币安上的比特币供应量降至 2024 年 1 月的水平，预示着价格可能飙升 90%

全球交易量最大的数字资产交易所币安网的比特币供应量已暴跌至 2024 年 1 月以来的最低水平。

Bitcoin (BTC) holdings on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, have fallen to levels last seen in early 2024. The last time BTC reserves on Binance dropped to a similar degree, Bitcoin went on to see a parabolic 90% rally just two months later.

全球交易量最大的加密货币交易所币安 (Binance) 上的比特币 (BTC) 持有量已降至 2024 年初的水平。上一次币安上的 BTC 储备下降到类似程度时，比特币继续出现抛物线 90% 的反弹仅仅两个月后。

Two months after BTC reserves on Binance hit multi-year lows, Bitcoin saw a parabolic 90% rally just two months later in March.

在币安上的 BTC 储备触及多年低点两个月后，仅两个月后的 3 月份，比特币就出现了 90% 的抛物线反弹。

Binance’s Bitcoin reserves fell to 569,634 BTC on December 24, according to data from CryptoQuant. This marks the lowest level of BTC on the exchange since January of this year.

根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，币安的比特币储备在 12 月 24 日降至 569,634 BTC。这标志着该交易所 BTC 自今年 1 月以来的最低水平。

Historically, falling exchange reserves have indicated that holders are moving their Bitcoin holdings to cold storage as they are incredibly bullish about the asset’s price in the long term rather than keeping them on exchanges for selling in the short term.

从历史上看，外汇储备的下降表明，持有者正在将其持有的比特币转移到冷藏库，因为他们对长期资产的价格非常看好，而不是在短期内将其留在交易所出售。

In January, Binance’s BTC reserves fell to a level that was followed by a 90% bull run two months later, with the alpha cryptocurrency hitting a record high of $73,737 on March 13.

1 月份，币安的 BTC 储备跌至一定水平，两个月后出现 90% 的牛市，3 月 13 日，这种阿尔法加密货币创下 73,737 美元的历史新高。

“When periods of withdrawals occur, it is often a sign of positive momentum building in the market,” Darkfost, a contributor to CryptoQuant, wrote in a December 25 note.

CryptoQuant 的撰稿人 Darkfost 在 12 月 25 日的一份报告中写道：“当出现提款周期时，这通常是市场积聚积极势头的迹象。”

Bitcoin appeared set to recapture the $100,000 mark after rallying past $99,400 on December 24 just before Christmas Day. The upsurge, however, stalled at around $99,886 on Thursday, and BTC has since nosedived to sub-$96,000.

比特币在 12 月 24 日圣诞节前夕突破 99,400 美元后，似乎有望重新夺回 100,000 美元大关。然而，周四比特币的上涨停滞在 99,886 美元左右，此后比特币价格暴跌至 96,000 美元以下。

At press time, Bitcoin is trading for $96,696 per coin, according to CoinGecko data. Less than a week ago, the benchmark cryptocurrency was valued at a whopping $108,000, hitting a historic price as the holiday season neared.

根据 CoinGecko 的数据，截至发稿时，比特币的交易价格为每枚 96,696 美元。不到一周前，基准加密货币的估值高达 108,000 美元，随着假期临近，创下历史新高。

A hawkish Federal Reserve dented the asset’s rally by expressing a more cautious approach to rate cuts in 2025.

鹰派的美联储对 2025 年降息表示更加谨慎的态度，削弱了该资产的涨势。

Still, Bitcoin is expected to hit the six-figure price tag again amid Donald Trump’s imminent presidential inauguration on Jan. 20, which is considered a bullish event for crypto regulations in the US.

尽管如此，随着唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 即将于 1 月 20 日就任总统，比特币预计将再次触及六位数的价格标签，这被认为是美国加密货币监管的利好事件。

Many are waiting to see whether Trump will establish a national Bitcoin reserve.

许多人都在观望特朗普是否会建立国家比特币储备。

Meanwhile, if history repeats itself as predicted by CryptoQuant’s Darkfost, BTC could soar to as high as the $185,000 price point in the coming months from its current levels.

与此同时，如果历史如 CryptoQuant 的 Darkfost 所预测的那样重演，BTC 的价格可能会在未来几个月内从目前的水平飙升至 185,000 美元。