VanEck 表示，到 2049 年，比特币储备可以将美国债务危机减少 35%

尽管美国一家非营利智库的负责人认为比特币储备无法解决美国债务危机，但范埃克将其视为救世主。

The U.S. debt ceiling has been rising steadily over the years due to several factors, including increasing federal spending, economic changes, and accumulating debt. Currently, the national debt stands at $36.13 trillion.

由于联邦支出增加、经济变化和债务积累等多种因素，美国债务上限多年来一直稳步上升。目前，国家债务为36.13万亿美元。

One interesting proposal that has emerged in recent times is the idea of a Bitcoin reserve to help offset a portion of the U.S. debt. This concept has been discussed in the context of the BITCOIN Act, which aims to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve as part of the nation's financial framework.

最近出现的一个有趣的提议是比特币储备的想法，以帮助抵消部分美国债务。这一概念已在《比特币法案》的背景下进行了讨论，该法案旨在建立战略比特币储备，作为国家金融框架的一部分。

The act proposes that the U.S. government acquire up to one million Bitcoin over five years, with a maximum of 200,000 Bitcoin purchased annually. These holdings would be stored securely across decentralized storage facilities in the country and held for at least twenty years.

该法案提议美国政府在五年内购买最多 100 万个比特币，每年最多购买 20 万个比特币。这些资产将安全地存储在该国的分散存储设施中，并保存至少二十年。

According to financial institution VanEck, if the U.S. were to purchase 1 million Bitcoin and hold them until 2049, while Bitcoin's value continues to rise significantly, this reserve could help offset a large portion of the national debt by 2049—around 35% of it, or about $42 trillion.

据金融机构 VanEck 称，如果美国购买 100 万个比特币并持有到 2049 年，而比特币的价值继续大幅上涨，那么到 2049 年，这笔储备将有助于抵消一大部分国家债务——约占 35%，或约 42 万亿美元。

This scenario assumes that the national debt grows at 5% yearly, and Bitcoin's price increases much faster at 25% yearly, starting from $200,000 in 2025 and reaching over $42 million per Bitcoin by 2049. In this case, Bitcoin would also become a major part of the global financial system, making up 18% of all global financial assets by 2049.

这种情况假设国家债务每年增长 5%，而比特币的价格增长速度更快，每年增长 25%，从 2025 年的 20 万美元开始，到 2049 年每个比特币将达到 4200 万美元以上。在这种情况下，比特币也将成为主要组成部分到 2049 年，将占全球金融资产总额的 18%。

However, it's important to note that this is an optimistic scenario that depends on both Bitcoin's price and the U.S. government's strategy. Several other factors, such as economic conditions, technological advancements, and geopolitical events, could influence the outcome.

然而，值得注意的是，这是一个乐观的情况，取决于比特币的价格和美国政府的策略。其他几个因素，例如经济状况、技术进步和地缘政治事件，也可能影响结果。

Massive US debt

美国巨额债务

The growth of the U.S. national debt over the years can be understood through several key phases. After World War II, the debt was quite high, exceeding 100% of GDP in the mid-1940s due to war-related expenses. However, strong economic growth in the following decades helped stabilize or reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio.

美国国债多年来的增长可以通过几个关键阶段来理解。二战后，由于战争相关开支，债务相当高，在20世纪40年代中期超过了GDP的100%。然而，随后几十年强劲的经济增长有助于稳定或降低债务与GDP的比率。

In the 1980s, the debt began to rise significantly, driven by tax cuts, increased military spending, and slower economic growth. By the end of that decade, the debt had tripled, growing from around $900 billion in 1980 to over $2.7 trillion.

20世纪80年代，在减税、军费增加和经济增长放缓的推动下，债务开始大幅上升。到 20 世纪末，债务增加了两倍，从 1980 年的约 9000 亿美元增长到超过 2.7 万亿美元。

During the 1990s, there was a temporary slowdown in debt growth as economic growth, spending controls, and tax increases led to reduced budget deficits and even surpluses by the late 1990s.

20世纪90年代末，由于经济增长、支出控制和增税导致预算赤字减少，甚至出现盈余，债务增长暂时放缓。

The early 2000s marked a return to deficits due to tax cuts, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and increased domestic spending. The 2008 financial crisis accelerated this trend as the government borrowed heavily to rescue financial institutions and stimulate the economy.

2000 年代初期，由于减税、伊拉克和阿富汗战争以及国内支出增加，赤字再次出现。 2008年的金融危机加速了这一趋势，政府大量举债拯救金融机构并刺激经济。

By 2010, the debt had grown significantly and continued to rise throughout the decade due to ongoing deficits and increasing costs for programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Thirteen years later, the debt had climbed to over $33 trillion.

到 2010 年，由于持续的赤字和社​​会保障、医疗保险和医疗补助等项目成本的增加，债务大幅增长，并在十年间持续上升。十三年后，债务已攀升至超过 33 万亿美元。

Additionally, the CBO said that the Federal debt is expected to rise from 78% of GDP in 2019 to 92% percent in 2029 and 144% in 2049. “That level of debt would be the highest in the nation’s history by far, and it would be on track to increase more.”

此外，国会预算办公室表示，联邦债务预计将从 2019 年占 GDP 的 78% 上升至 2029 年的 92% 和 2049 年的 144%。将有望增加更多。”

For VanEck, this path to heightened debt can be altered by the once ignored and dismissed cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. It explained that there is now more acceptance towards Bitcoin especially this year than any other time.

对于 VanEck 来说，曾经被忽视和抛弃的加密货币比特币可能会改变债务增加的道路。它解释说，现在人们对比特币的接受程度比以往任何时候都高，尤其是今年。

Acceptance of Bitcoin

接受比特币

Recently, both corporations and governments around the world have been showing increasing interest in Bitcoin. In Suriname, a presidential candidate, Maya Prabhoe, announced plans to replace the national currency with Bitcoin and to issue Bitcoin-backed bonds. In the United Kingdom, a pension fund, guided by the firm Cartwright, decided to invest 3% of its assets in Bitcoin, marking the first such move in the country.

最近，世界各地的企业和政府对比特币表现出越来越大的兴趣。在苏里南，总统候选人 Maya Prabhoe 宣布计划用比特币取代本国货币，并发行比特币支持的债券。在英国，一家养老基金在 Cartwright 公司的指导下决定将其资产的 3% 投资于比特币，这是该国首次采取此类举措。

Poland’s presidential candidate, Slawomir Mentzen, proposed creating a national Bitcoin reserve and expressed his desire to make the country a hub for cryptocurrency if elected while a Japanese lawmaker raised the idea of converting some of the nation’s foreign exchange reserves into Bitcoin, noting the global trend of Bitcoin adoption. Meanwhile, Vancouver, Canada, passed a motion to promote Bitcoin as a reserve asset and allow its use for tax payments.

波兰总统候选人斯拉沃米尔·门岑 (Slawomir Mentzen) 提议建立国家比特币储备，并表示如果当选，他希望使该国成为加密货币的中心，而日本议员则提出了将国家的部分外汇储备转换为比特币的想法，注意到了全球趋势比特币的采用。与此同时，加拿大温哥华通过了一项动议，推动比特币作为储备资产并允许其用于纳税。

Australia’s AMP retirement fund recently purchased $27 million worth of Bitcoin, becoming the first major pension fund in the country to do so. In France, a member

澳大利亚 AMP 退休基金最近购买了价值 2700 万美元的比特币，成为该国第一家这样做的大型养老基金。在法国，一名会员