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比特幣鯨魚——持有 1,000 或更多 BTC 的錢包——今年一直在增加。不斷增長的人口引發了人們的猜測,比特幣正準備擺脫近期的價格低迷,並可能創下歷史新高。
Key Takeaways
重點
Bitcoin whales, defined as wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC, have seen a remarkable surge this year.
比特幣鯨魚被定義為持有至少 1,000 BTC 的錢包,今年出現了顯著的激增。
The rising whale population has sparked speculation that Bitcoin is gearing up to break free from its recent price doldrums and possibly reach a new all-time high.
鯨魚數量的增加引發了人們的猜測,比特幣正準備擺脫近期的價格低迷,並可能創下新的歷史新高。
According to data from Glassnode, the number of Bitcoin whales has surged to 1,678, marking the highest level since January 2021.
Glassnode的數據顯示,比特幣鯨魚數量已飆升至1,678頭,創下2021年1月以來的最高水準。
Over the past month, these whales have rapidly accumulated an impressive 173,000 Bitcoins ($11.7 billion).
在過去的一個月裡,這些鯨魚迅速累積了令人印象深刻的 173,000 個比特幣(117 億美元)。
In stark contrast, retail investor activity has slowed to a crawl, with only 1,000 BTC ($67 million) being acquired during the same period and a meager 30,000 BTC ($2 billion) being accumulated this year, indicating a historically low rate of accumulation.
與此形成鮮明對比的是,散戶投資者的活動已經放緩至極點,同期僅購買了1,000 BTC(6,700 萬美元),今年積累的比特幣也只有區區30,000 BTC(20 億美元),這表明積累率處於歷史最低水準。
This occurs despite Bitcoin's price remaining relatively stagnant, with brief upticks being countered by rising U.S. Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at $67,361.27.
儘管比特幣的價格仍然相對停滯,但美國國債殖利率上升和美元走強抵消了短暫的上漲,但這種情況還是發生了。截至撰寫本文時,BTC 的價值為 67,361.27 美元。
Bitcoin Whales Amass Over $100 Billion in BTC
比特幣鯨魚累積了超過 1000 億美元的 BTC
Over the past six months, as Bitcoin's price soared to new heights, whales wasted no time in amassing a staggering 1.5 million BTC, valued at $100.8 billion.
在過去的六個月裡,隨著比特幣價格飆升至新高,鯨魚們不失時機地累積了驚人的 150 萬枚比特幣,價值 1008 億美元。
As one X user put it, “Whales are ready to welcome FOMO by dumb money.”
正如一位 X 用戶所說,“鯨魚已經準備好用愚蠢的錢來歡迎 FOMO。”
The data certainly seems to support this optimism, with a surge in new whale wallets being observed. Specifically, wallets holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days surged to a record high, revealing that these whales now hold an incredible 1.97 million BTC.
數據似乎支持了這種樂觀情緒,新的鯨魚錢包數量激增。具體來說,持有比特幣時間不到 155 天的錢包飆升至歷史新高,這表明這些鯨魚現在擁有令人難以置信的 197 萬比特幣。
This influx of fresh capital resulted in a remarkable 813% year-to-date surge in the balance of these non-miner, potentially custodial wallets, now valued at $132 billion.
新資本的湧入導致這些非礦工、潛在託管錢包的餘額今年迄今大幅飆升 813%,目前價值 1,320 億美元。
The significance of this trend cannot be overstated, as it now constitutes an impressive 9.3% of the total Bitcoin supply.
這一趨勢的重要性怎麼強調都不為過,因為它目前佔比特幣總供應量的 9.3%,而且令人印象深刻。
While this whale activity bodes well for Bitcoin's long-term prospects, there are caveats to consider. Notably, long-term holders and miners may introduce resistance to price increases as they stabilize their positions or take profits.
雖然這種鯨魚活動對比特幣的長期前景來說是個好兆頭,但也有一些警告需要考慮。值得注意的是,長期持有者和礦工在穩定部位或獲利了結時可能會對價格上漲產生阻力。
For instance, miners may adjust their payment periods to coincide with price peaks, which could temper price growth.
例如,礦商可能會調整付款期限以適應價格峰值,這可能會抑制價格成長。
However, the accumulation of Bitcoin by short-term holders suggests that the market can absorb potential selling pressure, alleviating concerns of a sharp price correction.
然而,短期持有者增持比特幣表明市場可以吸收潛在的拋售壓力,從而緩解對價格大幅調整的擔憂。
Moreover, whale activity is often a subject of discussion, with some expressing concerns about price manipulation due to the ability of these large wallets to influence market conditions with their trades.
此外,鯨魚活動經常成為討論的主題,有些人對價格操縱表示擔憂,因為這些大錢包有能力透過其交易影響市場狀況。
On the other hand, their accumulation of Bitcoin often signals confidence and can drive prices higher by decreasing the available supply.
另一方面,他們累積比特幣通常表明信心,並可以透過減少可用供應來推高價格。
Furthermore, whale activity also tends to indicate broader market cycles, with increased buying hinting at potential market bottoms and upcoming bullish phases.
此外,鯨魚活動也往往表明更廣泛的市場週期,購買增加暗示潛在的市場底部和即將到來的牛市階段。
During bear markets or corrections, whales may accumulate Bitcoin, indicating a potential market bottom and an upcoming bullish phase. Conversely, when they begin to sell, it may indicate a market peak or the start of a correction, influencing the decisions of smaller investors.
在熊市或調整期間,鯨魚可能會累積比特幣,這表明潛在的市場底部和即將到來的牛市階段。相反,當他們開始拋售時,可能表明市場見頂或調整開始,從而影響中小投資者的決策。
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