比特币价格预测：BTC/美元继续强劲反弹，目标为 10 万美元

隔夜比特币价格继续飙升，创下超过 93,200 美元的历史新高。 BTC/美元货币对已较 8 月份的最低水平飙升近 90%，较 1 月份的水平飙升 115%。

Bearish View

看跌观点

Bitcoin price continued its strong rally on Monday, reaching a record high of $93,240, up by over 90% from its lowest level in August. The BTC/USD pair has soared by more than 115% from its January levels.

周一，比特币价格继续强劲上涨，触及 93,240 美元的历史新高，较 8 月份的最低水平上涨超过 90%。 BTC/美元货币对较 1 月份的水平飙升了 115% 以上。

After rising to a record high on Friday, Bitcoin continued its strong performance on Monday as the US dollar index retreated to $106.3. It also rose after Donald Trump settled on Howard Lutnick, the head of Cantor Fitzgerald, to be the new Commerce Secretary.

比特币在周五升至历史新高后，周一继续强劲表现，美元指数回落至 106.3 美元。在唐纳德·特朗普选定坎托·菲茨杰拉德公司的负责人霍华德·卢特尼克担任新任商务部长后，这一数字也有所上升。

Lutnick has often talked positively about Bitcoin and the crypto industry. Trump campaigned on making the US the capital of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, and analysts expect his SEC to be different than Joe Biden’s.

卢特尼克经常积极谈论比特币和加密行业。特朗普竞选时主张让美国成为比特币和其他加密货币的首都，分析人士预计他的美国证券交易委员会将与乔·拜登的不同。

Moreover, investors and companies are still showing interest in Bitcoin. There are rumors that Trump’s social media company wants to acquire Bakkt, a company in the crypto industry.

此外，投资者和公司仍然对比特币表现出兴趣。有传言称，特朗普的社交媒体公司想要收购加密行业的公司 Bakkt。

MicroStrategy is also planning to raise more funds to buy Bitcoin. Riot Platforms, one of the leading companies in the crypto industry, is also planning to buy more of the coin.

MicroStrategy 还计划筹集更多资金购买比特币。 Riot Platforms 是加密货币行业的领先公司之一，也计划购买更多的加密货币。

Data revealed that spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen inflows of over $27.7 billion since January this year. Among these, Blackrock’s IBIT has the highest funds, followed by Grayscale and Fidelity.

数据显示，自今年 1 月以来，现货比特币 ETF 资金流入已超过 277 亿美元。其中，贝莱德的IBIT基金数量最高，其次是灰度和富达。

As the coin attempts to hit $100,000, these funds will probably see more inflows in the upcoming sessions.

随着代币试图触及 100,000 美元，这些基金可能会在接下来的交易日中看到更多资金流入。

Bitcoin is also performing well due to the increasing odds that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates later this year.

由于美联储今年晚些时候继续降息的可能性越来越大，比特币也表现良好。

BTC/USD Technical Analysis

BTC/美元技术分析

The BTC/USD pair continued its strong rally in the overnight session, surging to a record high. It moved past the critical resistance level of $73,777, which was the previous all-time high.

比特币/美元货币对在隔夜交易中继续强劲反弹，飙升至历史新高。它突破了 73,777 美元的关键阻力位，这是之前的历史高点。

Bitcoin remained above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), indicating strong momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen to an overbought level of 70.

比特币仍高于 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），表明势头强劲。相对强弱指数（RSI）已升至超买水平 70。

Furthermore, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator also pointed upwards, reaching 2.7, suggesting more gains ahead.

此外，市值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 指标也呈上升趋势，达到 2.7，表明未来还会有更多上涨。

As a result, Bitcoin will probably continue rising as bulls aim for the key resistance level at $100,000. A drop below the support at $85,000 will briefly invalidate the bullish view.

因此，随着多头瞄准 100,000 美元的关键阻力位，比特币可能会继续上涨。跌破 85,000 美元的支撑位将暂时使看涨观点失效。