简短的比特币上升趋势表示严重程度较小，持续下降周期的持续时间较短

加密市场，尤其是比特币（$ btc），正处于更低的水平。根据Crypto Dan的数据，比特币（$ btc）生态系统的当前下降周期正在显示背靠背下降的最糟糕情况。

Crypto Dan, a popular crypto analyst, has shared insights into the Bitcoin’s latest downturn. The crypto market, and particularly Bitcoin ($BTC), is plunging to further low levels. According to the data from Crypto Dan, the current down cycle of the Bitcoin ($BTC) ecosystem is displaying the worst scenario with back-to-back dips. However, in a recent analysis, the crypto analyst explained why he believes that the downturn may be milder and shorter-lived than past cycles.

受欢迎的加密分析师Crypto Dan已经分享了对比特币最新经济局面的见解。加密市场，尤其是比特币（$ btc），正处于更低的水平。根据Crypto Dan的数据，比特币（$ btc）生态系统的当前下降周期正在显示背靠背下降的最糟糕情况。但是，在最近的一项分析中，加密分析师解释了为什么他认为衰退可能比过去的周期更温和，寿命更短。

“Worst-Case Scenario, Already in Bear Market Cycle”

“最糟糕的情况，已经处于熊市周期”

“Now, let’s assume, for the worst-case scenario, that we’re already in a bear market cycle. Typically, the bear market cycles last for about a year from the all-time high. Right now, we’re a bit more than 3 months out from the all-time high, which occurred at the beginning of January 2024, at around $109,000. So, we’re roughly a quarter of the way through what could be a typical bear market cycle.”

“现在，假设在最坏的情况下，我们已经处于熊市周期的状态。通常，熊市循环持续了大约一年的历史。现在，我们从2024年1月初发生的历史高处距离历史高达3个月，这是在2024年初发生的，大约是109,000美元。

Crypto Dan further discussed the historical patterns of Bitcoin cycles. The respective statistics indicate that the recent uptrend of Bitcoin was remarkably brief in comparison with the former bull markets. Consequently, the analyst anticipates the severity and duration of the present down cycle to be relatively less extreme compared with past instances.

加密丹（Crypto Dan）进一步讨论了比特币周期的历史模式。相应的统计数据表明，与前牛市相比，比特币最近的上升趋势非常简短。因此，与过去的实例相比，分析师预计本周期的严重程度和持续时间相对较小。

“If you look at the prior cycles, we had a six-year cycle, then a four-year cycle, and now we’re transitioning into what seems like a two-year cycle. This is due to the rapid acceleration of time and technological advancements. As a result, we can expect this bear market cycle to be milder and shorter-lived.”

“如果您看先前的周期，我们有一个六年的周期，然后是一个四年的周期，现在我们正在过渡到一个两年的周期。这是由于时间和技术进步的迅速加速。结果，我们可以期望这个熊市周期更较轻，寿命更轻且更短。”

Trump Aims to Finally Support Market With Rough Methods

特朗普的目标是最终通过粗略的方法来支持市场

In a broader macroeconomic perspective, Crypto Dan noted that the recent market dynamics are closely intertwined with the unfolding political developments. Notably, U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest policy is focused on readjusting the global economic order with the U.S. at its core, a pattern observed in the aftermath of World War II. To achieve this, Trump reportedly aims to rapidly increase Bitcoin and stock prices, which have been significantly reduced, thereby strengthening his political standing.

从更广泛的宏观经济角度来看，Crypto Dan指出，最近的市场动态与不断发展的政治发展紧密地交织在一起。值得注意的是，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的最新政策着重于与美国的核心重新调整全球经济秩序，这是第二次世界大战后观察到的模式。为了实现这一目标，据报道，特朗普的目标是迅速提高比特币和股票价格，这些比特币和股价已大大降低，从而增强了他的政治地位。

“In essence, despite employing rough methods, Trump is diligently executing the necessary steps. Furthermore, in the realm of crypto, there will be a U.S. president who substantially aids in propelling Bitcoin to new all-time highs.”

“从本质上讲，尽管采用了粗略的方法，但特朗普仍在努力执行必要的步骤。此外，在加密货币领域，将有一位美国总统实质上有助于推动比特币达到新的历史高位。”