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比特币在 3 月份创下历史新高后,其价值已下跌约 13%。让我们来探讨一下正在发生的事情以及专家的说法
Bitcoin began 2024 on a high note, reaching a peak of around $73,750 in March. However, the cryptocurrency has since faced a correction, with its price dropping to around $59,100 last week. This decline was sparked by several factors, including payments to Mt. Gox clients and miner sell-offs following the halving.
比特币在 2024 年伊始就处于高位,在 3 月份达到了 73,750 美元左右的峰值。然而,该加密货币此后面临回调,上周其价格跌至 59,100 美元左右。这种下降是由多种因素引发的,包括向 Mt. Gox 客户付款以及减半后矿工的抛售。
Despite the recent downturn, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Here's a closer look at what happened and what experts are saying about Bitcoin’s potential to bounce back from recent declines.
尽管近期经济低迷,一些分析师仍然对比特币的未来轨迹持乐观态度。以下是对发生的事情以及专家对比特币从最近的下跌中反弹的潜力的看法的更仔细的了解。
Fear and Greed Index: A measure of market sentiment, the Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market recently dropped to 30 points—the lowest since September 2023. This index gauges the emotions and sentiments that are driving the market. When the index moves toward fear, it often signals a bearish (downward) trend.
恐惧和贪婪指数:衡量市场情绪的指标,加密货币市场的恐惧和贪婪指数最近跌至 30 点,为 2023 年 9 月以来的最低水平。该指数衡量推动市场的情绪和情绪。当指数走向恐惧时,通常预示着看跌(下降)趋势。
Last week, Bitcoin’s price fell from $62,500 to $59,100, dragging other cryptocurrencies down with it. This drop coincided with the start of payments to Mt. Gox clients, which further contributed to the market's decline.
上周,比特币的价格从 62,500 美元跌至 59,100 美元,拖累其他加密货币也随之下跌。此次下跌恰逢 Mt. Gox 客户开始付款,这进一步导致了市场下跌。
Bitcoin ETF Updates: Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have been in the spotlight since their approval in January, which drove up excitement in the market. However, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has slowed down. According to Austin Reid from FalconX, this slowdown could help stabilize the market.
比特币ETF更新:比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)自一月份获得批准以来一直备受关注,这引发了市场的兴奋。然而,对现货比特币 ETF 的需求已经放缓。 FalconX 的 Austin Reid 表示,这种放缓可能有助于稳定市场。
Despite recent outflows, June ended on a positive note for Bitcoin ETFs, indicating renewed interest from investors. Matthew O’Neill from Financial Technology Partners believes the initial excitement over Bitcoin ETFs led to a price surge, followed by a natural correction. He sees the current decline as a buying opportunity before the next price increase.
尽管最近有资金流出,但 6 月份比特币 ETF 仍呈现积极走势,表明投资者重新燃起了兴趣。 Financial Technology Partners 的 Matthew O'Neill 认为,最初对比特币 ETF 的兴奋导致价格飙升,随后出现自然调整。他认为当前的下跌是下一次价格上涨之前的买入机会。
Attention is now shifting to Ethereum ETFs. Analysts predict that the launch of Ethereum ETFs could attract massive investment, potentially boosting the price of ETH by 23-28%. This could create a ripple effect, positively influencing the entire crypto market, including Bitcoin.
现在注意力正在转向以太坊 ETF。分析师预测,以太坊 ETF 的推出可能会吸引大量投资,有可能推动 ETH 价格上涨 23-28%。这可能会产生连锁反应,对包括比特币在内的整个加密市场产生积极影响。
Bitcoin’s Future: Experts have mixed opinions on Bitcoin’s future. Analysts from CryptoQuant expect the market to improve in the third quarter of 2024. They believe that recent declines are largely due to miners selling off their Bitcoin after the April halving, which reduced their profitability. As miners complete their sales, the market may stabilize.
比特币的未来:专家们对比特币的未来看法不一。 CryptoQuant 的分析师预计市场将在 2024 年第三季度有所改善。他们认为,最近的下跌主要是由于矿商在 4 月份减半后抛售比特币,从而降低了盈利能力。随着矿商完成销售,市场可能会稳定下来。
Former Goldman Sachs CEO Raoul Pal is optimistic about Bitcoin growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. He notes that risky assets like Bitcoin often rally during the U.S. presidential election period.
