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比特幣 (BTC) 本週試圖反彈,但面臨 67,000 美元附近的強烈拋售,導致本週預計小幅下跌 2%。分析師 Rekt Capital 警告稱,隨著 BTC 進入“減半後‘危險區’”,兩週內可能進一步下跌。主要山寨幣 NEAR、AR、CORE 和 BONK 顯示出看漲跡象,有可能啟動復甦,同時保持阻力位受到控制。
Bitcoin's Relief Rally Halted by Selling Pressure, Crypto Market Poised for Correction
比特幣的救濟性反彈因拋售壓力而停止,加密貨幣市場準備調整
Amidst the ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to initiate a relief rally this week, only to be met with intense selling pressure near the $67,000 mark. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is currently on track to end the week with a minor loss of approximately 2%.
在加密貨幣市場持續波動的情況下,比特幣(BTC)本週試圖發起緩解性反彈,但在 67,000 美元關卡附近遭遇了巨大的拋售壓力。以市值計算最大的加密貨幣目前預計在本週結束時小幅下跌約 2%。
Prominent trader and analyst Rekt Capital cautions that Bitcoin has entered the "Post-Halving 'Danger Zone,'" suggesting the possibility of a further dip within the next two weeks. Adding to the bearish sentiment, recent data indicates significant net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Farside Investors reported that these ETFs witnessed net outflows of $218 million on April 25, following a $120 million outflow the previous day.
著名交易員和分析師 Rekt Capital 警告稱,比特幣已進入“減半後的‘危險區’”,這表明未來兩週內可能會進一步下跌。最近的數據顯示現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)出現大量淨流出,加劇了看跌情緒。 Farside Investors 報告稱,這些 ETF 繼前一天流出 1.2 億美元後,4 月 25 日淨流出 2.18 億美元。
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC)
技術分析:比特幣(BTC)
Bitcoin has been trading within a range between $59,600 and $73,777 for several days, reflecting indecision among investors regarding the future direction of the cryptocurrency. Technical analysts anticipate that buyers will defend the $59,600 support level, as a breach below this point could exacerbate the correction, potentially leading to a Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
比特幣連續幾天交易價格在 59,600 美元至 73,777 美元之間,反映出投資者對加密貨幣未來方向的猶豫不決。技術分析師預計,買家將捍衛 59,600 美元的支撐位,因為跌破該點可能會加劇調整,可能導致斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元。
On the upside, a potential breakout above $73,777 could signal the commencement of a new leg of the uptrend, targeting $84,000. The moving averages remain flat, and the RSI hovers around the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
從好的方面來說,突破 73,777 美元可能標誌著新一輪上升趨勢的開始,目標價為 84,000 美元。均線保持平穩,RSI 徘徊在中點附近,顯示供需平衡。
Near Protocol (NEAR)
近協議(NEAR)
Near Protocol (NEAR) made a breakout attempt, rising above the descending channel pattern on April 25. However, the bears have initiated a counteroffensive, attempting to suppress the price near $7.70. If NEAR falls back into the channel, it might suggest a bear trap, potentially leading to a decline toward $5.90.
4 月 25 日,Near Protocol (NEAR) 嘗試突破,突破下降通道形態。如果 NEAR 回落至該頻道,則可能預示熊市陷阱,可能導致跌向 5.90 美元。
Conversely, a sustained breakout above $7.70 would imply a shift in momentum towards the bulls, potentially igniting a rally to $9. The moving averages are sloping upward, and the RSI is positive, suggesting a slight advantage for the bulls.
相反,持續突破 7.70 美元上方將意味著多頭勢頭轉向,可能引發反彈至 9 美元。移動平均線向上傾斜,RSI 為正,表示多頭略有優勢。
Arweave (AR)
阿維夫 (AR)
Arweave (AR) surged above both moving averages on April 25, signaling a potential resurgence of bullish sentiment. Bears attempted a pullback, but the bulls defended the dip to the 20-day EMA ($32.19) on April 27. This suggests a shift in sentiment, with buyers becoming more active on price dips.
Arweave (AR) 於 4 月 25 日飆升至兩條移動平均線之上,表明看漲情緒可能會復甦。空頭試圖回調,但多頭捍衛了 4 月 27 日跌至 20 日均線(32.19 美元)的水平。
A break above $40 could pave the way for a rally to $47.52, while a failure to maintain support above the 20-day EMA could lead to a drop to $22. The formation of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern could indicate further upside potential if the price breaks above the neckline and closes above it.
突破 40 美元可能為反彈至 47.52 美元鋪平道路,而未能維持 20 日均線上方的支撐可能導致跌至 22 美元。如果價格突破頸線並收於頸線之上,則反向頭肩形態的形成可能表明進一步的上漲潛力。
Core (CORE)
核心(核心)
Core (CORE) has taken support at the 20-day EMA ($2.23) on multiple occasions recently, demonstrating positive sentiment. A breakout above $2.91 would confirm a resurgence of bullish momentum, potentially leading to a surge toward $4.
Core (CORE) 最近多次在 20 日均線(2.23 美元)處獲得支撐,顯示出積極的情緒。突破 2.91 美元將確認看漲勢頭的復甦,可能導致價格飆升至 4 美元。
Conversely, a breakdown below the 20-day EMA would suggest that bears are still in control, potentially causing a drop to the 50-day SMA ($1.72). The moving averages are range-bound, and the RSI is neutral, indicating a lack of clear dominance between bulls and bears.
相反,如果跌破 20 日均線,則表示空頭仍在掌控之中,可能會導致跌至 50 日均線(1.72 美元)。移動平均線呈區間波動,RSI 呈中性,顯示多頭和空頭之間缺乏明顯的主導地位。
Bonk (BONK)
邦克 (邦克)
Bonk (BONK) rallied above the moving averages on April 23, indicating a potential end to the corrective phase. Bears attempted to pull the price below the moving averages, but bulls held their ground, suggesting a shift in momentum towards the bullish side.
Bonk (BONK) 於 4 月 23 日反彈至移動平均線上方,表明修正階段可能結束。空頭試圖將價格拉低至移動平均線以下,但多頭堅守陣地,顯示勢頭轉向看漲。
An inverse H&S pattern could form if the price breaks above $0.000030, targeting $0.000048. However, bears could attempt to suppress the price below the moving averages, potentially leading to a decline toward $0.000019.
如果價格突破 0.000030 美元,則可能形成反向 H&S 模式,目標為 0.000048 美元。然而,空頭可能會試圖將價格打壓至移動平均線以下,這可能導致價格跌至 0.000019 美元。
Conclusion
結論
The cryptocurrency market remains in a state of limbo, with Bitcoin and altcoins consolidating within defined ranges. Recent outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and bearish sentiment in the Post-Halving 'Danger Zone' may prolong the correction phase. However, the technical analysis of individual cryptocurrencies reveals potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios, indicating that the market is still highly volatile. Traders are advised to exercise caution and monitor price action closely for any breakout or breakdown opportunities.
加密貨幣市場仍處於不穩定狀態,比特幣和山寨幣在規定範圍內盤整。最近現貨比特幣 ETF 的資金流出和減半後「危險區」的看跌情緒可能會延長修正階段。然而,對個別加密貨幣的技術分析揭示了看漲和看跌情景的可能性,顯示市場仍然高度波動。建議交易者謹慎行事,密切監控價格走勢,尋找任何突破或崩潰的機會。
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