幣安上的比特幣供應量降至 2024 年 1 月的水平，預示著價格可能飆升 90%

全球交易量最大的數位資產交易所幣安網的比特幣供應量已暴跌至 2024 年 1 月以來的最低水準。

Bitcoin (BTC) holdings on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, have fallen to levels last seen in early 2024. The last time BTC reserves on Binance dropped to a similar degree, Bitcoin went on to see a parabolic 90% rally just two months later.

全球交易量最大的加密貨幣交易所幣安(Binance) 上的比特幣(BTC) 持有量已降至2024 年初的水平。拋物線90% 的反彈僅僅兩個月後。

Two months after BTC reserves on Binance hit multi-year lows, Bitcoin saw a parabolic 90% rally just two months later in March.

在幣安上的 BTC 儲備觸及多年低點兩個月後，僅兩個月後的 3 月份，比特幣就出現了 90% 的拋物線反彈。

Binance’s Bitcoin reserves fell to 569,634 BTC on December 24, according to data from CryptoQuant. This marks the lowest level of BTC on the exchange since January of this year.

根據 CryptoQuant 的數據，幣安的比特幣儲備在 12 月 24 日降至 569,634 BTC。這標誌著該交易所 BTC 自今年 1 月以來的最低水準。

Historically, falling exchange reserves have indicated that holders are moving their Bitcoin holdings to cold storage as they are incredibly bullish about the asset’s price in the long term rather than keeping them on exchanges for selling in the short term.

從歷史上看，外匯儲備的下降表明，持有者正在將其持有的比特幣轉移到冷藏庫，因為他們對長期資產的價格非常看好，而不是在短期內將其留在交易所出售。

In January, Binance’s BTC reserves fell to a level that was followed by a 90% bull run two months later, with the alpha cryptocurrency hitting a record high of $73,737 on March 13.

1 月份，幣安的 BTC 儲備跌至一定水平，兩個月後出現 90% 的多頭市，3 月 13 日，這種阿爾法加密貨幣創下 73,737 美元的歷史新高。

“When periods of withdrawals occur, it is often a sign of positive momentum building in the market,” Darkfost, a contributor to CryptoQuant, wrote in a December 25 note.

CryptoQuant 的撰稿人 Darkfost 在 12 月 25 日的一份報告中寫道：“當出現提款週期時，這通常是市場積聚積極勢頭的跡象。”

Bitcoin appeared set to recapture the $100,000 mark after rallying past $99,400 on December 24 just before Christmas Day. The upsurge, however, stalled at around $99,886 on Thursday, and BTC has since nosedived to sub-$96,000.

比特幣在 12 月 24 日聖誕節前夕突破 99,400 美元後，似乎有望重新奪回 10 萬美元大關。然而，週四比特幣的上漲停滯在 99,886 美元左右，此後比特幣價格暴跌至 96,000 美元以下。

At press time, Bitcoin is trading for $96,696 per coin, according to CoinGecko data. Less than a week ago, the benchmark cryptocurrency was valued at a whopping $108,000, hitting a historic price as the holiday season neared.

根據 CoinGecko 的數據，截至發稿時，比特幣的交易價格為每枚 96,696 美元。不到一周前，基準加密貨幣的估值高達 108,000 美元，隨著假期臨近，創下歷史新高。

A hawkish Federal Reserve dented the asset’s rally by expressing a more cautious approach to rate cuts in 2025.

鷹派的聯準會對 2025 年降息表示更加謹慎的態度，削弱了該資產的漲勢。

Still, Bitcoin is expected to hit the six-figure price tag again amid Donald Trump’s imminent presidential inauguration on Jan. 20, which is considered a bullish event for crypto regulations in the US.

儘管如此，在唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 即將於 1 月 20 日就職總統之際，比特幣預計將再次觸及六位數的價格標籤，這被認為是美國加密貨幣監管的利好事件。

Many are waiting to see whether Trump will establish a national Bitcoin reserve.

許多人都在觀望川普是否會建立國家比特幣儲備。

Meanwhile, if history repeats itself as predicted by CryptoQuant’s Darkfost, BTC could soar to as high as the $185,000 price point in the coming months from its current levels.

與此同時，如果歷史如 CryptoQuant 的 Darkfost 所預測的那樣重演，BTC 的價格可能會在未來幾個月內從目前的水平飆升至 185,000 美元。