明市場可能出現低迷，而技術分析則表明比特幣可能出現看漲或看跌的情況。

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Stalls amid Market Volatility and Resistance Barriers

貝萊德的比特幣 ETF 在市場波動和阻力障礙中停滯不前

In a significant development, the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has recorded its first day without any inflows since its launch in January, marking a potential shift in investor sentiment towards the world's leading cryptocurrency. This development coincides with Bitcoin's inability to breach the $67,000 resistance level, raising concerns about the strength of the current rally and hinting at a possible market downturn.

一項重大進展是，貝萊德 iShares 比特幣信託基金 (IBIT) 自 1 月推出以來首日沒有任何資金流入，這標誌著投資者情緒可能轉向全球領先的加密貨幣。這一發展恰逢比特幣無法突破 67,000 美元的阻力位，引發了人們對當前反彈的擔憂，並暗示市場可能陷入低迷。

Zero Inflows for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF

貝萊德比特幣 ETF 零流入

On April 24th, the IBIT, which provides investors with exposure to Bitcoin without the need for direct ownership, experienced a day without any new investments. This marked a notable departure from its previous trajectory, where it had attracted millions of dollars daily and amassed nearly $15.5 billion in assets under management within just 71 days.

4 月 24 日，為投資者提供比特幣投資而無需直接擁有所有權的 IBIT 經歷了沒有任何新投資的一天。這與先前的軌跡顯著背離，此前該公司每天吸引數百萬美元資金，並在短短 71 天內累積了近 155 億美元的管理資產。

While most other Bitcoin ETFs also saw no inflows on the same day, the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund and the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF bucked the trend, receiving inflows of $5.6 million and $4.2 million, respectively. However, these inflows were offset by a significant $130.4 million outflow from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, resulting in a net outflow of $120.6 million across all Bitcoin ETFs.

雖然大多數其他比特幣 ETF 同日也沒有資金流入，但 Fidelity Wise Origin 比特幣基金和 ARK 21Shares 比特幣 ETF 逆勢而上，分別收到 560 萬美元和 420 萬美元的資金流入。然而，這些資金流入被灰階比特幣信託基金 1.304 億美元的巨額流出所抵消，導致所有比特幣 ETF 淨流出 1.206 億美元。

Despite occasional days of zero inflows for other funds like Fidelity's FBTC, the overall US Bitcoin ETF market has grown substantially since the launch of the first such product in October 2021, with total assets under management currently standing at $12.3 billion. However, the outflows from the Grayscale fund, which has lost over $17 billion since January 11th, have partially offset these gains.

儘管其他基金如 Fidelity 的 FBTC 偶爾出現零流入，但自 2021 年 10 月推出第一個此類產品以來，美國比特幣 ETF 整體市場已大幅增長，目前管理的總資產達到 123 億美元。然而，自 1 月 11 日以來已損失超過 170 億美元的 Grayscale 基金的資金流出部分抵消了這些收益。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

After reaching a high of nearly $74,000 on March 13th, Bitcoin has experienced several price fluctuations, including a sharp drop below $60,000 on April 17th. This peak may represent the third wave in a five-wave pattern that began in November 2022, suggesting that the recent downturn is a typical fourth-wave correction that could be followed by another rally.

在3月13日達到近74,000美元的高點後，比特幣經歷了多次價格波動，其中包括4月17日大幅跌破60,000美元。該高峰可能代表 2022 年 11 月開始的五浪模式中的第三浪，顯示近期的低迷是典型的第四浪修正，隨後可能會出現另一次反彈。

Since bottoming out on April 19th, Bitcoin has recovered by approximately 12%, climbing to $67,000 as of April 23rd. It is currently testing its previously breached ascending support as a resistance level. Looking ahead, there are two potential scenarios:

自 4 月 19 日觸底以來，比特幣已回升約 12%，截至 4 月 23 日攀升至 67,000 美元。目前它正在測試先前被突破的上升支撐位作為阻力位。展望未來，有兩種可能的情況：

1. Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin could break through the $67,000 resistance and continue its upward momentum, targeting higher levels. This would suggest that the March high was not the peak of the current rally and that the market is still in an overall bullish trend.
2. Pessimistic Scenario: The March high could represent the peak of a significant uptrend that started in January. The current price movements may mark the beginning of a substantial downturn, with the decline that ended on March 20th at $61,000 and the recovery to $72,900 in April representing the initial sub-waves of this downturn. In this scenario, Bitcoin could potentially fall to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $53,000, signaling the end of the correction phase and setting the stage for a continuation of the bull market.

It is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to rapid price swings. Investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions and conduct thorough research before committing funds.

樂觀情境：比特幣可能突破 67,000 美元阻力位，並繼續其上漲勢頭，目標更高。這表明三月高點並不是當前反彈的頂峰，市場仍處於整體看漲趨勢。當前的價格走勢可能標誌著大幅下滑的開始，3 月 20 日的跌幅結束於 61,000 美元，4 月回升至 72,900 美元，代表了本次低迷的最初子波。在這種情況下，比特幣可能會跌至1.618 斐波那契擴展位53,000 美元，這標誌著修正階段的結束，並為牛市的延續奠定了基礎。受制於導致價格快速波動。投資者在做出投資決定時應謹慎行事，並在投入資金之前進行徹底的研究。