簡短的比特幣上升趨勢表示嚴重程度較小，持續下降週期的持續時間較短

加密市場，尤其是比特幣（$ btc），正處於更低的水平。根據Crypto Dan的數據，比特幣（$ btc）生態系統的當前下降週期正在顯示背靠背下降的最糟糕情況。

Crypto Dan, a popular crypto analyst, has shared insights into the Bitcoin’s latest downturn. The crypto market, and particularly Bitcoin ($BTC), is plunging to further low levels. According to the data from Crypto Dan, the current down cycle of the Bitcoin ($BTC) ecosystem is displaying the worst scenario with back-to-back dips. However, in a recent analysis, the crypto analyst explained why he believes that the downturn may be milder and shorter-lived than past cycles.

受歡迎的加密分析師Crypto Dan已經分享了對比特幣最新經濟局面的見解。加密市場，尤其是比特幣（$ btc），正處於更低的水平。根據Crypto Dan的數據，比特幣（$ btc）生態系統的當前下降週期正在顯示背靠背下降的最糟糕情況。但是，在最近的一項分析中，加密分析師解釋了為什麼他認為衰退可能比過去的周期更溫和，壽命更短。

“Worst-Case Scenario, Already in Bear Market Cycle”

“最糟糕的情況，已經處於熊市週期”

“Now, let’s assume, for the worst-case scenario, that we’re already in a bear market cycle. Typically, the bear market cycles last for about a year from the all-time high. Right now, we’re a bit more than 3 months out from the all-time high, which occurred at the beginning of January 2024, at around $109,000. So, we’re roughly a quarter of the way through what could be a typical bear market cycle.”

“現在，假設在最壞的情況下，我們已經處於熊市週期的狀態。通常，熊市循環持續了大約一年的歷史。現在，我們從2024年1月初發生的歷史高處距離歷史高達3個月，這是在2024年初發生的，大約是109,000美元。

Crypto Dan further discussed the historical patterns of Bitcoin cycles. The respective statistics indicate that the recent uptrend of Bitcoin was remarkably brief in comparison with the former bull markets. Consequently, the analyst anticipates the severity and duration of the present down cycle to be relatively less extreme compared with past instances.

加密丹（Crypto Dan）進一步討論了比特幣週期的歷史模式。相應的統計數據表明，與前牛市相比，比特幣最近的上升趨勢非常簡短。因此，與過去的實例相比，分析師預計本週期的嚴重程度和持續時間相對較小。

“If you look at the prior cycles, we had a six-year cycle, then a four-year cycle, and now we’re transitioning into what seems like a two-year cycle. This is due to the rapid acceleration of time and technological advancements. As a result, we can expect this bear market cycle to be milder and shorter-lived.”

“如果您看先前的周期，我們有一個六年的周期，然後是一個四年的周期，現在我們正在過渡到一個兩年的周期。這是由於時間和技術進步的迅速加速。結果，我們可以期望這個熊市週期更較輕，壽命更輕且更短。”

Trump Aims to Finally Support Market With Rough Methods

特朗普的目標是最終通過粗略的方法來支持市場

In a broader macroeconomic perspective, Crypto Dan noted that the recent market dynamics are closely intertwined with the unfolding political developments. Notably, U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest policy is focused on readjusting the global economic order with the U.S. at its core, a pattern observed in the aftermath of World War II. To achieve this, Trump reportedly aims to rapidly increase Bitcoin and stock prices, which have been significantly reduced, thereby strengthening his political standing.

從更廣泛的宏觀經濟角度來看，Crypto Dan指出，最近的市場動態與不斷發展的政治發展緊密地交織在一起。值得注意的是，美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的最新政策著重於與美國的核心重新調整全球經濟秩序，這是第二次世界大戰後觀察到的模式。為了實現這一目標，據報導，特朗普的目標是迅速提高比特幣和股票價格，這些比特幣和股價已大大降低，從而增強了他的政治地位。

“In essence, despite employing rough methods, Trump is diligently executing the necessary steps. Furthermore, in the realm of crypto, there will be a U.S. president who substantially aids in propelling Bitcoin to new all-time highs.”

“從本質上講，儘管採用了粗略的方法，但特朗普仍在努力執行必要的步驟。此外，在加密貨幣領域，將有一位美國總統實質上有助於推動比特幣達到新的歷史高位。”