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加密貨幣市場正處於另一場瘋狂的浪潮中,而比特幣一如既往地處於行動的中心。分析師和投資者正在對比特幣做出一些大膽的價格預測
Bitcoin price predictions from analysts and investors are all over the place, ranging from $120,000 to a mind-boggling $13 million. Here's a closer look at some of the predictions and the factors influencing them.
分析師和投資者對比特幣價格的預測五花八門,從 12 萬美元到令人難以置信的 1300 萬美元不等。以下是一些預測及其影響因素的詳細分析。
Short-Term Bitcoin Price Predictions
短期比特幣價格預測
Morgan Creek Capital CEO Mark Yusko thinks Bitcoin could hit somewhere between $120,000 and $150,000 by mid-2025. He believes its fair market value is $100,000, with a possible parabolic surge on top of that.
Morgan Creek Capital 執行長 Mark Yusko 認為,到 2025 年中期,比特幣價格可能達到 12 萬至 15 萬美元。他認為其公平市場價值為 10 萬美元,除此之外還可能出現拋物線式飆升。
But, Yusko also warns this could be followed by a bear market. Venture capitalist Tim Draper is sticking with his $250,000 prediction for Bitcoin in 2025. He thinks growing global adoption and a potential shift in the U.S. government policy toward Bitcoin reserves will drive the price up.
但是,尤斯科也警告稱,隨後可能會出現熊市。創投家 Tim Draper 堅持他對比特幣 2025 年價值 25 萬美元的預測。
And then there are the really big numbers. Robert Kiyosaki, the author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” sees Bitcoin hitting $500,000 by 2025. He points to economic instability and inflation as the main reasons. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could climb to $750,000 by 2026, thanks to macroeconomic pressures and more institutional adoption.
然後還有非常大的數字。 《富爸爸窮爸爸》一書的作者羅伯特清崎預計,到 2025 年,比特幣將達到 50 萬美元。 BitMEX 聯合創始人 Arthur Hayes 預測,由於宏觀經濟壓力和更多機構採用,到 2026 年,比特幣價格可能會攀升至 75 萬美元。
Long-Term Bitcoin Price Predictions
長期比特幣價格預測
Plan B, the guy behind the stock-to-flow (S2F) model, says Bitcoin could reach $400,000 by 2026, based on past trends with scarcity and post-halving price cycles. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz predicts $500,000 by 2028, highlighting the importance of institutional investments and the growing idea of Bitcoin as “digital gold.”
庫存流量 (S2F) 模型背後的 Plan B 表示,根據過去的稀缺趨勢和減半後的價格週期,比特幣到 2026 年可能會達到 40 萬美元。 Galaxy Digital 執行長 Mike Novogratz 預計到 2028 年將達到 50 萬美元,強調了機構投資的重要性以及比特幣作為「數位黃金」日益增長的理念。
Looking even further ahead, the Winklevoss twins, co-founders of Gemini, think Bitcoin to reach $500,000 by 2030, citing its potential to rival gold as a store of value. ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood sets an even higher target of $1 million by 2030, driven by factors such as increased adoption, technological advancements, and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
展望更遠的未來,Gemini 聯合創始人 Winklevoss 雙胞胎認為,到 2030 年,比特幣將達到 50 萬美元,理由是其作為價值儲存手段的潛力可與黃金相媲美。在採用率增加、技術進步和有利的宏觀經濟條件等因素的推動下,ARK Invest 執行長 Cathie Wood 設定了到 2030 年 100 萬美元的更高目標。
But the biggest prediction of all comes from Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of MicroStrategy. He thinks Bitcoin could hit a massive $13 million by 2045! Saylor’s estimate assumes a 29% annual appreciation rate, showing his strong belief in Bitcoin’s potential as a store of value in our increasingly digital world.
但其中最大的預測來自 MicroStrategy 執行主席 Michael Saylor。他認為到 2045 年,比特幣的價值可能會達到 1,300 萬美元! Saylor 的估計假設年升值率為 29%,這表明他堅信比特幣在我們日益數位化的世界中作為價值儲存手段的潛力。
What’s Driving These Predictions?
是什麼推動了這些預測?
Key market drivers, including Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approvals and the changing regulations could be the reason investors are more confident in shaping such forecasts. Advancements like the Lightning Network make Bitcoin more useful by speeding up transactions and lowering fees. Bitcoin’s scarcity is also a big deal for these analysts.
包括比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)批准和不斷變化的法規在內的主要市場驅動因素可能是投資者對制定此類預測更有信心的原因。閃電網路等進步透過加快交易速度和降低費用使比特幣變得更加有用。對這些分析師來說,比特幣的稀缺性也是一件大事。
Even though the timelines and valuations are so varied, expert predictions all show a shared belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
儘管時間表和估值差異很大,但專家預測都顯示出對比特幣長期潛力的共同信念。
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