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加密货币新闻

比特币彩虹图信号累积:预计将出现大幅反弹

2024/04/25 10:00

比特币彩虹图表明,当前比特币价格水平处于“累积”区域,表明其被低估。渣打银行、Bernstein、CryptoQuant 和 Arthur Hayes 等预测模型和分析师预测,未来几个月 BTC 将大幅上涨,预测范围为 10 万美元至 20 万美元。这些预测表明,比特币当前的价格很便宜,并在短期内提供了丰厚回报的潜力。

比特币彩虹图信号累积:预计将出现大幅反弹

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Signals Accumulation: Predicting a Major Rally

比特币彩虹图信号积累:预测重大反弹

Bitcoin's remarkable surge in the first quarter of 2024, with gains exceeding 68%, has been tempered by headwinds in the second quarter, leading to a 7% decline and confining the cryptocurrency within a price range of $60K-$71K. Amidst this volatility, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart offers valuable insights into the asset's valuation, indicating whether it is overvalued or undervalued.

比特币在 2024 年第一季度的显着飙升,涨幅超过 68%,但在第二季度受到不利因素的影响,导致下跌 7%,并将加密货币的价格范围限制在 6 万至 7.1 万美元之间。在这种波动中,比特币彩虹图提供了有关该资产估值的宝贵见解,表明其是否被高估或低估。

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: Signaling Accumulation

比特币彩虹图:信号积累

According to the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, BTC's current price level falls within the "accumulate" zone. This logarithmic scale visualizes Bitcoin's valuation based on historical data, using color bands to differentiate buying and selling zones. In the past three halving cycles, Bitcoin has typically been heavily undervalued immediately after each event. While the current price level is slightly elevated compared to previous cycles, it remains within the "accumulate" zone, suggesting that BTC is still undervalued and not overheated.

根据比特币彩虹图,比特币当前的价格水平落在“积累”区域内。这种对数刻度根据历史数据可视化比特币的估值,使用色带来区分买卖区域。在过去的三个减半周期中,比特币通常在每次减半事件发生后立即被严重低估。虽然当前的价格水平与之前的周期相比略有上升,但仍处于“积累”区域,这表明 BTC 仍被低估且并未过热。

Stock-to-Flow Model Predicts Further Upside

库存流量模型预测进一步上涨

The Stock-to-Flow (S/F) model, which evaluates Bitcoin's future prices by comparing its circulating supply to the annual number of mined coins, also points to further upside potential. The model has historically provided accurate price projections, forecasting that BTC will surpass $100K in Q3 2024 and reach over $450K by the end of 2025.

库存流量(S/F)模型通过将比特币的流通供应量与每年开采的比特币数量进行比较来评估比特币的未来价格,该模型也指出了进一步的上涨潜力。该模型历来提供了准确的价格预测,预测 BTC 将在 2024 年第三季度超过 10 万美元,到 2025 年底将达到 45 万美元以上。

Expert Analysis Supports Bullish Outlook

专家分析支持看涨前景

A number of prominent analysts share the bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin. Standard Chartered predicts that BTC could hit $200K within the next 18-24 months. Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, attributes this potential surge to the maturation of spot BTC ETFs, which could attract significant inflows. Bernstein analysts have also revised their BTC price projection from $90K to $150K by mid-2025, citing higher-than-expected flows from spot BTC ETFs.

许多知名分析师都对比特币持看涨情绪。渣打银行预测 BTC 可能在未来 18-24 个月内达到 20 万美元。渣打银行数字资产研究主管 Geoff Kendrick 将这种潜在的激增归因于现货 BTC ETF 的成熟,这可能会吸引大量资金流入。 Bernstein 分析师还将 2025 年中期的 BTC 价格预测从 9 万美元修改为 15 万美元,理由是现货 BTC ETF 的流量高于预期。

Whale Accumulation and Macro Factors Align

鲸鱼积累和宏观因素一致

Adding to the bullish outlook, data from CryptoQuant reveals that "new whales" have significantly increased their BTC accumulation, doubling their cumulative investment compared to "old whales." Furthermore, the macro overview appears favorable for Bitcoin. BitMEX founder and Chief Investment Officer of Maelstrom, Arthur Hayes, predicts a strong summer for BTC, citing issues within the sovereign bonds market. Hayes believes that the liquidity surge that has fueled Bitcoin's ascent will intensify as the sovereign debt bubble bursts.

CryptoQuant 的数据显示,“新鲸鱼”的 BTC 积累量显着增加,与“老鲸鱼”相比,其累计投资增加了一倍,这进一步增加了看涨前景。此外,宏观形势似乎有利于比特币。 BitMEX 创始人兼 Maelstrom 首席投资官 Arthur Hayes 指出,主权债券市场存在问题,预计 BTC 夏季将表现强劲。海耶斯认为,随着主权债务泡沫的破裂,推动比特币上涨的流动性激增将会加剧。

Conclusion: BTC Poised for Further Gains

结论:BTC 有望进一步上涨

Overall, price prediction models like the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart and analysis from leading experts indicate a continued upside for BTC in the coming months. If these predictions hold true, current BTC prices represent a significant opportunity for investors. The "accumulate" signal from the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, combined with the bullish outlook from analysts and the favorable macro environment, suggests that BTC remains undervalued and poised for further gains.

总体而言,比特币彩虹图等价格预测模型和领先专家的分析表明,比特币在未来几个月将持续上涨。如果这些预测成立,那么当前的比特币价格对投资者来说意味着一个重大机会。比特币彩虹图的“吸筹”信号,加上分析师的看涨前景和有利的宏观环境,表明比特币仍然被低估,并有望进一步上涨。

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