BITMEX創始人Arthur Hayes預測比特幣（BTC）將抵制銷售壓力，並持有76.5k美元，直到美國稅務截止日期

BITMEX創始人Arthur Hayes預測，如果比特幣可以抵抗銷售壓力，並以76.5k美元的價格持有，直到4月15日的美國稅務截止日期為止，市場可能會穩定。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes is known for his bold predictions, and recently he shared his thoughts on the crypto market in typical blunt fashion.

Bitmex創始人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）以其大膽的預測而聞名，最近他以典型的直率方式分享了對加密貨幣市場的想法。

If Bitcoin can resist selling pressure and hold at $76.5k until the U.S. tax deadline on April 15, then the market might stabilize, he claimed.

他聲稱，如果比特幣可以抵抗銷售壓力，並在4月15日的美國稅務截止日期之前持有76.5萬美元，那麼市場可能會穩定。

However, also stated that the market usually reacts poorly to “Liberation day”, which is a time when people celebrate being free from something.

但是，還指出，市場通常對“解放日”的反應很差，這是人們慶祝擺脫某些東西的時期。

He also advised traders to be cautious and avoid loss at the time of this volatility.

他還建議交易者保持謹慎，並在這種波動時避免損失。

However, not all share the same sentiment. According to Michael Van de Poppe, another well known trader, Liberation Day could act as the ” ultimate trigger” for Bitcoin to break above $87K, propelling the token to new ATH.

但是，並非所有人都有相同的觀點。據另一位知名交易者邁克爾·範·德·波普（Michael Van de Poppe）稱，解放日可以充當比特幣超過87,000美元的“終極觸發”，將令牌推向新Ath。

Recently, Trump labelled April 2 as “Liberation Day,” in an effort to rally support for his administration’s agenda.

最近，特朗普將4月2日標記為“解放日”，以集會支持其政府的議程。

The President asserted that this day will witness the U.S. becoming free from its dependence on foreign goods, thanks to the efforts of the Trump administration.

總統斷言，由於特朗普政府的努力，這一天將見證美國擺脫對外國商品的依賴。

His administration has been pushing the boundaries of global trade with its strategy to impose ‘reciprocal tariffs.’ This move is designed to counter the duties that other countries place on American products.

他的政府一直通過其徵收“互惠關稅”的戰略來推動全球貿易的界限。此舉旨在應對其他國家對美國產品的職責。

For the crypto market, analysts say it’s a recipe for volatility at least in the short term, and risk may be underestimated. Some predict BTC to fell to $75k but could reach $120k by the fourth quarter of this year.

對於加密市場，分析師說，至少在短期內，這是波動性的秘訣，風險可能會被低估。一些人預測，BTC跌至7.5萬美元，但到今年第四季度可能會達到12萬美元。

“Short-term, BTC might dip to $75k with market jitters, but by Q4, expect $100k-$120k as Trump’s pro-crypto moves—like picking David Sacks as ‘crypto czar’ and eyeing Bitcoin reserves—kick in. Tariffs shred globalist trade, paving the way for decentralized wealth. Long-term? BTC could hit $150k by 2026 as the dollar fades.”

“短期，BTC可能會隨著市場抖動的價格降至75,000美元，但到4季度，特朗普的親克賴特托（Pro-Crypto）的動作（例如，將戴維·薩克斯（David Sacks）作為“加密貨幣沙皇”（Crypto czar）和注意力比特幣（Bitcoin Reserves）的挑選，將$ 15的稅率打入。褪色。”

While there is a market consensus for price fluctuations in the near-term, this dip could present an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a lower price for long-term gains. Experts advise monitoring the BTC funding rate. A shift to negative rates could indicate a buying opportunity.

儘管在短期內有價格波動的市場共識，但這種下降可能會提供一個機會，以較低的價格購買比特幣以換取長期收益。專家建議監視BTC融資率。轉移到負利率可能表明購買機會。

In cryptocurrency futures trading, funding rates are periodic payments exchanged between traders based on the difference between the perpetual contract price and the spot price.

在加密貨幣期貨交易中，基於永久合同價格和現貨價格之間的差額，籌資率是交易者之間定期付款的。