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比特币鲸鱼——持有 1,000 或更多 BTC 的钱包——今年一直在增加。不断增长的人口引发了人们的猜测,即比特币正准备摆脱近期的价格低迷,并可能创下历史新高。
Key Takeaways
要点
Bitcoin whales, defined as wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC, have seen a remarkable surge this year.
比特币鲸鱼被定义为持有至少 1,000 BTC 的钱包,今年出现了显着的激增。
The rising whale population has sparked speculation that Bitcoin is gearing up to break free from its recent price doldrums and possibly reach a new all-time high.
鲸鱼数量的增加引发了人们的猜测,即比特币正准备摆脱近期的价格低迷,并可能创下新的历史新高。
According to data from Glassnode, the number of Bitcoin whales has surged to 1,678, marking the highest level since January 2021.
Glassnode的数据显示,比特币鲸鱼数量已飙升至1678头,创下2021年1月以来的最高水平。
Over the past month, these whales have rapidly accumulated an impressive 173,000 Bitcoins ($11.7 billion).
在过去的一个月里,这些鲸鱼迅速积累了令人印象深刻的 173,000 个比特币(117 亿美元)。
In stark contrast, retail investor activity has slowed to a crawl, with only 1,000 BTC ($67 million) being acquired during the same period and a meager 30,000 BTC ($2 billion) being accumulated this year, indicating a historically low rate of accumulation.
与此形成鲜明对比的是,散户投资者的活动已经放缓至极点,同期仅购买了 1,000 BTC(6,700 万美元),今年积累的比特币也只有区区 30,000 BTC(20 亿美元),这表明积累率处于历史最低水平。
This occurs despite Bitcoin's price remaining relatively stagnant, with brief upticks being countered by rising U.S. Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at $67,361.27.
尽管比特币的价格仍然相对停滞,但美国国债收益率上升和美元走强抵消了短暂的上涨,但这种情况还是发生了。截至撰写本文时,BTC 的价值为 67,361.27 美元。
Bitcoin Whales Amass Over $100 Billion in BTC
比特币鲸鱼积累了超过 1000 亿美元的 BTC
Over the past six months, as Bitcoin's price soared to new heights, whales wasted no time in amassing a staggering 1.5 million BTC, valued at $100.8 billion.
在过去的六个月里,随着比特币价格飙升至新高,鲸鱼们不失时机地积累了惊人的 150 万枚比特币,价值 1008 亿美元。
As one X user put it, “Whales are ready to welcome FOMO by dumb money.”
正如一位 X 用户所说,“鲸鱼已经准备好用愚蠢的钱来欢迎 FOMO。”
The data certainly seems to support this optimism, with a surge in new whale wallets being observed. Specifically, wallets holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days surged to a record high, revealing that these whales now hold an incredible 1.97 million BTC.
数据似乎支持了这种乐观情绪,新的鲸鱼钱包数量激增。具体来说,持有比特币时间不到 155 天的钱包飙升至历史新高,这表明这些鲸鱼现在拥有令人难以置信的 197 万比特币。
This influx of fresh capital resulted in a remarkable 813% year-to-date surge in the balance of these non-miner, potentially custodial wallets, now valued at $132 billion.
新资本的涌入导致这些非矿工、潜在托管钱包的余额今年迄今大幅飙升 813%,目前价值 1,320 亿美元。
The significance of this trend cannot be overstated, as it now constitutes an impressive 9.3% of the total Bitcoin supply.
这一趋势的重要性怎么强调都不为过,因为它目前占比特币总供应量的 9.3%,令人印象深刻。
While this whale activity bodes well for Bitcoin's long-term prospects, there are caveats to consider. Notably, long-term holders and miners may introduce resistance to price increases as they stabilize their positions or take profits.
虽然这种鲸鱼活动对比特币的长期前景来说是个好兆头,但也有一些警告需要考虑。值得注意的是,长期持有者和矿工在稳定头寸或获利了结时可能会对价格上涨产生阻力。
For instance, miners may adjust their payment periods to coincide with price peaks, which could temper price growth.
例如,矿商可能会调整付款期限以适应价格峰值,这可能会抑制价格增长。
However, the accumulation of Bitcoin by short-term holders suggests that the market can absorb potential selling pressure, alleviating concerns of a sharp price correction.
然而,短期持有者增持比特币表明市场可以吸收潜在的抛售压力,从而缓解对价格大幅调整的担忧。
Moreover, whale activity is often a subject of discussion, with some expressing concerns about price manipulation due to the ability of these large wallets to influence market conditions with their trades.
此外,鲸鱼活动经常成为讨论的主题,一些人对价格操纵表示担忧,因为这些大钱包有能力通过其交易影响市场状况。
On the other hand, their accumulation of Bitcoin often signals confidence and can drive prices higher by decreasing the available supply.
另一方面,他们积累比特币通常表明信心,并可以通过减少可用供应来推高价格。
Furthermore, whale activity also tends to indicate broader market cycles, with increased buying hinting at potential market bottoms and upcoming bullish phases.
此外,鲸鱼活动也往往表明更广泛的市场周期,购买增加暗示潜在的市场底部和即将到来的牛市阶段。
During bear markets or corrections, whales may accumulate Bitcoin, indicating a potential market bottom and an upcoming bullish phase. Conversely, when they begin to sell, it may indicate a market peak or the start of a correction, influencing the decisions of smaller investors.
在熊市或调整期间,鲸鱼可能会积累比特币,这表明潜在的市场底部和即将到来的牛市阶段。相反,当他们开始抛售时,可能表明市场见顶或调整开始,从而影响中小投资者的决策。
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