BITMEX创始人Arthur Hayes预测比特币（BTC）将抵制销售压力，并持有76.5k美元，直到美国税务截止日期

BITMEX创始人Arthur Hayes预测，如果比特币可以抵抗销售压力，并以76.5k美元的价格持有，直到4月15日的美国税务截止日期为止，市场可能会稳定。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes is known for his bold predictions, and recently he shared his thoughts on the crypto market in typical blunt fashion.

Bitmex创始人亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）以其大胆的预测而闻名，最近他以典型的直率方式分享了对加密货币市场的想法。

If Bitcoin can resist selling pressure and hold at $76.5k until the U.S. tax deadline on April 15, then the market might stabilize, he claimed.

他声称，如果比特币可以抵抗销售压力，并在4月15日的美国税务截止日期之前持有76.5万美元，那么市场可能会稳定。

However, also stated that the market usually reacts poorly to “Liberation day”, which is a time when people celebrate being free from something.

但是，还指出，市场通常对“解放日”的反应很差，这是人们庆祝摆脱某些东西的时期。

He also advised traders to be cautious and avoid loss at the time of this volatility.

他还建议交易者保持谨慎，并在这种波动时避免损失。

However, not all share the same sentiment. According to Michael Van de Poppe, another well known trader, Liberation Day could act as the ” ultimate trigger” for Bitcoin to break above $87K, propelling the token to new ATH.

但是，并非所有人都有相同的观点。据另一位知名交易者迈克尔·范·德·波普（Michael Van de Poppe）称，解放日可以充当比特币超过87,000美元的“终极触发”，将令牌推向新Ath。

Recently, Trump labelled April 2 as “Liberation Day,” in an effort to rally support for his administration’s agenda.

最近，特朗普将4月2日标记为“解放日”，以集会支持其政府的议程。

The President asserted that this day will witness the U.S. becoming free from its dependence on foreign goods, thanks to the efforts of the Trump administration.

总统断言，由于特朗普政府的努力，这一天将见证美国摆脱对外国商品的依赖。

His administration has been pushing the boundaries of global trade with its strategy to impose ‘reciprocal tariffs.’ This move is designed to counter the duties that other countries place on American products.

他的政府一直通过其征收“互惠关税”的战略来推动全球贸易的界限。此举旨在应对其他国家对美国产品的职责。

For the crypto market, analysts say it’s a recipe for volatility at least in the short term, and risk may be underestimated. Some predict BTC to fell to $75k but could reach $120k by the fourth quarter of this year.

对于加密市场，分析师说，至少在短期内，这是波动性的秘诀，风险可能会被低估。一些人预测，BTC跌至7.5万美元，但到今年第四季度可能会达到12万美元。

“Short-term, BTC might dip to $75k with market jitters, but by Q4, expect $100k-$120k as Trump’s pro-crypto moves—like picking David Sacks as ‘crypto czar’ and eyeing Bitcoin reserves—kick in. Tariffs shred globalist trade, paving the way for decentralized wealth. Long-term? BTC could hit $150k by 2026 as the dollar fades.”

“短期，BTC可能会随着市场抖动的价格降至75,000美元，但到4季度，特朗普的亲克赖特托（Pro-Crypto）的动作（例如，将戴维·萨克斯（David Sacks）作为“加密货币沙皇”（Crypto czar）和注意力比特币（Bitcoin Reserves）的挑选，将$ 15的税率打入。褪色。”

While there is a market consensus for price fluctuations in the near-term, this dip could present an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a lower price for long-term gains. Experts advise monitoring the BTC funding rate. A shift to negative rates could indicate a buying opportunity.

尽管在短期内有价格波动的市场共识，但这种下降可能会提供一个机会，以较低的价格购买比特币以换取长期收益。专家建议监视BTC融资率。转移到负利率可能表明购买机会。

In cryptocurrency futures trading, funding rates are periodic payments exchanged between traders based on the difference between the perpetual contract price and the spot price.

在加密货币期货交易中，基于永久合同价格和现货价格之间的差额，筹资率是交易者之间定期付款的。