2025年的比特币价格预测：目标是目标15万美元

我们对2025年的分析预测比特币在今年上半年达到了15万美元的目标。

Our analysis for 2025 forecasts bitcoin (BTC) reaching a target of $150,000 in the first half of the year. However, an initial pullback may occur in Q1 if the newly inaugurated Trump administration fails to introduce the anticipated “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” at the pace expected by the fast-moving crypto market.

我们对2025年预测比特币（BTC）的分析在今年上半年达到了15万美元的目标。但是，如果新成立的特朗普政府未能以快速移动的加密货币市场预期的速度引入预期的“战略性比特币储备”，则可能会在第一季度发生最初的回调。

Even without a fully implemented reserve strategy, bitcoin is expected to rally, driven by bullish momentum. We anticipate the price to enter the $130,000–$150,000 range by Q2 of 2025, supported by strong market catalysts.

即使没有完全实施的储备战略，比特币也有望在看涨的势头驱动下集会。我们预计，到2025年第2季度，在强大的市场催化剂的支持下，价格将进入130,000-150,000美元的价格。

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The bitcoin price pulled back last week from highs of $108,300 after a strong buying setup played out on the weekly timeframe, according to the DeMark TD Sequential indicator. The indicator's "propulsion" target was hit precisely, as was a 10% correction down to the $90,000 zone, where buy signals emerged on lower time frames.

根据Demark TD顺序指标，在每周的每周时间范围内进行了强劲的购买设置后，比特币价格从上周的108,300美元上涨了。该指标的“推进”目标被精确地击中，而10％的更正到了90,000美元的区域，在较低的时间范围内，购买信号出现了。

After reaching the indicator's target and completing a correction, bitcoin was 'bought with conviction' at lower price points, as indicated by the indicator. A propulsion target is a predefined price level derived from a series of calculations that help traders identify key areas of potential support or resistance. These targets are designed to indicate where the price might move in the future, often serving as potential breakout or exhaustion points.

达到指标的目标并完成更正后，比特币以较低的价格“被定罪”，如指标所示。推进目标是从一系列计算中得出的预定价格水平，这些计算有助于交易者确定潜在支持或抵抗的关键领域。这些目标旨在指示价格将来可能会在哪里转移，通常是潜在的突破或疲惫点。

This widespread interest signifies a strong foundation for bitcoin’s upward trajectory in 2025.

这广泛的兴趣意味着2025年比特币向上轨迹的强大基础。

Quantitative models and risksWhile optimism runs high, our quantitative models flag no potential risks under $90,000. Specifically:

定量模型和风险乐观量很高，我们的定量模型没有限制90,000美元以下的潜在风险。具体来说：

Bitcoin price daily chart with quantitative analysis. Source: TradingView

比特币价格每日图表和定量分析。资料来源：TradingView

The DeMark TD Sequential indicator suggests bitcoin is on a bullish setup on the weekly timeframe after reaching its propulsion target of $108,300 and completing one of its typical 10% corrections down to $90,000, which was bought with conviction. A propulsion target is a predefined price level derived from a series of calculations that help traders identify key areas of potential support or resistance. These targets are designed to indicate where the price might move in the future, often serving as potential breakout or exhaustion points.

Demark TD顺序指标表明，比特币在达到108,300美元的推进目标后，在每周的时间范围内进行看涨，并完成其典型的10％校正中的一种，降低到90,000美元，这是有信念购买的。推进目标是从一系列计算中得出的预定价格水平，这些计算有助于交易者确定潜在支持或抵抗的关键领域。这些目标旨在指示价格将来可能会在哪里转移，通常是潜在的突破或疲惫点。

Dollar strength and macro risksThe U.S. dollar’s weakness in the coming weeks and months presents another catalyst for crypto:

美元的强度和宏观可能会在未来几周和几个月内美元的弱点呈现出加密的另一个催化剂：

The dollar strength index (DXY) has broken down from a descending channel on the daily timeframe after rallying throughout 2024. This price action may lead to a further sell-off in the coming months, which could drive capital into crypto.

在整个2024年集会后，美元实力指数（DXY）从每日时间表的下降频道中崩溃了。这种价格行动可能会导致未来几个月进一步抛售，这可能会将资本带入加密货币。

Bitcoin price 4HR chart with dollar strength overlay. Source: TradingView

比特币价格4小时图表，具有美元强度覆盖。资料来源：TradingView

A dollar sell-off may present a “golden cross” on the four-hour bitcoin price chart, which could provide further support for the crypto asset. A golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, typically indicating a bullish trend.

一美元的抛售可能会在四小时的比特币价格表上展示“金十字”，这可以为加密资产提供进一步的支持。当50天移动平均线（MA）交叉高于200天的MA时，发生了一个金交叉，通常表明看涨趋势。

SummaryDespite potential near-term volatility and choppy price action, we maintain a strong bullish outlook for bitcoin in 202

摘要尽管潜在的近期波动和波动的价格动作，我们在202