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這表明了為什麼聆聽其他人對市場的看法並不總是一個好主意。當價格下跌時,許多交易者恐慌並出售。
Bitcoin (BTC) price bounced back up to $84,500 on Friday, showing why listening to what everyone else says about the market isn't always a good idea. Many traders panic and sell when prices go down. But history shows that markets often do the opposite of what most people expect.
比特幣(BTC)的價格在周五返回了84,500美元,這表明了為什麼聆聽其他所有人對市場的看法並不總是一個好主意。當價格下跌時,許多交易者恐慌並出售。但是歷史表明,市場通常與大多數人期望的相反。
Bitcoin Dropped to $78K – What Happened Next?
比特幣跌至78K $ - 接下來發生了什麼?
Earlier this week, BTC fell to $78,000, and many people online thought it would drop even lower. Social media was full of fear. This was just like what happened in February. Back then, people were also massively bearish and predicted that BTC would fall further. But instead, it bounced back up in early March.
本週早些時候,BTC跌至78,000美元,許多人在線認為它會下降。社交媒體充滿了恐懼。就像二月發生的一樣。那時,人們也很容易看跌,並預測BTC會進一步降臨。但是相反,它在3月初反彈。
According to Santiment, a market research firm, when fear is high, BTC usually manages to rise. And when too many people think Bitcoin will keep going up forever, it usually drops.
根據Santiment的說法,一家市場研究公司(當恐懼較高時,BTC通常都會上升。當太多的人認為比特幣會永遠上升時,通常會下降。
"When everyone is scared and selling their BTC, it means there are fewer people left to sell, which can cause the price to go back up. On the other hand, when too many people think BTC will hit new highs, they all rush to buy. But when there are no more buyers left, the price can fall suddenly."
“當每個人都害怕並出售自己的BTC時,這意味著剩下的人剩下的人更少,這可能會導致價格恢復。另一方面,當太多的人認為BTC會碰到新的高點時,他們都急於購買。但是,當沒有更多的買家剩下的買家時,價格可能會突然下跌。”
This is why following the crowd can be risky, the crypto analytics platform noted.
加密分析平台指出,這就是為什麼跟隨人群可能會冒險的原因。
Technical Signals That Support Bitcoin's Move
支持比特幣舉動的技術信號
Some crypto experts also saw clues that BTC might go up. For example, Rekt Capital pointed out that the recent move from Bitcoin means that the price is increasingly filling the CME Gap, which is located between $82,245 and $87,000.
一些加密專家還看到了BTC可能上升的線索。例如,Rekt Capital指出,最近從比特幣轉移意味著價格越來越多地填補了CME差距,該差距的價格在82,245美元至87,000美元之間。
This is interesting because, in previous bull markets, the price used to completely clear out the CME Gaps, the crypto analyst stated.
這位加密分析師說,這很有趣,因為在以前的牛市中,用來完全清除CME差距的價格。
Moreover, Bitcoins 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a golden cross.
此外,比特幣50天移動平均線超過200天移動平均線,形成了金十字架。
This has happened before big Bitcoin rallies. For instance, in 2016, the price went up by 139% after the golden cross, in 2017, it rose by 2,200%, and in 2020, it went up by 1,190%.
這發生在大比特幣集會之前。例如,在2016年,在黃金十字架(Golden Cross)(2017年)的價格上漲了139%,增長了2,200%,在2020年,價格上漲了1,190%。
This means BTC could go even higher if history repeats itself.
這意味著,如果歷史重演,BTC可能會變得更高。
What's Next for Bitcoin?
比特幣的下一步是什麼?
Right now, BTC is trading at $84,145, still down 22.7% from its all-time high of $108,786. However, the market looks stronger than before. The recent price movement could mean Bitcoin is ready to go higher.
目前,BTC的交易價格為84,145美元,其歷史最高點的售價仍然低於108,786美元。但是,市場看起來比以前更強大。最近的價格變動可能意味著比特幣已經準備好提高。
Despite the recent recovery, traders should be cautious. When too many people expect Bitcoin to rise quickly, there’s always a chance for another drop.
儘管最近恢復了,但交易者應該謹慎。當太多的人期望比特幣會迅速上升時,總會有可能再下降的機會。
Instead of following the crowd, smart traders watch for key signs and make their own decisions. This includes considering technical indicators, analyzing market trends, and evaluating fundamental factors that could influence the cryptocurrency's value.
Smart Traders沒有跟隨人群,而是注意關鍵標誌並做出自己的決定。這包括考慮技術指標,分析市場趨勢以及評估可能影響加密貨幣價值的基本因素。
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