比特币飙升至 15 万美元地平线：专家预测将复苏

在最近的价格回调中，比特币显示出潜在看涨复苏的迹象。尽管 ETF 流入放缓和地缘政治紧张局势导致 ETF 出现 11% 的回调，但渣打银行预计到年底将大幅上涨 127%，预计价格为 15 万美元。最近的减半事件历史上与价格上涨有关，比特币的技术指标表明潜在的看涨趋势，但要决定性地迈向新高需要突破 69,000 美元大关，以触发空头杠杆头寸的大幅清算。

Bitcoin: A Bullish Resurgence on the Horizon

比特币：看涨即将复苏

In the ever-evolving landscape of digital assets, Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, remains a beacon of innovation and a subject of unwavering interest. Despite experiencing a recent pullback in price, Bitcoin is poised for a potential resurgence that could eclipse previous highs and propel it into uncharted territory.

在不断发展的数字资产格局中，比特币作为世界领先的加密货币，仍然是创新的灯塔和坚定不移的兴趣主题。尽管最近经历了价格回调，但比特币仍有望复苏，可能超越之前的高点，并将其推向未知领域。

Standard Chartered's Bold Prediction: Bitcoin to $150,000 by Year-End

渣打银行大胆预测：比特币年底将达到 15 万美元

Standard Chartered, a global banking and financial services behemoth, has issued a bold prediction: Bitcoin could soar to $150,000 by the end of 2024, representing a staggering 127% gain from its current level. This bullish outlook is underpinned by a confluence of factors that suggest Bitcoin's trajectory is set for explosive growth.

全球银行和金融服务巨头渣打银行发布了一个大胆的预测：到 2024 年底，比特币可能飙升至 15 万美元，较目前水平上涨 127%，令人震惊。这种看涨前景受到一系列因素的支撑，这些因素表明比特币的发展轨迹将迎来爆炸性增长。

The Halving: A Catalyst for Price Surges

减半：价格飙升的催化剂

On April 20, 2024, Bitcoin underwent its third halving, an event that occurs approximately every four years. During a halving, the block reward for Bitcoin miners, who verify and add new transactions to the blockchain, is reduced by half. This decrease in supply has historically exerted a positive influence on Bitcoin's price.

2024 年 4 月 20 日，比特币经历了第三次减半，这一事件大约每四年发生一次。在减半期间，验证并向区块链添加新交易的比特币矿工的区块奖励减少了一半。从历史上看，供应量的减少对比特币的价格产生了积极影响。

Crypto market analyst Scott Melker has observed that the previous three halving events have invariably propelled Bitcoin to new all-time highs, igniting broader crypto bull markets. He posits that Bitcoin may experience a period of sideways trading in the coming months before embarking on a parabolic ascent to unprecedented levels.

加密市场分析师 Scott Melker 观察到，前三次减半事件无一例外地将比特币推向历史新高，引发了更广泛的加密牛市。他认为，比特币可能会在未来几个月经历一段横盘交易期，然后开始抛物线上升至前所未有的水平。

Price Action Hints at Bullish Sentiment

价格走势暗示看涨情绪

Bitcoin's recent price action suggests that a bullish trend is gathering momentum. The asset has decisively breached the crucial $66,000 mark, potentially signaling a reversal of the current price correction and a shift in market sentiment.

比特币最近的价格走势表明看涨趋势正在积聚动力。该资产已果断突破 66,000 美元的关键关口，可能预示着当前价格调整的逆转和市场情绪的转变。

Additionally, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score, a technical indicator that measures the ratio of market value to realized value, has declined to 2.08. This indicates that Bitcoin is no longer considered overbought and is following a healthy upward trajectory in line with previous bull cycles.

此外，比特币的 MVRV Z 分数（衡量市场价值与实现价值之比的技术指标）已降至 2.08。这表明比特币不再被视为超买，并且正在遵循与之前牛市周期一致的健康上升轨迹。

Experts Weigh In: Cautious Optimism Amid Market Volatility

专家点评：市场波动中保持谨慎乐观

While these positive indicators are encouraging, some experts urge caution and emphasize that it may be premature to declare the end of the current correction. Jag Kooner, head of derivatives at Bitfinex, notes that Bitcoin's market depth has diminished compared to recent weeks, potentially amplifying price volatility.

尽管这些积极指标令人鼓舞，但一些专家敦促谨慎行事，并强调现在宣布当前调整结束可能还为时过早。 Bitfinex 衍生品主管 Jag Kooner 指出，与最近几周相比，比特币的市场深度有所缩小，这可能会加剧价格波动。

To conclusively confirm a sustained bullish trend, Bitcoin must surmount the $69,000 resistance level. A potential move above this threshold could trigger significant liquidations of short-leveraged positions, amounting to over $1.12 billion, further fueling the upward momentum.

为了最终确认持续的看涨趋势，比特币必须突破 69,000 美元的阻力位。如果突破这一门槛，可能会引发空头杠杆头寸的大量清算，金额超过 11.2 亿美元，进一步推动上涨势头。

Kristian Haralampiev, structured products lead at Nexo, identifies key levels in the $69,000 to $70,000 range that, if breached, could bolster bullish sentiment and trigger an attempt by Bitcoin to establish new all-time highs.

Nexo 结构性产品主管 Kristian Haralampiev 确定了 69,000 美元至 70,000 美元范围内的关键水平，如果突破该水平，可能会提振看涨情绪，并引发比特币试图创下新的历史高点。

Conclusion: The Path to $150,000 and Beyond

结论：通往 150,000 美元及以上的道路

The confluence of bullish factors, including Standard Chartered's prediction, the halving event, and Bitcoin's technical indicators, suggests that a substantial price surge could be imminent. While market volatility remains a potential obstacle, the underlying fundamentals supporting Bitcoin's growth appear robust.

渣打银行的预测、减半事件和比特币技术指标等看涨因素的综合作用表明，价格大幅上涨可能即将到来。尽管市场波动仍然是一个潜在障碍，但支持比特币增长的基本面似乎强劲。

Investors and enthusiasts alike should closely monitor Bitcoin's price action and market developments as it navigates the road to $150,000 and potentially beyond. The cryptocurrency's future holds immense promise, and the next few months could prove pivotal in its journey towards establishing new milestones and solidifying its position as the digital gold of the 21st century.

投资者和爱好者都应该密切关注比特币的价格走势和市场发展，因为它正在走向 15 万美元甚至更高的价格。这种加密货币的未来前景广阔，未来几个月可能是其建立新里程碑和巩固其作为 21 世纪数字黄金地位的关键。