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这表明了为什么聆听其他人对市场的看法并不总是一个好主意。当价格下跌时,许多交易者恐慌并出售。
Bitcoin (BTC) price bounced back up to $84,500 on Friday, showing why listening to what everyone else says about the market isn't always a good idea. Many traders panic and sell when prices go down. But history shows that markets often do the opposite of what most people expect.
比特币(BTC)的价格在周五返回了84,500美元,这表明了为什么聆听其他所有人对市场的看法并不总是一个好主意。当价格下跌时,许多交易者恐慌并出售。但是历史表明,市场通常与大多数人期望的相反。
Bitcoin Dropped to $78K – What Happened Next?
比特币跌至78K $ - 接下来发生了什么?
Earlier this week, BTC fell to $78,000, and many people online thought it would drop even lower. Social media was full of fear. This was just like what happened in February. Back then, people were also massively bearish and predicted that BTC would fall further. But instead, it bounced back up in early March.
本周早些时候,BTC跌至78,000美元,许多人在线认为它会下降。社交媒体充满了恐惧。就像二月发生的一样。那时,人们也很容易看跌,并预测BTC会进一步降临。但是相反,它在3月初反弹。
According to Santiment, a market research firm, when fear is high, BTC usually manages to rise. And when too many people think Bitcoin will keep going up forever, it usually drops.
根据Santiment的说法,一家市场研究公司(当恐惧较高时,BTC通常都会上升。当太多的人认为比特币会永远上升时,通常会下降。
"When everyone is scared and selling their BTC, it means there are fewer people left to sell, which can cause the price to go back up. On the other hand, when too many people think BTC will hit new highs, they all rush to buy. But when there are no more buyers left, the price can fall suddenly."
“当每个人都害怕并出售自己的BTC时,这意味着剩下的人剩下的人更少,这可能会导致价格恢复。另一方面,当太多的人认为BTC会碰到新的高点时,他们都急于购买。但是,当没有更多的买家剩下的买家时,价格可能会突然下跌。”
This is why following the crowd can be risky, the crypto analytics platform noted.
加密分析平台指出,这就是为什么跟随人群可能会冒险的原因。
Technical Signals That Support Bitcoin's Move
支持比特币举动的技术信号
Some crypto experts also saw clues that BTC might go up. For example, Rekt Capital pointed out that the recent move from Bitcoin means that the price is increasingly filling the CME Gap, which is located between $82,245 and $87,000.
一些加密专家还看到了BTC可能上升的线索。例如,Rekt Capital指出,最近从比特币转移意味着价格越来越多地填补了CME差距,该差距的价格在82,245美元至87,000美元之间。
This is interesting because, in previous bull markets, the price used to completely clear out the CME Gaps, the crypto analyst stated.
这位加密分析师说,这很有趣,因为在以前的牛市中,用来完全清除CME差距的价格。
Moreover, Bitcoins 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a golden cross.
此外,比特币50天移动平均线超过200天移动平均线,形成了金十字架。
This has happened before big Bitcoin rallies. For instance, in 2016, the price went up by 139% after the golden cross, in 2017, it rose by 2,200%, and in 2020, it went up by 1,190%.
这发生在大比特币集会之前。例如,在2016年,在黄金十字架(Golden Cross)(2017年)的价格上涨了139%,增长了2,200%,在2020年,价格上涨了1,190%。
This means BTC could go even higher if history repeats itself.
这意味着,如果历史重演,BTC可能会变得更高。
What's Next for Bitcoin?
比特币的下一步是什么?
Right now, BTC is trading at $84,145, still down 22.7% from its all-time high of $108,786. However, the market looks stronger than before. The recent price movement could mean Bitcoin is ready to go higher.
目前,BTC的交易价格为84,145美元,其历史最高点的售价仍然低于108,786美元。但是,市场看起来比以前更强大。最近的价格变动可能意味着比特币已经准备好提高。
Despite the recent recovery, traders should be cautious. When too many people expect Bitcoin to rise quickly, there’s always a chance for another drop.
尽管最近恢复了,但交易者应该谨慎。当太多的人期望比特币会迅速上升时,总会有可能再下降的机会。
Instead of following the crowd, smart traders watch for key signs and make their own decisions. This includes considering technical indicators, analyzing market trends, and evaluating fundamental factors that could influence the cryptocurrency's value.
Smart Traders没有跟随人群,而是注意关键标志并做出自己的决定。这包括考虑技术指标,分析市场趋势以及评估可能影响加密货币价值的基本因素。
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