比特币的价格受到打击，跌至80,000美元以下。这比1月达到的109,000美元的历史高点下降了27％。

比特币价格在最近的交易中受到打击，跌至80,000美元以下。这比1月达到的109,000美元的历史高点下降了27％。

Bitcoin price dropped below the $80,000 mark on Thursday. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has fallen 27% from a 2023 high of $109,000 (around R1,635,000) hit in January. It's also down 14.6% for the week.

比特币价格下跌以下是周四的80,000美元。一月份，全球最大的加密货币从2023年高点（约1,635,000卢比）下降了27％。本周也下降了14.6％。

At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $79,766. The cryptocurrency is now testing what analysts consider an important psychological barrier.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为79,766美元。加密货币现在正在测试分析师认为重要的心理障碍的内容。

This price level could determine the market’s direction in the coming weeks.

这个价格水平可以决定到未来几周市场的方向。

The crypto is still in the "still cheap" zone of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, a popular tool for long-term price analysis. The model uses colored bands in a logarithmic growth chart to help visualize market cycles.

加密货币仍处于比特币彩虹图表的“仍然廉价”的区域，这是长期价格分析的流行工具。该模型在对数增长图中使用彩色条带来帮助可视化市场周期。

In the two previous market cycles, prices reached at least the "Seriously sell!" territory before major corrections began. The current cycle hasn't even touched the "Is this a bubble?" range.

在之前的两个市场周期中，价格至少达到了“认真销售！”重大更正之前的领土。当前的周期甚至没有碰到“这是个泡沫吗？”范围。

This divergence from historical patterns suggests we may not be near a market top. Other technical indicators support this view as well.

与历史模式的这种差异表明我们可能不在市场顶部。其他技术指标也支持此观点。

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides additional context for Bitcoin's current position.

每周相对强度指数（RSI）为比特币当前位置提供了其他上下文。

During the 2017 peak, Bitcoin's RSI remained above 70 for multiple weeks as prices climbed.

在2017年峰值期间，随着价格上涨，比特币的RSI在数周内保持了70多个星期。

In the 2021 cycle, the price and RSI formed a bearish divergence before Bitcoin fell nearly 50%. Recently, the RSI was above 70 for six weeks but has since dropped below the neutral 50 line.

在2021周期中，价格和RSI在比特币下降了近50％之前形成了看跌差异。最近，RSI超过70周，持续了六个星期，但此后已降至中性50线以下。

This pattern more closely resembles the mid-cycle correction of summer 2021 than a major market top. If history repeats, a similar correction could take Bitcoin to approximately $54,000.

这种模式与2021年夏季的中期校正更类似于主要市场顶级。如果历史重复，类似的更正可能需要比特币至约54,000美元。

Bitcoin dominance charts tell another part of the story. During previous market cycle peaks, Bitcoin's share of the total cryptocurrency market was declining.

比特币优势图是故事的另一部分。在以前的市场周期峰值期间，比特币在总加密货币市场中的份额正在下降。

Currently, Bitcoin dominance is on an uptrend. It's reaching levels not seen since March 2021, which doesn't align with typical end-of-cycle behavior.

目前，比特币优势正在上升趋势。它已经达到自2021年3月以来未见的水平，与典型的周期行为不符。

CME Gap

CME差距

Market analyst Ibrahim has highlighted the CME gap phenomenon as a factor in Bitcoin's short-term price movement. A gap has formed between $82,110 and $86,000 on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

市场分析师易卜拉欣（Ibrahim）强调了CME GAP现象是比特币短期价格变动的一个因素。芝加哥商业交易所的差距在82,110美元至86,000美元之间。

These gaps often get filled as prices return to levels where trading paused. Ibrahim notes that Bitcoin previously filled a $10,000 gap within 19 hours on February 28th.

这些差距通常会填补，因为价格恢复到交易暂停的水平。易卜拉欣指出，比特币以前在2月28日的19小时内填补了10,000美元的差距。

Based on this pattern, Bitcoin could attempt to reach the $86,000-$90,000 range within the next day or two. However, this wouldn't necessarily indicate a full trend reversal.

基于这种模式，比特币可以尝试在第二天或两天内达到$ 86,000- $ 90,000的范围。但是，这不一定表明趋势逆转。

Another analytical perspective comes from the Realized Price of 3-6 Month UTXOs. This metric tracks the average price paid by investors who acquired Bitcoin in the mid-term timeframe.

另一个分析观点来自3-6个月UTXO的实现价格。该度量标准跟踪了在中期时间内收购比特币的投资者支付的平均价格。

The data identified $83,000 as a key support level, which Bitcoin has now fallen below. This breach might shift market sentiment toward fear.

数据将$ 83,000确定为关键支持水平，现在比特币降低了。这种违规行为可能会将市场情绪转移到恐惧中。

The breach of this support could lead to increased selling pressure. Mid-term holders might begin to exit their positions if they fear further price declines.

违反这种支持可能导致销售压力增加。如果中期持有人担心进一步的价格下降，他们可能会开始退出自己的职位。

If selling accelerates, Bitcoin could enter a distribution phase. The next support zone to watch is between $78,000 and $80,000.

如果销售加速，比特币可以进入分销阶段。值得关注的下一个支持区为78,000美元至80,000美元。

Despite recent price weakness, long-term investors can find some reassurance in the technical data. Current market indicators don't match patterns seen at previous cycle tops.

尽管最近的价格疲软，但长期投资者可以在技术数据中找到一些保证。当前的市场指标与先前周期顶部的模式不匹配。

The combination of a "still cheap" reading on the Rainbow Chart, uptrending Bitcoin dominance, and RSI patterns suggests the current decline may be a correction rather than the end of the bull market.

彩虹图表上“仍然廉价”的阅读，上升比特币的优势以及RSI模式的结合表明，目前的下降可能是一种更正，而不是牛市的终结。