比特幣的價格受到打擊，跌至80,000美元以下。這比1月達到的109,000美元的歷史高點下降了27％。

比特幣價格在最近的交易中受到打擊，跌至80,000美元以下。這比1月達到的109,000美元的歷史高點下降了27％。

Bitcoin price dropped below the $80,000 mark on Thursday. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has fallen 27% from a 2023 high of $109,000 (around R1,635,000) hit in January. It's also down 14.6% for the week.

比特幣價格下跌以下是周四的80,000美元。一月份，全球最大的加密貨幣從2023年高點（約1,635,000盧比）下降了27％。本周也下降了14.6％。

At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $79,766. The cryptocurrency is now testing what analysts consider an important psychological barrier.

在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為79,766美元。加密貨幣現在正在測試分析師認為重要的心理障礙的內容。

This price level could determine the market’s direction in the coming weeks.

這個價格水平可以決定到未來幾週市場的方向。

The crypto is still in the "still cheap" zone of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, a popular tool for long-term price analysis. The model uses colored bands in a logarithmic growth chart to help visualize market cycles.

加密貨幣仍處於比特幣彩虹圖表的“仍然廉價”的區域，這是長期價格分析的流行工具。該模型在對數增長圖中使用彩色條帶來幫助可視化市場週期。

In the two previous market cycles, prices reached at least the "Seriously sell!" territory before major corrections began. The current cycle hasn't even touched the "Is this a bubble?" range.

在之前的兩個市場週期中，價格至少達到了“認真銷售！”重大更正之前的領土。當前的周期甚至沒有碰到“這是個泡沫嗎？”範圍。

This divergence from historical patterns suggests we may not be near a market top. Other technical indicators support this view as well.

與歷史模式的這種差異表明我們可能不在市場頂部。其他技術指標也支持此觀點。

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides additional context for Bitcoin's current position.

每週相對強度指數（RSI）為比特幣當前位置提供了其他上下文。

During the 2017 peak, Bitcoin's RSI remained above 70 for multiple weeks as prices climbed.

在2017年峰值期間，隨著價格上漲，比特幣的RSI在數週內保持了70多個星期。

In the 2021 cycle, the price and RSI formed a bearish divergence before Bitcoin fell nearly 50%. Recently, the RSI was above 70 for six weeks but has since dropped below the neutral 50 line.

在2021週期中，價格和RSI在比特幣下降了近50％之前形成了看跌差異。最近，RSI超過70週，持續了六個星期，但此後已降至中性50線以下。

This pattern more closely resembles the mid-cycle correction of summer 2021 than a major market top. If history repeats, a similar correction could take Bitcoin to approximately $54,000.

這種模式與2021年夏季的中期校正更類似於主要市場頂級。如果歷史重複，類似的更正可能需要比特幣至約54,000美元。

Bitcoin dominance charts tell another part of the story. During previous market cycle peaks, Bitcoin's share of the total cryptocurrency market was declining.

比特幣優勢圖是故事的另一部分。在以前的市場週期峰值期間，比特幣在總加密貨幣市場中的份額正在下降。

Currently, Bitcoin dominance is on an uptrend. It's reaching levels not seen since March 2021, which doesn't align with typical end-of-cycle behavior.

目前，比特幣優勢正在上升趨勢。它已經達到自2021年3月以來未見的水平，與典型的周期行為不符。

CME Gap

CME差距

Market analyst Ibrahim has highlighted the CME gap phenomenon as a factor in Bitcoin's short-term price movement. A gap has formed between $82,110 and $86,000 on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

市場分析師易卜拉欣（Ibrahim）強調了CME GAP現像是比特幣短期價格變動的一個因素。芝加哥商業交易所的差距在82,110美元至86,000美元之間。

These gaps often get filled as prices return to levels where trading paused. Ibrahim notes that Bitcoin previously filled a $10,000 gap within 19 hours on February 28th.

這些差距通常會填補，因為價格恢復到交易暫停的水平。易卜拉欣指出，比特幣以前在2月28日的19小時內填補了10,000美元的差距。

Based on this pattern, Bitcoin could attempt to reach the $86,000-$90,000 range within the next day or two. However, this wouldn't necessarily indicate a full trend reversal.

基於這種模式，比特幣可以嘗試在第二天或兩天內達到$ 86,000- $ 90,000的範圍。但是，這不一定表明趨勢逆轉。

Another analytical perspective comes from the Realized Price of 3-6 Month UTXOs. This metric tracks the average price paid by investors who acquired Bitcoin in the mid-term timeframe.

另一個分析觀點來自3-6個月UTXO的實現價格。該度量標準跟踪了在中期時間內收購比特幣的投資者支付的平均價格。

The data identified $83,000 as a key support level, which Bitcoin has now fallen below. This breach might shift market sentiment toward fear.

數據將$ 83,000確定為關鍵支持水平，現在比特幣降低了。這種違規行為可能會將市場情緒轉移到恐懼中。

The breach of this support could lead to increased selling pressure. Mid-term holders might begin to exit their positions if they fear further price declines.

違反這種支持可能導致銷售壓力增加。如果中期持有人擔心進一步的價格下降，他們可能會開始退出自己的職位。

If selling accelerates, Bitcoin could enter a distribution phase. The next support zone to watch is between $78,000 and $80,000.

如果銷售加速，比特幣可以進入分銷階段。值得關注的下一個支持區為78,000美元至80,000美元。

Despite recent price weakness, long-term investors can find some reassurance in the technical data. Current market indicators don't match patterns seen at previous cycle tops.

儘管最近的價格疲軟，但長期投資者可以在技術數據中找到一些保證。當前的市場指標與先前週期頂部的模式不匹配。

The combination of a "still cheap" reading on the Rainbow Chart, uptrending Bitcoin dominance, and RSI patterns suggests the current decline may be a correction rather than the end of the bull market.

彩虹圖表上“仍然廉價”的閱讀，上升比特幣的優勢以及RSI模式的結合表明，目前的下降可能是一種更正，而不是牛市的終結。