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我們對2025年的分析預測比特幣在今年上半年達到了15萬美元的目標。
Our analysis for 2025 forecasts bitcoin (BTC) reaching a target of $150,000 in the first half of the year. However, an initial pullback may occur in Q1 if the newly inaugurated Trump administration fails to introduce the anticipated “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” at the pace expected by the fast-moving crypto market.
我們對2025年預測比特幣(BTC)的分析在今年上半年達到了15萬美元的目標。但是,如果新成立的特朗普政府未能以快速移動的加密貨幣市場預期的速度引入預期的“戰略性比特幣儲備”,則可能會在第一季度發生最初的回調。
Even without a fully implemented reserve strategy, bitcoin is expected to rally, driven by bullish momentum. We anticipate the price to enter the $130,000–$150,000 range by Q2 of 2025, supported by strong market catalysts.
即使沒有完全實施的儲備戰略,比特幣也有望在看漲的勢頭驅動下集會。我們預計,到2025年第2季度,在強大的市場催化劑的支持下,價格將進入130,000-150,000美元的價格。
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您正在閱讀Crypto Long&Short,這是我們每週的新聞通訊,其中包括專業投資者的見解,新聞和分析。在這裡註冊以將其在每個星期三的收件箱中獲取。
The bitcoin price pulled back last week from highs of $108,300 after a strong buying setup played out on the weekly timeframe, according to the DeMark TD Sequential indicator. The indicator's "propulsion" target was hit precisely, as was a 10% correction down to the $90,000 zone, where buy signals emerged on lower time frames.
根據Demark TD順序指標,在每週的每週時間範圍內進行了強勁的購買設置後,比特幣價格從上週的108,300美元上漲了。該指標的“推進”目標被精確地擊中,而10%的更正到了90,000美元的區域,在較低的時間範圍內,購買信號出現了。
After reaching the indicator's target and completing a correction, bitcoin was 'bought with conviction' at lower price points, as indicated by the indicator. A propulsion target is a predefined price level derived from a series of calculations that help traders identify key areas of potential support or resistance. These targets are designed to indicate where the price might move in the future, often serving as potential breakout or exhaustion points.
達到指標的目標並完成更正後,比特幣以較低的價格“被定罪”,如指標所示。推進目標是從一系列計算中得出的預定價格水平,這些計算有助於交易者確定潛在支持或抵抗的關鍵領域。這些目標旨在指示價格將來可能會在哪裡轉移,通常是潛在的突破或疲憊點。
This widespread interest signifies a strong foundation for bitcoin’s upward trajectory in 2025.
這廣泛的興趣意味著2025年比特幣向上軌蹟的強大基礎。
Quantitative models and risksWhile optimism runs high, our quantitative models flag no potential risks under $90,000. Specifically:
定量模型和風險樂觀量很高,我們的定量模型沒有限制90,000美元以下的潛在風險。具體來說:
Bitcoin price daily chart with quantitative analysis. Source: TradingView
比特幣價格每日圖表和定量分析。資料來源:TradingView
The DeMark TD Sequential indicator suggests bitcoin is on a bullish setup on the weekly timeframe after reaching its propulsion target of $108,300 and completing one of its typical 10% corrections down to $90,000, which was bought with conviction. A propulsion target is a predefined price level derived from a series of calculations that help traders identify key areas of potential support or resistance. These targets are designed to indicate where the price might move in the future, often serving as potential breakout or exhaustion points.
Demark TD順序指標表明,比特幣在達到108,300美元的推進目標後,在每週的時間範圍內進行看漲,並完成其典型的10%校正中的一種,降低到90,000美元,這是有信念購買的。推進目標是從一系列計算中得出的預定價格水平,這些計算有助於交易者確定潛在支持或抵抗的關鍵領域。這些目標旨在指示價格將來可能會在哪裡轉移,通常是潛在的突破或疲憊點。
Dollar strength and macro risksThe U.S. dollar’s weakness in the coming weeks and months presents another catalyst for crypto:
美元的強度和宏觀可能會在未來幾周和幾個月內美元的弱點呈現出加密的另一個催化劑:
The dollar strength index (DXY) has broken down from a descending channel on the daily timeframe after rallying throughout 2024. This price action may lead to a further sell-off in the coming months, which could drive capital into crypto.
在整個2024年集會後,美元實力指數(DXY)從每日時間表的下降頻道中崩潰了。這種價格行動可能會導致未來幾個月進一步拋售,這可能會將資本帶入加密貨幣。
Bitcoin price 4HR chart with dollar strength overlay. Source: TradingView
比特幣價格4小時圖表,具有美元強度覆蓋。資料來源:TradingView
A dollar sell-off may present a “golden cross” on the four-hour bitcoin price chart, which could provide further support for the crypto asset. A golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, typically indicating a bullish trend.
一美元的拋售可能會在四小時的比特幣價格表上展示“金十字”,這可以為加密資產提供進一步的支持。當50天移動平均線(MA)交叉高於200天的MA時,發生了一個金交叉,通常表明看漲趨勢。
SummaryDespite potential near-term volatility and choppy price action, we maintain a strong bullish outlook for bitcoin in 202
摘要儘管潛在的近期波動和波動的價格動作,我們在202
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