數十年來不活躍的比特幣錢包常常引起公眾騷亂，就是這個原因

加密鯨魚（又稱大投資者）的動向通常是加密社群之間討論的主題。因為每一次鯨魚的運動，尤其是在交易加密資產時，往往會影響市場方向的移動。這一次，11年來不活躍的比特幣鯨魚之一突然開始進入市場。

The cryptocurrency community is often interested in the activities of crypto whales, also known as large investors, in the market. Because every movement of a whale, especially in trading crypto assets, often influences the direction of the market's movement. This time, one of the Bitcoin whales that has been inactive for 11 years has suddenly returned to the market.

加密貨幣社群通常對加密鯨魚（也稱為大投資者）在市場上的活動感興趣。因為鯨魚的每一個動作，尤其是在加密資產交易中，往往會影響市場的移動方向。這一次，一位沉寂11年的比特幣巨鯨突然重返市場。

The Whale Alert blockchain data monitoring platform reported on Sunday, December 29, an old Bitcoin address that was reactivated after being inactive for 11 years. The crypto wallet, which is known to belong to a whale, reportedly transferred 357 BTC, which is currently valued at around US$34,070,177 (Rp551.9 billion). The whale sent the Bitcoin to a new wallet address.

Whale Alert區塊鏈數據監控平台12月29日週日報道稱，一個舊的比特幣地址在閒置11年後被重新激活。據報道，該加密錢包屬於鯨魚，轉移了 357 BTC，目前價值約為 34,070,177 美元（5,519 億盾）。鯨魚將比特幣發送到一個新的錢包地址。

Bitcoin wallets that have been inactive for years often spark public curiosity. Not without reason, this is because the wallet is likely owned by an early pioneer of Bitcoin. Meanwhile, there are several factors that can cause a crypto wallet to be inactive for up to a dozen years.

多年來不活躍的比特幣錢包常常會引發大眾的好奇心。並非沒有原因，這是因為該錢包很可能由比特幣的早期先驅擁有。同時，有幾個因素可能導致加密錢包長達十多年不活躍。

The reasons vary widely, from owners forgetting their passwords, storing assets for the long term (also known as HODL), and security concerns. In this case, the owners of a crypto asset may feel that the current market conditions are interesting enough to sell or reinvest their assets, or they may have just rediscovered the key to the wallet. However, the exact reason remains a mystery.

原因多種多樣，包括所有者忘記密碼、長期儲存資產（也稱為 HODL）以及安全性問題。在這種情況下，加密資產的所有者可能會覺得當前的市場狀況足夠有趣，可以出售或再投資其資產，或者他們可能剛剛重新發現了錢包的鑰匙。然而，確切的原因仍然是個謎。

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On Sunday, December 30, the price of Bitcoin was at US$94,673 (Rp1.53 billion), after previously reaching a record high of US$108,316 (Rp1.75 billion) on December 17. Unfortunately, this momentum is starting to slow down, and the price of Bitcoin is now starting to experience its first monthly decline since September.

12 月 30 日星期日，比特幣價格為 94,673 美元（15.3 億盾），此前在 12 月 17 日觸及 108,316 美元（17.5 億盾）的歷史新高。價格現在開始經歷自9 月以來的首次月度下跌。

However, analysts are still optimistic about the price movements in the remaining days of December. According to analytics firm Santiment, the accumulating trend by "whales" or large investors, despite the low trading volume, could trigger an unexpected price spike before the end of 2024.

不過，分析師仍對 12 月剩餘幾天的價格走勢持樂觀態度。據分析公司 Santiment 稱，儘管交易量較低，但「鯨魚」或大型投資者的累積趨勢可能會在 2024 年底之前引發意外的價格飆升。

Projections for 2025 also show promising prospects for Bitcoin. According to a report by Galaxy Research, Bitcoin is expected to cross US$150,000 (Rp2.43 billion) in the first half of 2025 and could reach US$185,000 (Rp3.0 billion) by the end of the year.

對 2025 年的預測也顯示了比特幣的光明前景。根據 Galaxy Research 的報告，比特幣預計在 2025 年上半年將突破 15 萬美元（24.3 億盾），到年底可能達到 18.5 萬美元（30 億盾）。

The main driving factor includes institutional adoption, whether by corporations or even national governments. Throughout its history, Bitcoin has shown a faster appreciation than other asset classes, such as the S&P 500 and gold, and this trend is expected to continue. In fact, Galaxy predicts that Bitcoin could reach 20% of the gold market capitalization.

主要驅動因素包括機構採用，無論是企業或國家政府。縱觀其歷史，比特幣的升值速度快於標準普爾 500 指數和黃金等其他資產類別，而這一趨勢預計將持續下去。事實上，Galaxy 預測比特幣可能達到黃金市值的 20%。

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