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比特币 (BTC) 本周试图反弹,但面临 67,000 美元附近的强烈抛售,导致本周预计小幅下跌 2%。分析师 Rekt Capital 警告称,随着 BTC 进入“减半后‘危险区’”,两周内可能进一步下跌。比特币 ETF 的资金流出加剧了近期的悲观情绪。主要山寨币 NEAR、AR、CORE 和 BONK 显示出看涨迹象,有可能启动复苏,同时保持阻力位受到控制。
Bitcoin's Relief Rally Halted by Selling Pressure, Crypto Market Poised for Correction
比特币的救济性反弹因抛售压力而停止,加密货币市场准备调整
Amidst the ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to initiate a relief rally this week, only to be met with intense selling pressure near the $67,000 mark. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is currently on track to end the week with a minor loss of approximately 2%.
在加密货币市场持续波动的情况下,比特币(BTC)本周试图发起缓解性反弹,但在 67,000 美元关口附近遭遇了巨大的抛售压力。按市值计算最大的加密货币目前有望在本周结束时小幅下跌约 2%。
Prominent trader and analyst Rekt Capital cautions that Bitcoin has entered the "Post-Halving 'Danger Zone,'" suggesting the possibility of a further dip within the next two weeks. Adding to the bearish sentiment, recent data indicates significant net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Farside Investors reported that these ETFs witnessed net outflows of $218 million on April 25, following a $120 million outflow the previous day.
著名交易员和分析师 Rekt Capital 警告称,比特币已进入“减半后的‘危险区’”,这表明未来两周内可能会进一步下跌。最近的数据显示现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)出现大量净流出,加剧了看跌情绪。 Farside Investors 报告称,这些 ETF 继前一天流出 1.2 亿美元后,4 月 25 日净流出 2.18 亿美元。
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC)
技术分析:比特币(BTC)
Bitcoin has been trading within a range between $59,600 and $73,777 for several days, reflecting indecision among investors regarding the future direction of the cryptocurrency. Technical analysts anticipate that buyers will defend the $59,600 support level, as a breach below this point could exacerbate the correction, potentially leading to a Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
比特币连续几天交易价格在 59,600 美元至 73,777 美元之间,反映出投资者对加密货币未来方向的犹豫不决。技术分析师预计,买家将捍卫 59,600 美元的支撑位,因为跌破该点可能会加剧调整,可能导致斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。
On the upside, a potential breakout above $73,777 could signal the commencement of a new leg of the uptrend, targeting $84,000. The moving averages remain flat, and the RSI hovers around the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
从好的方面来说,突破 73,777 美元可能标志着新一轮上升趋势的开始,目标价为 84,000 美元。均线保持平稳,RSI 徘徊在中点附近,表明供需平衡。
Near Protocol (NEAR)
近协议(NEAR)
Near Protocol (NEAR) made a breakout attempt, rising above the descending channel pattern on April 25. However, the bears have initiated a counteroffensive, attempting to suppress the price near $7.70. If NEAR falls back into the channel, it might suggest a bear trap, potentially leading to a decline toward $5.90.
4 月 25 日,Near Protocol (NEAR) 尝试突破,突破下降通道形态。然而,空头发起反攻,试图将价格压制在 7.70 美元附近。如果 NEAR 回落至该通道,则可能预示着熊市陷阱,可能导致跌向 5.90 美元。
Conversely, a sustained breakout above $7.70 would imply a shift in momentum towards the bulls, potentially igniting a rally to $9. The moving averages are sloping upward, and the RSI is positive, suggesting a slight advantage for the bulls.
相反,持续突破 7.70 美元上方将意味着多头势头转向,可能引发反弹至 9 美元。移动平均线向上倾斜,RSI 为正,表明多头略有优势。
Arweave (AR)
阿维夫 (AR)
Arweave (AR) surged above both moving averages on April 25, signaling a potential resurgence of bullish sentiment. Bears attempted a pullback, but the bulls defended the dip to the 20-day EMA ($32.19) on April 27. This suggests a shift in sentiment, with buyers becoming more active on price dips.
Arweave (AR) 于 4 月 25 日飙升至两条移动平均线之上,表明看涨情绪可能会复苏。空头试图回调,但多头捍卫了 4 月 27 日跌至 20 日均线(32.19 美元)的水平。这表明情绪发生了转变,买家在价格下跌时变得更加活跃。
A break above $40 could pave the way for a rally to $47.52, while a failure to maintain support above the 20-day EMA could lead to a drop to $22. The formation of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern could indicate further upside potential if the price breaks above the neckline and closes above it.
突破 40 美元可能为反弹至 47.52 美元铺平道路,而未能维持 20 日均线上方的支撑可能导致跌至 22 美元。如果价格突破颈线并收于颈线之上,则反向头肩形态的形成可能表明进一步的上涨潜力。
Core (CORE)
核心(核心)
Core (CORE) has taken support at the 20-day EMA ($2.23) on multiple occasions recently, demonstrating positive sentiment. A breakout above $2.91 would confirm a resurgence of bullish momentum, potentially leading to a surge toward $4.
Core (CORE) 最近多次在 20 日均线(2.23 美元)处获得支撑,显示出积极的情绪。突破 2.91 美元将确认看涨势头的复苏,可能导致价格飙升至 4 美元。
Conversely, a breakdown below the 20-day EMA would suggest that bears are still in control, potentially causing a drop to the 50-day SMA ($1.72). The moving averages are range-bound, and the RSI is neutral, indicating a lack of clear dominance between bulls and bears.
相反,如果跌破 20 日均线,则表明空头仍在掌控之中,可能会导致跌至 50 日均线(1.72 美元)。移动平均线呈区间波动,RSI 呈中性,表明多头和空头之间缺乏明显的主导地位。
Bonk (BONK)
邦克 (邦克)
Bonk (BONK) rallied above the moving averages on April 23, indicating a potential end to the corrective phase. Bears attempted to pull the price below the moving averages, but bulls held their ground, suggesting a shift in momentum towards the bullish side.
Bonk (BONK) 于 4 月 23 日反弹至移动平均线上方,表明修正阶段可能结束。空头试图将价格拉低至移动平均线以下,但多头坚守阵地,表明势头转向看涨。
An inverse H&S pattern could form if the price breaks above $0.000030, targeting $0.000048. However, bears could attempt to suppress the price below the moving averages, potentially leading to a decline toward $0.000019.
如果价格突破 0.000030 美元,则可能形成反向 H&S 模式,目标为 0.000048 美元。然而,空头可能会试图将价格打压至移动平均线以下,从而可能导致价格跌至 0.000019 美元。
Conclusion
结论
The cryptocurrency market remains in a state of limbo, with Bitcoin and altcoins consolidating within defined ranges. Recent outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and bearish sentiment in the Post-Halving 'Danger Zone' may prolong the correction phase. However, the technical analysis of individual cryptocurrencies reveals potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios, indicating that the market is still highly volatile. Traders are advised to exercise caution and monitor price action closely for any breakout or breakdown opportunities.
加密货币市场仍处于不稳定状态,比特币和山寨币在规定范围内盘整。最近现货比特币 ETF 的资金流出和减半后“危险区”的看跌情绪可能会延长修正阶段。然而,对个别加密货币的技术分析揭示了看涨和看跌情景的可能性,表明市场仍然高度波动。建议交易者谨慎行事,密切监控价格走势,寻找任何突破或崩溃的机会。
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