随着 BTC 市场波动，比特币价格预测从 12 万美元到令人兴奋的 1300 万美元

加密货币市场正处于另一场疯狂的浪潮中，而比特币一如既往地处于行动的中心。分析师和投资者正在对比特币做出一些大胆的价格预测

Bitcoin price predictions from analysts and investors are all over the place, ranging from $120,000 to a mind-boggling $13 million. Here's a closer look at some of the predictions and the factors influencing them.

分析师和投资者对比特币价格的预测五花八门，从 12 万美元到令人难以置信的 1300 万美元不等。以下是一些预测及其影响因素的详细分析。

Short-Term Bitcoin Price Predictions

短期比特币价格预测

Morgan Creek Capital CEO Mark Yusko thinks Bitcoin could hit somewhere between $120,000 and $150,000 by mid-2025. He believes its fair market value is $100,000, with a possible parabolic surge on top of that.

Morgan Creek Capital 首席执行官 Mark Yusko 认为，到 2025 年中期，比特币价格可能会达到 12 万至 15 万美元。他认为其公平市场价值为 100,000 美元，除此之外还可能出现抛物线式飙升。

But, Yusko also warns this could be followed by a bear market. Venture capitalist Tim Draper is sticking with his $250,000 prediction for Bitcoin in 2025. He thinks growing global adoption and a potential shift in the U.S. government policy toward Bitcoin reserves will drive the price up.

但是，尤斯科也警告称，随后可能会出现熊市。风险投资家 Tim Draper 坚持他对比特币 2025 年价值 25 万美元的预测。他认为全球采用率的不断提高以及美国政府对比特币储备政策的潜在转变将推动比特币价格上涨。

And then there are the really big numbers. Robert Kiyosaki, the author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” sees Bitcoin hitting $500,000 by 2025. He points to economic instability and inflation as the main reasons. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could climb to $750,000 by 2026, thanks to macroeconomic pressures and more institutional adoption.

然后还有非常大的数字。 《富爸爸穷爸爸》一书的作者罗伯特清崎预计，到 2025 年，比特币将达到 50 万美元。他指出，经济不稳定和通货膨胀是主要原因。 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 预测，由于宏观经济压力和更多机构采用，到 2026 年，比特币价格可能会攀升至 75 万美元。

Long-Term Bitcoin Price Predictions

长期比特币价格预测

Plan B, the guy behind the stock-to-flow (S2F) model, says Bitcoin could reach $400,000 by 2026, based on past trends with scarcity and post-halving price cycles. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz predicts $500,000 by 2028, highlighting the importance of institutional investments and the growing idea of Bitcoin as “digital gold.”

库存流量 (S2F) 模型背后的 Plan B 表示，根据过去的稀缺趋势和减半后的价格周期，比特币到 2026 年可能会达到 40 万美元。 Galaxy Digital 首席执行官迈克·诺沃格拉茨 (Mike Novogratz) 预计到 2028 年将达到 50 万美元，强调了机构投资的重要性以及比特币作为“数字黄金”这一日益增长的理念。

Looking even further ahead, the Winklevoss twins, co-founders of Gemini, think Bitcoin to reach $500,000 by 2030, citing its potential to rival gold as a store of value. ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood sets an even higher target of $1 million by 2030, driven by factors such as increased adoption, technological advancements, and favorable macroeconomic conditions.

展望更远的未来，Gemini 联合创始人 Winklevoss 双胞胎认为，到 2030 年，比特币将达到 50 万美元，理由是其作为价值储存手段的潜力可与黄金相媲美。在采用率增加、技术进步和有利的宏观经济条件等因素的推动下，ARK Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 设定了到 2030 年 100 万美元的更高目标。

But the biggest prediction of all comes from Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of MicroStrategy. He thinks Bitcoin could hit a massive $13 million by 2045! Saylor’s estimate assumes a 29% annual appreciation rate, showing his strong belief in Bitcoin’s potential as a store of value in our increasingly digital world.

但其中最大的预测来自 MicroStrategy 执行主席 Michael Saylor。他认为到 2045 年，比特币的价值可能会达到 1300 万美元！ Saylor 的估计假设年升值率为 29%，这表明他坚信比特币在我们日益数字化的世界中作为价值储存手段的潜力。

What’s Driving These Predictions?

是什么推动了这些预测？

Key market drivers, including Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approvals and the changing regulations could be the reason investors are more confident in shaping such forecasts. Advancements like the Lightning Network make Bitcoin more useful by speeding up transactions and lowering fees. Bitcoin’s scarcity is also a big deal for these analysts.

包括比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）批准和不断变化的法规在内的主要市场驱动因素可能是投资者对制定此类预测更有信心的原因。闪电网络等进步通过加快交易速度和降低费用使比特币变得更加有用。对于这些分析师来说，比特币的稀缺性也是一件大事。

Even though the timelines and valuations are so varied, expert predictions all show a shared belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.

尽管时间表和估值差异很大，但专家预测都显示出对比特币长期潜力的共同信念。