CryptoQuant 預測 2025 年比特幣價格預測：今年 BTC 價格將達到 249,000 美元

過去幾天，比特幣價格似乎終於開始強勁復甦，並在 1 月 16 日星期四突破 10 萬美元上限。

Bitcoin price finally started recovering strongly in the past few days, breaking through the $100,000 ceiling on Thursday, January 16. The premier cryptocurrency didn’t stay more than a day above this level the last time it surpassed a six-figure valuation.

比特幣價格在過去幾天終於開始強勁復甦，於1 月16 日星期四突破10 萬美元上限。超過一天。

However, the price of Bitcoin has returned to as high as $105,000 this time around, its highest level so far in 2025. Interestingly, it appears that this might only be the beginning of an even bigger rally for the Bitcoin price over the next 12 months.

然而，這次比特幣的價格又回到了 105,000 美元的高位，這是 2025 年迄今為止的最高水平。

Is 2025 The Peak Year For Bitcoin Price?

2025 年是比特幣價格的巔峰年嗎？

In its latest weekly report, blockchain intelligence firm CryptoQuant revealed its target for the Bitcoin price in the year 2025. The on-chain analytics platform sheds light on the potential trajectory of the flagship cryptocurrency over the year.

區塊鏈情報公司 CryptoQuant 在其最新的每週報告中透露了 2025 年比特幣價格的目標。

CryptoQuant projected the price of Bitcoin to reach as high as $249,000 — or at least $145,000 —  in the new year. This represents somewhere between a 45% to 150% positive yearly performance for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

CryptoQuant 預計新的一年比特幣價格將高達 249,000 美元，或至少 145,000 美元。這意味著全球最大的加密貨幣的年度業績成長在 45% 到 150% 之間。

The market intelligence expects the Bitcoin price rally to be catalyzed by institutional capital flows, in the context of a favorable regulatory environment, accommodative monetary policy in the United States, and historical cyclical patterns.

市場情報預計，在有利的監管環境、美國寬鬆的貨幣政策以及歷史週期性模式的背景下，機構資本流動將催化比特幣價格上漲。

For instance, the imminent inauguration and administration of pro-crypto Donald Trump is expected to see crypto-friendly regulators take office and implement positive executive actions. Hence, CryptoQuant anticipates a Bitcoin demand rise when President Trump returns to the Oval Office.

例如，支持加密貨幣的唐納德·川普即將就職和執政，預計對加密貨幣友好的監管機構將上任並採取積極的行政行動。因此，CryptoQuant 預計，當川普總統重返橢圓形辦公室時，比特幣需求將會上升。

Furthermore, optimistic macroeconomic conditions are also expected to play a significant role in the Bitcoin price performance in 2025. “The projected interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve could provide a favorable environment for capital to flow into risk assets like Bitcoin,” the report read.

此外，樂觀的宏觀經濟狀況預計也將對 2025 年比特幣價格表現發揮重要作用。

Additionally, 2025 is the last year in Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle, which has been historically correlated with significant price surges. The price of Bitcoin reached a new record high of over $67,000 in the final year of the previous cycle.

此外，2025 年是比特幣 4 年周期的最後一年，歷史上比特幣價格大幅上漲。比特幣價格在上一周期的最後一年創下了超過 67,000 美元的新紀錄高點。

While this historical perspective suggests that the market leader could reach a new all-time high price this year, it also signals the likelihood of a Bitcoin price top in 2025. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at around 104,450, reflecting an over 4% increase in the past day.

雖然這一歷史觀點表明，市場領導者今年可能會創下歷史新高，但它也預示著比特幣價格可能會在 2025 年達到頂峰。上漲4%。

How Much Capital Will Flow Into Bitcoin In 2025?

2025年將有多少資金流入比特幣？

According to CryptoQuant, roughly $520 billion could flow into the flagship cryptocurrency this year, especially considering favorable regulatory, monetary, and cyclical conditions. This projection was calculated based on the realized capitalization metric, which is the sum value (in US dollars) of each Bitcoin when it last moved on-chain.

據 CryptoQuant 稱，今年約有 5,200 億美元可能流入旗艦加密貨幣，特別是考慮到有利的監管、貨幣和週期性條件。該預測是根據已實現的資本化指標計算的，即每個比特幣最後一次在鏈上移動時的總價值（以美元為單位）。

CryptoQuant noted:

CryptoQuant 指出：

A total of $86 billion flowed into Bitcoin from 2015 to 2018, then $384 billion from 2019 to 2021, and $440 billion from the end of 2022 to 2025. The realized cap increases particularly quickly in the last year of each Bitcoin cycle, 2017 and 2021, which would suggest Bitcoin could experience a similar inflow of capital in 2025.

2015 年至2018 年，總共有860 億美元流入比特幣，2019 年至2021 年流入比特幣3,840 億美元，2022 年底至2025 年流入比特幣4,400 億美元。 2017 年和2021 年），已實現的上限增長尤其迅速。