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比特幣在 3 月創下歷史新高後,價值已下跌約 13%。讓我們來探討一下正在發生的事情以及專家的說法
Bitcoin began 2024 on a high note, reaching a peak of around $73,750 in March. However, the cryptocurrency has since faced a correction, with its price dropping to around $59,100 last week. This decline was sparked by several factors, including payments to Mt. Gox clients and miner sell-offs following the halving.
比特幣在 2024 年伊始就處於高位,在 3 月達到了約 73,750 美元的峰值。然而,該加密貨幣此後面臨回調,上週其價格跌至 59,100 美元左右。這種下降是由多種因素引發的,包括向 Mt. Gox 客戶付款以及減半後礦工的拋售。
Despite the recent downturn, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Here's a closer look at what happened and what experts are saying about Bitcoin’s potential to bounce back from recent declines.
儘管近期經濟低迷,一些分析師仍然對比特幣的未來軌跡持樂觀態度。以下是對發生的事情以及專家對比特幣從最近的下跌中反彈的潛力的看法的更仔細的了解。
Fear and Greed Index: A measure of market sentiment, the Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market recently dropped to 30 points—the lowest since September 2023. This index gauges the emotions and sentiments that are driving the market. When the index moves toward fear, it often signals a bearish (downward) trend.
恐懼和貪婪指數:衡量市場情緒的指標,加密貨幣市場的恐懼和貪婪指數最近跌至 30 點,為 2023 年 9 月以來的最低水平。當指數走向恐懼時,通常預示著看跌(下降)趨勢。
Last week, Bitcoin’s price fell from $62,500 to $59,100, dragging other cryptocurrencies down with it. This drop coincided with the start of payments to Mt. Gox clients, which further contributed to the market's decline.
上週,比特幣的價格從 62,500 美元跌至 59,100 美元,拖累其他加密貨幣也隨之下跌。此次下跌恰逢 Mt. Gox 客戶開始付款,進一步導致了市場下跌。
Bitcoin ETF Updates: Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have been in the spotlight since their approval in January, which drove up excitement in the market. However, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has slowed down. According to Austin Reid from FalconX, this slowdown could help stabilize the market.
比特幣ETF更新:比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)自一月份獲得批准以來一直備受關注,這引發了市場的興奮。然而,對現貨比特幣 ETF 的需求已經放緩。 FalconX 的 Austin Reid 表示,這種放緩可能有助於穩定市場。
Despite recent outflows, June ended on a positive note for Bitcoin ETFs, indicating renewed interest from investors. Matthew O’Neill from Financial Technology Partners believes the initial excitement over Bitcoin ETFs led to a price surge, followed by a natural correction. He sees the current decline as a buying opportunity before the next price increase.
儘管最近有資金流出,但 6 月比特幣 ETF 仍呈現積極趨勢,顯示投資者重新燃起了興趣。 Financial Technology Partners 的 Matthew O'Neill 認為,最初對比特幣 ETF 的興奮導致價格飆升,隨後出現自然調整。他認為目前的下跌是下一次價格上漲之前的買入機會。
Attention is now shifting to Ethereum ETFs. Analysts predict that the launch of Ethereum ETFs could attract massive investment, potentially boosting the price of ETH by 23-28%. This could create a ripple effect, positively influencing the entire crypto market, including Bitcoin.
現在註意力正在轉向以太坊 ETF。分析師預測,以太坊 ETF 的推出可能會吸引大量投資,有可能推動 ETH 價格上漲 23-28%。這可能會產生連鎖反應,對包括比特幣在內的整個加密市場產生正面影響。
Bitcoin’s Future: Experts have mixed opinions on Bitcoin’s future. Analysts from CryptoQuant expect the market to improve in the third quarter of 2024. They believe that recent declines are largely due to miners selling off their Bitcoin after the April halving, which reduced their profitability. As miners complete their sales, the market may stabilize.
比特幣的未來:專家們對比特幣的未來看法不一。 CryptoQuant 的分析師預計市場將在 2024 年第三季有所改善。隨著礦商完成銷售,市場可能會穩定下來。
Former Goldman Sachs CEO Raoul Pal is optimistic about Bitcoin growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. He notes that risky assets like Bitcoin often rally during the U.S. presidential election period.
