比特币技术分析：市场信号参差不齐，101,000 美元的支撑位能否守住？

比特币近期一直在相对狭窄的区间内波动，在 101,536 美元至 101,747 美元之间波动，最后一天最高价为 102,658 美元，最低价为 99,939 美元

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has been trading in a relatively tight range recently, with a peak of $102,658 and a low of $99,939 over the last day. BTC is currently trading at $101,536 with $74.15 billion in trades and a market cap reaching $2 trillion.

比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）最近一直在相对狭窄的区间内交易，最后一天最高为 102,658 美元，最低为 99,939 美元。 BTC 目前交易价格为 101,536 美元，交易量为 741.5 亿美元，市值达到 2 万亿美元。

On the 1-hour chart, BTC is consolidating between $101,000 and $102,500, after a failed breakout above $102,643. Support is being tested around the psychological level of $100,000. Volume analysis reveals a spike during the recent breakout, but the lack of sustained follow-through suggests weakening momentum.

在 1 小时图表上，BTC 在突破 102,643 美元失败后，正在 101,000 美元至 102,500 美元之间盘整。正在测试 100,000 美元心理水平附近的支撑位。成交量分析显示，近期突破期间出现峰值，但缺乏持续的后续走势表明动能正在减弱。

The market is showing indecision, and entering near the $101,000 support with a target of $102,500 could be suitable for short-term strategies, provided the support holds.

市场表现出犹豫不决，如果支撑位保持不变，进入 101,000 美元支撑位附近并设定目标 102,500 美元可能适合短期策略。

On the 4-hour chart, BTC shows a recovery from a higher low of $94,249, with current support around $98,000. Resistance levels are concentrated between $102,500 and $103,000. Although volume spikes during upward rallies indicate bullish dominance, the consolidation between $101,500 and $102,000 highlights the market’s indecisiveness.

4小时图上，BTC显示从94,249美元的较高低点回升，当前支撑位于98,000美元附近。阻力位集中在102,500美元至103,000美元之间。尽管向上反弹期间成交量激增表明看涨占据主导地位，但 101,500 美元至 102,000 美元之间的盘整凸显了市场的犹豫不决。

Traders should be cautious and consider pullbacks towards $98,000–$100,000 as potential buying opportunities. A breakout above $103,000, confirmed by volume, could propel Bitcoin to the $107,000 mark or higher.

交易者应保持谨慎，并将回调至 98,000 美元至 100,000 美元视为潜在的买入机会。从成交量来看，突破 103,000 美元可能会推动比特币升至 107,000 美元或更高。

On the daily chart, BTC’s longer-term trend remains bullish, recovering from $76,554 in late November and testing resistance between $103,000 and $104,000. Support levels at $94,000–$95,000 have held strong during recent corrections, with volume spikes indicating bullish sentiment.

日线图上，BTC的长期趋势仍然看涨，从11月底的76,554美元反弹，并测试103,000美元至104,000美元之间的阻力位。在最近的调整中，94,000 美元至 95,000 美元的支撑位保持强劲，成交量激增表明看涨情绪。

However, the current volume is noticeably lower, and consolidation near resistance marks a pivotal moment in the trend. Bitcoin could either break above $104,000 for further upside or experience a pullback to test lower support levels.

然而，目前的成交量明显较低，阻力位附近的盘整标志着趋势的关键时刻。比特币可能会突破 104,000 美元以进一步上涨，或者经历回调以测试较低的支撑位。

Oscillators are providing mixed signals: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic are neutral, while the Awesome Oscillator suggests a buy. On the other hand, the Momentum and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators are showing signs of selling pressure.

振荡指标提供了混合信号：相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和随机指标呈中性，而动量振荡指标则建议买入。另一方面，动量指标和移动平均线趋同背离（MACD）指标显示出抛售压力的迹象。

Despite this, the moving averages (MAs) remain bullish, with the 10-period and 200-period EMAs and SMAs all in positive territory.

尽管如此，移动平均线 (MA) 仍然看涨，10 周期和 200 周期 EMA 和 SMA 均处于正值区域。

If Bitcoin breaks resistance between $103,000 and $104,000 with volume confirmation, it could rally toward $107,000 or higher, continuing the bullish momentum.

如果比特币突破 103,000 美元至 104,000 美元之间的阻力并得到成交量确认，它可能会反弹至 107,000 美元或更高，从而延续看涨势头。

Despite the overall bullish outlook, subdued trading volume at resistance and mixed oscillator signals warrant caution. If Bitcoin fails to maintain support at $101,000 or breaks below $98,000, a deeper pullback could occur, testing the $94,000–$95,000 range.

尽管整体前景看涨，但阻力位交易量低迷和混合振荡信号值得谨慎对待。如果比特币未能维持在 101,000 美元的支撑位或跌破 98,000 美元，则可能会出现更深的回调，测试 94,000 美元至 95,000 美元的区间。

A breakdown in this area could erode bullish sentiment and signal further weakness in the market.

该区域的突破可能会削弱看涨情绪并预示市场进一步疲软。