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在买家和卖家之间持续的僵局中,比特币和几种顶级加密货币继续处于波动状态。比特币发现自己徘徊在 2021 年周期峰值附近,开始进入一个盘整期,这在之前的周期高点中很常见。尽管这一时期可能令投资者感到沮丧,但缺乏重大回调被视为看涨指标。然而,山寨币的命运各不相同,超级特朗普(STRUMP)、乙烯娜(ENA)、虫洞(W)和EGO都经历了波动,导致价格正负交织。
Bitcoin Enters Stalemate as Buyers and Sellers Collide
买家和卖家发生冲突,比特币陷入僵局
Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has entered a significant standoff, with buyers and sellers clashing around the $69,000 mark. This stalemate has persisted for approximately four weeks, coinciding with the currency's 2021 cycle peak. Historically, Bitcoin exhibits consolidation periods of 4-8 weeks at cycle highs, before resuming its price trajectory.
旗舰加密货币比特币已陷入严重僵局,买家和卖家在 69,000 美元大关附近发生冲突。这种僵局已经持续了大约四个星期,恰逢该货币的 2021 年周期峰值。从历史上看,比特币在恢复其价格轨迹之前会在周期高点表现出 4-8 周的盘整期。
Despite the sideways trading, the minimal retracement has been interpreted as a bullish indicator. Checkmate, a pseudonymous principal on-chain analyst at Glassnode, has noted that in the previous bull market cycle from 2019 to 2021, Bitcoin underwent two major corrections exceeding 50%. Conversely, the corrections in the current bull market have been less severe, with the most recent significant drop being a 20% decline in September.
尽管横盘交易,但最小回撤已被解读为看涨指标。 Glassnode 的匿名首席链上分析师 Checkmate 指出,在 2019 年至 2021 年的上一个牛市周期中,比特币经历了两次超过 50% 的大幅回调。相反,当前牛市的调整幅度较小,最近一次大幅下跌是在 9 月份,下跌了 20%。
The robust demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is believed to have played a role in mitigating losses during this cycle. Additionally, anticipation of Bitcoin continuing its bull run following the upcoming Bitcoin halving event is seen as a contributing factor to the modest pullback.
人们认为,对现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的强劲需求在减轻本周期损失方面发挥了作用。此外,在即将到来的比特币减半事件之后,对比特币继续牛市的预期被视为造成小幅回调的一个因素。
Bitcoin's Future Trajectory: Upward or Downward?
比特币的未来轨迹:向上还是向下?
As Bitcoin emerges from its consolidation period, analysts are speculating on its future direction. The formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern suggests a balance between buying and selling forces. While typically indicating a continuation pattern, it can occasionally signal a trend reversal.
随着比特币走出盘整期,分析师正在猜测其未来的方向。对称三角形图案的形成表明买卖力量之间的平衡。虽然通常表明持续模式,但它偶尔也可能预示着趋势反转。
A downward turn below the triangle could indicate the onset of a more significant decline, potentially leading to a drop towards $61,000 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $59,000. Conversely, an upward move above the triangle would indicate that bulls have overcome selling pressure, enhancing the chances for a continued upward trend. In such a scenario, the pair could climb to $73,800 and potentially reach $80,000.
三角形下方的向下转向可能表明更大幅下跌的开始,可能导致价格跌向 61,000 美元和 59,000 美元的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位。相反,向上移动到三角形上方将表明多头已经克服了抛售压力,从而增加了持续上涨趋势的机会。在这种情况下,该货币对可能会攀升至 73,800 美元,甚至可能达到 80,000 美元。
Top 5 Cryptocurrencies: Price Predictions
前 5 名加密货币:价格预测
Super Trump (STRUMP)
超级特朗普(STRUMP)
STRUMP has remained below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) after encountering resistance at $0.006. The bearish crossover of moving averages and the RSI falling into bearish territory suggest that sellers hold the advantage. A break below $0.0044 could lead to a further drop towards $0.003. Conversely, a robust rebound from this support level would indicate buying interest, potentially leading to a range between $0.005 and $0.006.
在遇到 0.006 美元的阻力后,STRUMP 一直保持在 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 下方。移动平均线的看跌交叉和 RSI 跌入看跌区域表明卖方占据优势。跌破 0.0044 美元可能导致进一步跌向 0.003 美元。相反,从该支撑位强劲反弹将表明购买兴趣,可能导致价格区间在 0.005 美元至 0.006 美元之间。
Ethena (ENA)
雅典娜 (ENA)
ENA has experienced a rapid increase, surpassing multiple Fibonacci retracement levels. Investors aim to continue this trend by pushing the price above $1.23. The 20-day EMA and the RSI above 50 indicate strengthening buying force. A decline below $1 could trigger increased selling, leading to a potential drop as low as $0.6. To prevent this, buyers need to push the price above the moving averages, indicating a trading range between $1.3 and $2. A break above $2 would suggest a strong bullish momentum, potentially targeting $2.48.
ENA 经历了快速上涨,超过了多个斐波那契回撤水平。投资者希望将价格推高至 1.23 美元以上,以延续这一趋势。 20 日均线和 RSI 高于 50 表明买盘力量增强。跌破 1 美元可能会引发抛售增加,导致价格可能跌至 0.6 美元。为了防止这种情况发生,买家需要将价格推高至移动平均线之上,即交易范围在 1.3 美元至 2 美元之间。突破 2 美元将表明强劲的看涨势头,可能目标为 2.48 美元。
Wormhole (W)
虫洞 (W)
W has faced selling pressure around $1.07, leading to a bearish market environment. Sellers have caused intense liquidation, creating a negative sentiment. Buyers aim to recover from $1, but the 20-day EMA at $1.14 poses a hurdle. If the price fails to break this level, it may fall below $1 and potentially towards $0.5. Alternatively, a move above the EMA would signal buying interest at lower levels, potentially propelling the pair to $1.1 and possibly $1.4, the key resistance level.
W 面临 1.07 美元左右的抛售压力,导致市场环境看跌。卖家引发了激烈的清算,造成了负面情绪。买家的目标是从 1 美元反弹,但 1.14 美元的 20 日均线构成了障碍。如果价格未能突破该水平,则可能跌破 1 美元,并可能跌至 0.5 美元。或者,突破 EMA 将表明较低水平的买盘兴趣,可能推动该货币对升至 1.1 美元,甚至可能是 1.4 美元,即关键阻力位。
EGO
自我
EGO has surged over 11% in the last 24 hours, breaking above crucial resistance lines. The price reached $0.08 but faced rejection, stabilizing the bullish momentum. Predicting the breakout direction from the triangle formation is challenging, but a continuation above $0.085 would suggest an upward trend, potentially targeting $0.1 and $0.12. Conversely, a decline below the EMA20 would indicate bears gaining control, leading to a potential drop towards $0.066 and $0.05.
EGO 在过去 24 小时内飙升超过 11%,突破了关键阻力线。价格达到 0.08 美元,但遭到拒绝,稳定了看涨势头。预测三角形形态的突破方向具有挑战性,但持续高于 0.085 美元将表明上涨趋势,可能目标为 0.1 美元和 0.12 美元。相反,跌破 EMA20 将表明空头获得控制权,导致价格可能跌向 0.066 美元和 0.05 美元。
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