比特幣價格預測：分位數模型挑戰 2025 年 BTC 100 萬美元目標，預測 2029 年 30 萬美元

比特幣未來幾年的價格預測差異很大，有些人希望在 2025 年達到 100 萬美元。

Bitcoin price predictions for the next few years vary widely, with some hoping for $1 million by 2025. However, a new model presents a more conservative outlook.

對未來幾年比特幣價格的預測差異很大，有些人希望在 2025 年達到 100 萬美元。

According to the Quantile Bitcoin model, reaching $1 million by 2025 would require an extraordinary market event, given Bitcoin’s historical price fluctuations.

根據 Quantile 比特幣模型，考慮到比特幣的歷史價格波動，到 2025 年達到 100 萬美元需要一場非同尋常的市場事件。

The model predicts a more gradual growth path, suggesting that Bitcoin would likely remain within a specific price range over the next few years.

該模型預測了一個更漸進的成長路徑，這表明比特幣可能在未來幾年內保持在特定的價格範圍內。

The Quantile model forecasts that Bitcoin could reach $300,000 by 2029, with a 50% chance of hitting $1 million by 2034 and $3 million by 2039.

分位數模型預測，到 2029 年，比特幣的價格可能會達到 30 萬美元，到 2034 年達到 100 萬美元的可能性為 50%，到 2039 年達到 300 萬美元的可能性為 50%。

This challenges predictions like Cathy Wood’s, which suggest $650,000 to $1.5 million for Bitcoin by 2030, with the model indicating only a 20% chance of reaching $650,000 by then.

這對 Cathy Wood 等預測提出了挑戰，Cathy Wood 預測到 2030 年比特幣價格將達到 65 萬至 150 萬美元，而該模型表明屆時比特幣價格達到 65 萬美元的可能性只有 20%。

The Quantile model highlights the difficulty in precisely predicting Bitcoin's future price, presenting a range of possibilities based on historical data.

分位數模型強調了精確預測比特幣未來價格的難度，並根據歷史數據提出了一系列可能性。