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加密货币新闻

比特币价格回升后交易者转为看跌

2025/01/16 07:30

在一篇 X 帖子中,加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 透露,尽管比特币价格回升至 97,000 美元以上,但交易者已经转为看跌。

比特币价格回升后交易者转为看跌

The Bitcoin price has surged past the $97,000 level, sparking optimism among crypto enthusiasts. However, a closer examination of the market sentiment reveals an interesting trend. Despite the price recovery, traders seem to be pessimistic about the current price action.

比特币价格已飙升至 97,000 美元以上,引发了加密货币爱好者的乐观情绪。然而,对市场情绪的仔细研究揭示了一个有趣的趋势。尽管价格有所回升,但交易商似乎对当前的价格走势感到悲观。

According to Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst, the percentage of traders on Binance betting on a BTC price increase has decreased from 66.35% to 55.22% in the last 24 hours. This is noteworthy considering the track record of these Binance traders, who are usually right most of the time.

加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 表示,过去 24 小时内,币安押注 BTC 价格上涨的交易者比例从 66.35% 下降至 55.22%。考虑到这些币安交易员的往绩记录,这一点值得注意,他们通常大部分时间都是正确的。

While the majority of traders (55.22%) are still longing BTC, the decline in those betting on a rise suggests that there is a possibility that the recent price recovery is just a relief bounce and not a bullish reversal.

虽然大多数交易者(55.22%)仍然做多 BTC,但押注上涨的交易者数量下降表明,最近的价格复苏有可能只是一次缓解性反弹,而不是看涨逆转。

The Bitcoin price has recovered above $97,000 after dropping to below $90,000 two days ago. This recent rally could pave the way for the flagship crypto to reclaim the psychological $100,000 price level.

比特币价格在两天前跌至 90,000 美元以下后,现已回升至 97,000 美元以上。最近的反弹可能为旗舰加密货币夺回 10 万美元的心理价格水平铺平道路。

Crypto analyst Jelle is confident that this could happen soon, as he stated that a price breakout above $97,000 could lead to new highs for Bitcoin. However, there is still a lot of market uncertainty, which could explain why some of these Bitcoin traders are choosing not to bet on a further rally despite the recent price recovery.

加密货币分析师 Jelle 相信这可能很快就会发生,因为他表示价格突破 97,000 美元可能会导致比特币创下新高。然而,市场仍然存在很大的不确定性,这可以解释为什么尽管最近价格回升,但一些比特币交易者仍选择不押注进一步上涨。

Recent macro data have suggested that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to implement as many quantitative easing (QE) policies as compared to last year. This is bearish for the Bitcoin price since investors could become more skeptical about investing in this risk asset.

最近的宏观数据表明,美联储不太可能实施与去年一样多的量化宽松(QE)政策。这对比特币价格不利,因为投资者可能会对投资这种风险资产更加持怀疑态度。

On the other hand, Donald Trump’s incoming administration provides some optimism for market participants since the US president-elect has promised to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which would lead to greater adoption of BTC.

另一方面,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)即将上任的政府为市场参与者带来了一些乐观情绪,因为美国候任总统承诺建立比特币战略储备,这将导致比特币的更多采用。

Meanwhile, another crypto analyst, Trader Tardigrade, has offered a bullish outlook on the Bitcoin price. In a recent analysis, Tardigrade highlighted a shift in the market structure from a downtrend to an uptrend.

与此同时,另一位加密货币分析师 Trader Tardigrade 对比特币价格给出了看涨的展望。在最近的分析中,Tardigrade 强调了市场结构从下降趋势向上升趋势的转变。

According to the analyst, when Bitcoin was in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, it encountered an equal high, signaling a "change of character." Now, BTC has broken through the resistance to form a higher high.

这位分析师表示,当比特币处于下跌趋势时,其特点是高点和低点都较低,它遇到了同样的高点,这表明“性质发生了变化”。现在,BTC已经突破阻力位,形成更高的高点。

As per Tardigrade's analysis, if BTC maintains a higher low at the support/resistance flip level of $96,000, it could kick-start the bull run again. The analyst's chart suggests that the flagship crypto could go on to reclaim $100,000 and then rally to new highs.

根据 Tardigrade 的分析,如果 BTC 在支撑/阻力翻转水平 96,000 美元处保持较高的低点,则可能会再次启动牛市。分析师的图表表明,旗舰加密货币可能会继续收复 10 万美元,然后反弹至新高。

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $97,300, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据,截至撰写本文时,比特币价格约为 97,300 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 2% 以上。

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