比特币价格预测：分位数模型挑战 2025 年 BTC 100 万美元目标，预测 2029 年 30 万美元

比特币未来几年的价格预测差异很大，有些人希望到 2025 年达到 100 万美元。然而，分位数比特币模型呈现出更为保守的前景。

Bitcoin price predictions for the next few years vary widely, with some hoping for $1 million by 2025. However, a new model presents a more conservative outlook.

对未来几年比特币价格的预测差异很大，有些人希望到 2025 年将达到 100 万美元。然而，新模型提出了更为保守的前景。

According to the Quantile Bitcoin model, reaching $1 million by 2025 would require an extraordinary market event, given Bitcoin’s historical price fluctuations.

根据 Quantile 比特币模型，考虑到比特币的历史价格波动，到 2025 年达到 100 万美元需要一场非同寻常的市场事件。

The model predicts a more gradual growth path, suggesting that Bitcoin would likely remain within a specific price range over the next few years.

该模型预测了一个更加渐进的增长路径，这表明比特币可能在未来几年内保持在特定的价格范围内。

The Quantile model forecasts that Bitcoin could reach $300,000 by 2029, with a 50% chance of hitting $1 million by 2034 and $3 million by 2039.

分位数模型预测，到 2029 年，比特币的价格可能会达到 30 万美元，到 2034 年达到 100 万美元的可能性为 50%，到 2039 年达到 300 万美元的可能性为 50%。

This challenges predictions like Cathy Wood’s, which suggest $650,000 to $1.5 million for Bitcoin by 2030, with the model indicating only a 20% chance of reaching $650,000 by then.

这对 Cathy Wood 等预测提出了挑战，Cathy Wood 预测到 2030 年比特币价格将达到 65 万至 150 万美元，而该模型表明届时比特币价格达到 65 万美元的可能性只有 20%。

The Quantile model highlights the difficulty in precisely predicting Bitcoin's future price, presenting a range of possibilities based on historical data.

分位数模型强调了精确预测比特币未来价格的难度，并根据历史数据提出了一系列可能性。