数十年不活跃的比特币钱包常常引起公众骚乱，就是这个原因

加密鲸鱼（又称大投资者）的动向通常是加密社区之间讨论的主题。因为每一次鲸鱼的运动，尤其是在交易加密资产时，往往会影响市场方向的运动。这一次，11年来不活跃的比特币鲸鱼之一突然开始进入市场。

The cryptocurrency community is often interested in the activities of crypto whales, also known as large investors, in the market. Because every movement of a whale, especially in trading crypto assets, often influences the direction of the market's movement. This time, one of the Bitcoin whales that has been inactive for 11 years has suddenly returned to the market.

加密货币社区通常对加密鲸鱼（也称为大投资者）在市场上的活动感兴趣。因为鲸鱼的每一个动作，尤其是在加密资产交易中，往往会影响市场的运动方向。这一次，一位沉寂11年的比特币巨鲸突然重返市场。

The Whale Alert blockchain data monitoring platform reported on Sunday, December 29, an old Bitcoin address that was reactivated after being inactive for 11 years. The crypto wallet, which is known to belong to a whale, reportedly transferred 357 BTC, which is currently valued at around US$34,070,177 (Rp551.9 billion). The whale sent the Bitcoin to a new wallet address.

Whale Alert区块链数据监控平台12月29日周日报道称，一个旧的比特币地址在闲置11年后被重新激活。据报道，该加密钱包属于鲸鱼，转移了 357 BTC，目前价值约为 34,070,177 美元（5,519 亿盾）。鲸鱼将比特币发送到一个新的钱包地址。

Bitcoin wallets that have been inactive for years often spark public curiosity. Not without reason, this is because the wallet is likely owned by an early pioneer of Bitcoin. Meanwhile, there are several factors that can cause a crypto wallet to be inactive for up to a dozen years.

多年不活跃的比特币钱包常常会引发公众的好奇心。并非没有原因，这是因为该钱包很可能由比特币的早期先驱拥有。与此同时，有几个因素可能导致加密钱包长达十几年不活跃。

The reasons vary widely, from owners forgetting their passwords, storing assets for the long term (also known as HODL), and security concerns. In this case, the owners of a crypto asset may feel that the current market conditions are interesting enough to sell or reinvest their assets, or they may have just rediscovered the key to the wallet. However, the exact reason remains a mystery.

原因多种多样，包括所有者忘记密码、长期存储资产（也称为 HODL）以及安全问题。在这种情况下，加密资产的所有者可能会觉得当前的市场状况足够有趣，可以出售或再投资其资产，或者他们可能刚刚重新发现了钱包的钥匙。然而，确切的原因仍然是个谜。

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On Sunday, December 30, the price of Bitcoin was at US$94,673 (Rp1.53 billion), after previously reaching a record high of US$108,316 (Rp1.75 billion) on December 17. Unfortunately, this momentum is starting to slow down, and the price of Bitcoin is now starting to experience its first monthly decline since September.

12 月 30 日星期日，比特币价格为 94,673 美元（15.3 亿盾），此前在 12 月 17 日触及 108,316 美元（17.5 亿盾）的历史新高。不幸的是，这一势头开始放缓，比特币的价格现在开始经历自 9 月份以来的首次月度下跌。

However, analysts are still optimistic about the price movements in the remaining days of December. According to analytics firm Santiment, the accumulating trend by "whales" or large investors, despite the low trading volume, could trigger an unexpected price spike before the end of 2024.

不过，分析师仍对 12 月剩余几天的价格走势持乐观态度。据分析公司 Santiment 称，尽管交易量较低，但“鲸鱼”或大型投资者的积累趋势可能会在 2024 年底之前引发意外的价格飙升。

Projections for 2025 also show promising prospects for Bitcoin. According to a report by Galaxy Research, Bitcoin is expected to cross US$150,000 (Rp2.43 billion) in the first half of 2025 and could reach US$185,000 (Rp3.0 billion) by the end of the year.

对 2025 年的预测也显示了比特币的光明前景。根据 Galaxy Research 的一份报告，比特币预计在 2025 年上半年将突破 150,000 美元（24.3 亿盾），到年底可能达到 185,000 美元（30 亿盾）。

The main driving factor includes institutional adoption, whether by corporations or even national governments. Throughout its history, Bitcoin has shown a faster appreciation than other asset classes, such as the S&P 500 and gold, and this trend is expected to continue. In fact, Galaxy predicts that Bitcoin could reach 20% of the gold market capitalization.

主要驱动因素包括机构采用，无论是企业还是国家政府。纵观其历史，比特币的升值速度快于标准普尔 500 指数和黄金等其他资产类别，并且这一趋势预计将持续下去。事实上，Galaxy 预测比特币可能达到黄金市值的 20%。

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