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Bitcoin's Post-Halving Slump: Temporary Stagnation or Enduring Trend?
比特币减半后的暴跌:暂时停滞还是持久趋势?
Amidst the recent price correction that saw Bitcoin (BTC) plunge by 9.7% to $57,790 (Rp936 million) on May 2, 2024, market analysts are grappling with the question of whether this dip signals a prolonged stagnation or merely a temporary setback.
在最近的价格调整中,比特币 (BTC) 于 2024 年 5 月 2 日暴跌 9.7% 至 57,790 美元(9.36 亿盾),市场分析师正在努力解决这样的问题:这次下跌是否预示着长期停滞或仅仅是暂时的挫折。
Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to experience a period of sideways movement or stagnation after a halving event, where the supply of new bitcoins is reduced by 50%. However, Fahmi Almuttaqin, a Crypto Analyst from Reku, believes that the market recovery and positive potential for the crypto market in the second quarter (Q2) remain strong.
从历史上看,比特币的价格在减半事件后往往会经历一段横向波动或停滞的时期,此时新比特币的供应量会减少 50%。不过,Reku 的加密货币分析师 Fahmi Almuttaqin 认为,第二季度(Q2)加密市场的市场复苏和积极潜力依然强劲。
"The Bitcoin halving moment does not automatically trigger a price surge," Almuttaqin explained. "In previous halvings, Bitcoin's price movements have varied."
“比特币减半时刻不会自动引发价格飙升,”阿尔穆塔钦解释道。 “在之前的减半中,比特币的价格走势有所不同。”
According to Almuttaqin, Bitcoin's true rally tends to commence between 1 to 5 months after the halving event. This observation suggests that the current stagnation may be a temporary condition.
Almuttaqin 表示,比特币真正的反弹往往在减半事件后 1 到 5 个月内开始。这一观察结果表明,当前的停滞可能是暂时的。
Despite the current price dip, Reku's Crypto Outlook Quarter-II report highlights several narratives that could potentially drive market growth in the coming months.
尽管当前价格下跌,Reku 的第二季度加密展望报告强调了一些可能在未来几个月推动市场增长的叙述。
AI Narrative
人工智能叙事
The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) innovation into the blockchain industry is gaining traction and attracting market attention. Increased investments from institutional players into AI-based applications and technology developers are lending credibility to projects in this sector.
人工智能(AI)创新与区块链行业的融合正在获得牵引力并吸引市场关注。机构参与者对基于人工智能的应用程序和技术开发商的投资增加,为该领域的项目提供了可信度。
DePIN Narrative
DePIN叙事
DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network) refers to projects that aim to bridge the gap between real-world data operations, management, and storage with blockchain technology, making them more accessible and transparent.
DePIN(去中心化物理基础设施网络)是指旨在通过区块链技术弥合现实世界数据操作、管理和存储之间差距的项目,使它们更加可访问和透明。
"The DePIN narrative has the potential to experience significant growth as investors recognize the growing importance of decentralization and improved data infrastructure in blockchain applications," Almuttaqin said.
Almuttaqin 表示:“随着投资者认识到去中心化和改进数据基础设施在区块链应用中日益增长的重要性,DePIN 的叙述有可能实现显着增长。”
Restaking Narrative
重新叙述
Restaking, particularly for Ethereum (ETH), is a novel concept that allows investors to restake the same crypto assets on multiple platforms, potentially increasing their rewards.
重新抵押,特别是对于以太坊(ETH)来说,是一个新颖的概念,它允许投资者在多个平台上重新抵押相同的加密资产,从而可能增加他们的回报。
"The potential for increased staking rewards for ETH holders could make it a more attractive asset," Almuttaqin noted.
Almuttaqin 指出:“对 ETH 持有者来说,增加质押奖励的潜力可能会使其成为更具吸引力的资产。”
As a result, crypto assets like Ethereum (ETH), Ether.Fi (ETHFI), Altlayer (ALT), Pedle (PENDLE), and LidoDAO (LDO) are among those that could benefit from the Restaking narrative.
因此,以太坊 (ETH)、Ether.Fi (ETHFI)、Altlayer (ALT)、Pedle (PENDLE) 和 LidoDAO (LDO) 等加密资产都可以从 Restake 的叙述中受益。
The crypto market has historically demonstrated resilience and adaptability, and while the current dip in Bitcoin's price may raise concerns, it is crucial to recognize that the long-term potential for growth remains strong. The narratives highlighted by Reku, coupled with the historical pattern of Bitcoin's price movements post-halving, provide reasons for optimism in the coming months.
加密货币市场历来都表现出弹性和适应性,虽然目前比特币价格的下跌可能会引起担忧,但重要的是要认识到长期增长潜力仍然强劲。 Reku 强调的叙述,加上减半后比特币价格走势的历史模式,为未来几个月的乐观情绪提供了理由。
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