高盛前執行長 Raoul Pal 對 2024 年第四季比特幣的成長持樂觀態度。
For those investing in Bitcoin, it’s also essential to ensure your online activities are secure—ExpressVPN for Chrome can help protect your transactions and personal information.
對於那些投資比特幣的人來說,確保您的線上活動安全也很重要——適用於 Chrome 的 ExpressVPN 可以幫助保護您的交易和個人資訊。
Institutional Investors: Interest in crypto is growing among institutional investors. Fiorenzo Manganiello from LIAN Group predicts that by 2025, crypto ETFs will make up 5% of hedge fund and pension fund portfolios. This increasing interest is largely due to regulatory approvals, which are lending legitimacy to the market.
機構投資者:機構投資者對加密貨幣的興趣正在增長。 LIAN Group 的 Fiorenzo Manganiello 預測,到 2025 年,加密 ETF 將佔對沖基金和退休基金投資組合的 5%。這種興趣的增加主要是由於監管部門的批准,這為市場提供了合法性。
Bitcoin Halving: In April 2024, Bitcoin’s halving event occurred, cutting mining rewards by half. This event has historically led to price increases. Previous halvings have resulted in significant long-term price gains. Although this year’s halving has not yet caused a major price surge, some experts believe it will eventually contribute to Bitcoin’s recovery.
比特幣減半:2024年4月,比特幣減半事件發生,挖礦獎勵減半。從歷史上看,這一事件曾導致價格上漲。先前的減半導致了長期價格的大幅上漲。儘管今年的減半尚未引起價格大幅上漲,但一些專家認為,這最終將有助於比特幣的復甦。
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin has shown resilience in the past, recovering from significant downturns. It reached a high of $73,750 in March 2024 but has since faced a correction. Analysts believe that Bitcoin’s price could rise again, potentially reaching between $90,000 and $100,000 by the end of 2024.
比特幣價格預測:比特幣過去表現出了韌性,從嚴重的低迷中恢復過來。它於 2024 年 3 月達到 73,750 美元的高點,但此後面臨回調。分析師認為,比特幣的價格可能會再次上漲,到 2024 年底可能達到 9 萬至 10 萬美元。
FAQs
常見問題解答
Q: Why did Bitcoin’s price drop recently?
Q:為什麼最近比特幣價格下跌?
A: Bitcoin’s recent price drop was influenced by several factors, including payments to Mt. Gox clients and miner sell-offs following the halving.
答:比特幣最近的價格下跌受到多種因素的影響,包括向 Mt. Gox 客戶的付款以及減半後礦工的拋售。
Q: What is the Fear and Greed Index?
Q:什麼是恐懼和貪婪指數?
A: The Fear and Greed Index measures the emotions and sentiments driving the crypto market. A lower score indicates fear, while a higher score indicates greed.
答:恐懼和貪婪指數衡量推動加密貨幣市場的情緒和情緒。較低的分數表示恐懼,而較高的分數表示貪婪。
Q: Will Bitcoin ETFs help the market recover?
Q:比特幣ETF會幫助市場復甦嗎?
A: Bitcoin ETFs have attracted significant investment, which could help stabilize and potentially increase Bitcoin’s price over time.
答:比特幣 ETF 吸引了大量投資,這可能有助於穩定並可能隨著時間的推移提高比特幣的價格。
Q: What impact will Ethereum ETFs have on the market?
Q:以太坊ETF會對市場產生什麼影響?
A: The launch of Ethereum ETFs is expected to attract massive investment, which could positively influence the entire crypto market, including Bitcoin.
答:以太坊 ETF 的推出預計將吸引大量投資,這可能會對包括比特幣在內的整個加密市場產生積極影響。
Q: What is Bitcoin’s halving, and why is it important?
Q:比特幣減半是什麼?
A: Bitcoin’s halving event reduces mining rewards by half, decreasing the supply growth rate. Historically, this has led
答:比特幣減半事件使挖礦獎勵減少一半,進而降低了供應成長率。從歷史上看,這導致了
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