CryptoQuant 预测 2025 年比特币价格预测：今年 BTC 价格将达到 249000 美元

过去几天，比特币价格似乎终于开始强劲复苏，并于 1 月 16 日星期四突破 10 万美元上限。

Bitcoin price finally started recovering strongly in the past few days, breaking through the $100,000 ceiling on Thursday, January 16. The premier cryptocurrency didn’t stay more than a day above this level the last time it surpassed a six-figure valuation.

比特币价格在过去几天里终于开始强劲复苏，于 1 月 16 日星期四突破 10 万美元上限。上一次突破六位数估值时，这种顶级加密货币在这一水平之上停留的时间不超过一天。

However, the price of Bitcoin has returned to as high as $105,000 this time around, its highest level so far in 2025. Interestingly, it appears that this might only be the beginning of an even bigger rally for the Bitcoin price over the next 12 months.

然而，这次比特币的价格又回到了 105,000 美元的高位，这是 2025 年迄今为止的最高水平。有趣的是，这似乎只是未来 12 个月比特币价格更大上涨的开始。

Is 2025 The Peak Year For Bitcoin Price?

2025 年是比特币价格的巅峰年吗？

In its latest weekly report, blockchain intelligence firm CryptoQuant revealed its target for the Bitcoin price in the year 2025. The on-chain analytics platform sheds light on the potential trajectory of the flagship cryptocurrency over the year.

区块链情报公司 CryptoQuant 在其最新的每周报告中透露了 2025 年比特币价格的目标。链上分析平台揭示了这一旗舰加密货币在一年中的潜在轨迹。

CryptoQuant projected the price of Bitcoin to reach as high as $249,000 — or at least $145,000 —  in the new year. This represents somewhere between a 45% to 150% positive yearly performance for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

CryptoQuant 预计新的一年比特币价格将高达 249,000 美元，或者至少 145,000 美元。这意味着全球最大的加密货币的年业绩增长在 45% 到 150% 之间。

The market intelligence expects the Bitcoin price rally to be catalyzed by institutional capital flows, in the context of a favorable regulatory environment, accommodative monetary policy in the United States, and historical cyclical patterns.

市场情报预计，在有利的监管环境、美国宽松的货币政策以及历史周期性模式的背景下，机构资本流动将催化比特币价格上涨。

For instance, the imminent inauguration and administration of pro-crypto Donald Trump is expected to see crypto-friendly regulators take office and implement positive executive actions. Hence, CryptoQuant anticipates a Bitcoin demand rise when President Trump returns to the Oval Office.

例如，支持加密货币的唐纳德·特朗普即将就职和执政，预计对加密货币友好的监管机构将上任并采取积极的行政行动。因此，CryptoQuant 预计，当特朗普总统重返椭圆形办公室时，比特币需求将会上升。

Furthermore, optimistic macroeconomic conditions are also expected to play a significant role in the Bitcoin price performance in 2025. “The projected interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve could provide a favorable environment for capital to flow into risk assets like Bitcoin,” the report read.

此外，乐观的宏观经济状况预计也将对 2025 年比特币价格表现发挥重要作用。“美联储预计的降息可能为资本流入比特币等风险资产提供有利的环境，”报告称。 。

Additionally, 2025 is the last year in Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle, which has been historically correlated with significant price surges. The price of Bitcoin reached a new record high of over $67,000 in the final year of the previous cycle.

此外，2025 年是比特币 4 年周期的最后一年，历史上比特币价格大幅上涨。比特币价格在上一周期的最后一年创下了超过 67,000 美元的新纪录高点。

While this historical perspective suggests that the market leader could reach a new all-time high price this year, it also signals the likelihood of a Bitcoin price top in 2025. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at around 104,450, reflecting an over 4% increase in the past day.

虽然这一历史观点表明，市场领导者今年可能会创下历史新高，但它也预示着比特币价格可能会在 2025 年达到顶峰。截至撰写本文时，比特币价格约为 104,450，反映出超过过去一天上涨4%。

How Much Capital Will Flow Into Bitcoin In 2025?

2025年将有多少资金流入比特币？

According to CryptoQuant, roughly $520 billion could flow into the flagship cryptocurrency this year, especially considering favorable regulatory, monetary, and cyclical conditions. This projection was calculated based on the realized capitalization metric, which is the sum value (in US dollars) of each Bitcoin when it last moved on-chain.

据 CryptoQuant 称，今年大约有 5200 亿美元可能流入旗舰加密货币，特别是考虑到有利的监管、货币和周期性条件。该预测是根据已实现的资本化指标计算的，即每个比特币最后一次在链上移动时的总价值（以美元为单位）。

CryptoQuant noted:

CryptoQuant 指出：

A total of $86 billion flowed into Bitcoin from 2015 to 2018, then $384 billion from 2019 to 2021, and $440 billion from the end of 2022 to 2025. The realized cap increases particularly quickly in the last year of each Bitcoin cycle, 2017 and 2021, which would suggest Bitcoin could experience a similar inflow of capital in 2025.

2015 年至 2018 年，总共有 860 亿美元流入比特币，2019 年至 2021 年流入比特币 3840 亿美元，2022 年底至 2025 年流入比特币 4400 亿美元。在每个比特币周期的最后一年（2017 年和 2021 年），已实现的上限增长尤其迅速。 ，这表明比特币在 2025 年可能会经历类似的资本流入。