高盛前首席执行官 Raoul Pal 对 2024 年第四季度比特币的增长持乐观态度。他指出,比特币等风险资产经常在美国总统大选期间上涨。
For those investing in Bitcoin, it’s also essential to ensure your online activities are secure—ExpressVPN for Chrome can help protect your transactions and personal information.
对于那些投资比特币的人来说,确保您的在线活动安全也很重要——适用于 Chrome 的 ExpressVPN 可以帮助保护您的交易和个人信息。
Institutional Investors: Interest in crypto is growing among institutional investors. Fiorenzo Manganiello from LIAN Group predicts that by 2025, crypto ETFs will make up 5% of hedge fund and pension fund portfolios. This increasing interest is largely due to regulatory approvals, which are lending legitimacy to the market.
机构投资者:机构投资者对加密货币的兴趣正在增长。 LIAN Group 的 Fiorenzo Manganiello 预测,到 2025 年,加密 ETF 将占对冲基金和养老基金投资组合的 5%。这种兴趣的增加主要是由于监管部门的批准,这为市场提供了合法性。
Bitcoin Halving: In April 2024, Bitcoin’s halving event occurred, cutting mining rewards by half. This event has historically led to price increases. Previous halvings have resulted in significant long-term price gains. Although this year’s halving has not yet caused a major price surge, some experts believe it will eventually contribute to Bitcoin’s recovery.
比特币减半:2024年4月,比特币减半事件发生,挖矿奖励减半。从历史上看,这一事件曾导致价格上涨。之前的减半导致了长期价格的大幅上涨。尽管今年的减半尚未引起价格大幅上涨,但一些专家认为,这最终将有助于比特币的复苏。
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin has shown resilience in the past, recovering from significant downturns. It reached a high of $73,750 in March 2024 but has since faced a correction. Analysts believe that Bitcoin’s price could rise again, potentially reaching between $90,000 and $100,000 by the end of 2024.
比特币价格预测:比特币过去表现出了韧性,从严重的低迷中恢复过来。它于 2024 年 3 月达到 73,750 美元的高点,但此后面临回调。分析师认为,比特币的价格可能会再次上涨,到 2024 年底可能达到 9 万至 10 万美元。
FAQs
常见问题解答
Q: Why did Bitcoin’s price drop recently?
问:为什么最近比特币价格下跌?
A: Bitcoin’s recent price drop was influenced by several factors, including payments to Mt. Gox clients and miner sell-offs following the halving.
答:比特币最近的价格下跌受到多种因素的影响,包括向 Mt. Gox 客户的付款以及减半后矿工的抛售。
Q: What is the Fear and Greed Index?
问:什么是恐惧和贪婪指数?
A: The Fear and Greed Index measures the emotions and sentiments driving the crypto market. A lower score indicates fear, while a higher score indicates greed.
答:恐惧和贪婪指数衡量推动加密货币市场的情绪和情绪。较低的分数表示恐惧,而较高的分数表示贪婪。
Q: Will Bitcoin ETFs help the market recover?
问:比特币ETF会帮助市场复苏吗?
A: Bitcoin ETFs have attracted significant investment, which could help stabilize and potentially increase Bitcoin’s price over time.
答:比特币 ETF 吸引了大量投资,这可能有助于稳定并可能随着时间的推移提高比特币的价格。
Q: What impact will Ethereum ETFs have on the market?
问:以太坊ETF会对市场产生什么影响?
A: The launch of Ethereum ETFs is expected to attract massive investment, which could positively influence the entire crypto market, including Bitcoin.
答:以太坊 ETF 的推出预计将吸引大量投资,这可能会对包括比特币在内的整个加密市场产生积极影响。
Q: What is Bitcoin’s halving, and why is it important?
问:比特币减半是什么?为什么它很重要?
A: Bitcoin’s halving event reduces mining rewards by half, decreasing the supply growth rate. Historically, this has led
答:比特币减半事件使挖矿奖励减少一半,从而降低了供应增长率。从历史上看,这导致了
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