比特币1周实现的波动率最近达到了低水平

数据表明，比特币的每周波动率最近跌落，这在历史上导致了资产的暴力减压。

Bitcoin 1-Week Realized Volatility Hit A Low Recently, What Happens Next?

比特币1周实现的波动率最近降低了，接下来会发生什么？

Bitcoin’s 1-week realized volatility has recently seen a sharp decline. This could signal a violent price move for the asset.

比特币的1周意识到波动率最近急剧下降。这可能表明资产的暴力价格转移。

Bitcoin’s price has been consolidating around the $100,000 mark for the past few weeks. During this period, the volatility of the cryptocurrency has also been decreasing.

在过去几周中，比特币的价格一直在合并约100,000美元。在此期间，加密货币的波动也正在减少。

Now, a new analysis of the realized volatility metric is showing that BTC’s volatility has hit a low level. Historically, such lows have been followed by large price movements.

现在，对已实现的波动率指标的新分析表明，BTC的波动性达到了低水平。从历史上看，此类低价之后是巨大的价格变动。

Bitcoin 1-Week Realized Volatility Shows Minimal Changes In Recent Times

比特币1周实现的波动率在近期显示最小的变化

In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr has discussed about the trend in the Realized Volatility for Bitcoin. The “Realized Volatility” here refers to an indicator that calculates how ‘volatile’ BTC has been using its percentage returns during a specific window of time.

在X上的新帖子中，CryptoQuant作家Axel Adler JR讨论了比特币实现波动率的趋势。这里的“实现波动”是指计算在特定时间窗口中使用其'volatile'BTC使用其百分比回报的指标。

In the context of the current topic, the window is of one week. Thus, this version of the Realized Volatility tells us about the percentage difference between the price high and low during the past week.

在当前主题的背景下，窗口为一周。因此，这种已实现的波动率的版本告诉我们过去一周价格高和低之间的百分比差异。

Below is the chart for the indicator shared by the analyst, that shows the trend in its value during the last few years.

以下是分析师共享的指标的图表，该图表显示了过去几年其价值的趋势。

As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin 1-week Realized Volatility has recently seen a sharp decline to the 8.7% mark. This is a low level for this cycle, as the metric has only gone below it on a few occasions.

如上图中可见的那样，比特币1周实现的波动率最近急剧下降到8.7％。这是此周期的低水平，因为该度量仅在几次时才低于它。

In the chart, the analyst has highlighted all the instances where the indicator touched this line or fell under it. Interestingly, the volatility of the cryptocurrency compressing to this degree has generally led into a violent move for its price.

在图表中，分析师强调了指标触及此线或落在其下方的所有实例。有趣的是，加密货币压缩到该学位的波动通常导致其价格暴力行动。

There is no particular pattern related to whether the move following a low volatility period would be bearish or bullish, though, as BTC has seen both types of trends during the last few years.

但是，在过去几年中BTC看到两种类型的趋势时，较低的波动期之后的举动是看跌或看涨的，没有特定模式。

The last time that the 1-week Realized Volatility declined to the level, for example, led into a bull rally for Bitcoin. The instance before that, on the other hand, resulted in bearish action for the coin.

例如，1周意识到波动率的最后一次下降到了水平，导致了比特币的公牛集会。另一方面，在此之前的实例导致了硬币的看跌作用。

Adler Jr has also pointed out that BTC is currently trading near its 111-day moving average (MA), a level that has been important for it over the years. “If conditions do not improve, the next move could be a drop to $92K, below the 111DMA,” notes the analyst.

小阿德勒（Adler JR）还指出，BTC目前正在交易其111天移动平均线（MA），这一水平对其多年来很重要。分析师指出：“如果条件没有改善，下一步可能会降至111DMA以下的$ 92K。”

Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Shows Short Volume Leading The Market

比特币净收到的量显示了领先市场的短量

In some other news, the Bitcoin Net Taker Volume, a metric that measures the difference between the taker buy and taker sell volumes of BTC, has dipped into the negative zone recently, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has explained in an X post.

在其他一些新闻中，比特币净接收器数量是衡量Taker Buy和Taker销售BTC销售量之间差异的指标，最近降低了负区域，正如隐秘的社区分析师Maartunn在X帖子中解释的那样。

The indicator’s dip into the red territory means the short volume is outpacing the long one, so a bearish sentiment is shared by the derivatives traders. Interestingly, as the analyst has highlighted in the above graph, this pattern has consistently signaled a local bottom for Bitcoin during the recent phase of consolidation.

指标向红色领土的下降意味着短卷超过了长期的量，因此衍生品交易员共享看跌的情绪。有趣的是，正如分析师在上图中强调的那样，这种模式一直在固结阶段始终向比特币的局部底部发出信号。

BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $97,400, up around 1% in the last 24 hours.

BTC在写作时的价格，比特币的价格约为97,400美元，在过去24小时内上涨了约1％。