为什么比特币价格将达到 50 万美元

Cardano 创始人兼以太坊联合创始人 Charles Hoskinson 预测比特币价格可能达到 25 万至 50 万美元

Bitcoin price is anticipated to reach new heights in the coming years, thanks to several key developments within the cryptocurrency's ecosystem, according to Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano and a co-founder of Ethereum.

卡尔达诺创始人兼以太坊联合创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森 (Charles Hoskinson) 表示，由于加密货币生态系统内的几项关键发展，比特币价格预计在未来几年将达到新的高度。

In a livestream on November 26, 2024, Hoskinson shared his bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC), attributing the potential surge to a combination of factors, including government discussions regarding a strategic Bitcoin reserve and the integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) capabilities into the network.

在 2024 年 11 月 26 日的直播中，霍斯金森分享了他对比特币 (BTC) 的看好前景，将潜在的飙升归因于多种因素，包括政府关于战略性比特币储备的讨论以及将去中心化金融 (DeFi) 功能整合到市场中。网络。

Bitcoin Price to Hit $500,000

比特币价格将触及 50 万美元

Having commenced his cryptocurrency journey with Bitcoin, Hoskinson expressed renewed enthusiasm for the original cryptocurrency's future. “The revelation of this and after reviewing the technology realizing that it actually has a path to work reinvigorated my love of the ecosystem because Bitcoin went from a sleeping giant never to awaken in an innovation coma to an awakened giant,” he stated.

霍斯金森开始了他的比特币加密货币之旅，他对原始加密货币的未来表达了新的热情。他表示：“这一发现以及在审查该技术后意识到它实际上有一条可行的道路，重新激发了我对生态系统的热爱，因为比特币从一个在创新昏迷中永远不会醒来的沉睡巨人变成了一个觉醒的巨人。”

He highlighted the advancements enabled by Bitcoin's Taproot upgrade, which, together with technologies like BitVM and FairGate, is unlocking a degree of programmability that was previously unattainable on the Bitcoin network. These innovations are paving the way for the creation of a DeFi layer on Bitcoin.

他强调了比特币 Taproot 升级带来的进步，该升级与 BitVM 和 FairGate 等技术一起，解锁了比特币网络之前无法实现的一定程度的可编程性。这些创新为在比特币上创建 DeFi 层铺平了道路。

Hoskinson went on to predict that DeFi within the Bitcoin ecosystem will surpass all other blockchain ecosystems in the next two to three years. “It is my belief that DeFi in the Bitcoin ecosystem will eclipse DeFi in all ecosystems in the cryptocurrency industry within 24 months to 36 months,” he asserted.

Hoskinson 继续预测，比特币生态系统中的 DeFi 将在未来两到三年内超越所有其他区块链生态系统。他断言：“我相信，比特币生态系统中的 DeFi 将在 24 个月到 36 个月内超越加密货币行业所有生态系统中的 DeFi。”

He attributed this anticipated dominance to Bitcoin's unparalleled scale and liquidity, noting “as good as Ethereum can be and Solana can be and Cardono can be, let’s be intellectually honest about this. Governments are talking about a strategic reserve of Bitcoin and Bitcoin alone it’s their entry point and perhaps in five or 10 or 15 years that dialogue will change.”

他将这种预期的主导地位归因于比特币无与伦比的规模和流动性，并指出“尽管以太坊、Solana 和 Cardono 都可以做到这一点，但让我们在理智上诚实地对待这一点。各国政府正在谈论比特币的战略储备，而比特币本身就是他们的切入点，也许在五年、十年或十五年内，这种对话将会改变。”

This factor, the Cardano founder predicts, will massively contribute to the Bitcoin price. “It is my belief that Bitcoin is going to go to a quarter million to half million dollars within the next 12 to 24 months because of the investment inflows and the great interest that has been achieved,” Hoskinson predicted.

卡尔达诺创始人预测，这一因素将对比特币价格产生巨大影响。霍斯金森预测：“我相信，由于投资流入和已经产生的巨大兴趣，比特币将在未来 12 到 24 个月内达到 25 万到 50 万美元。”

Cardano x Bitcoin DeFi

卡尔达诺 x 比特币 DeFi

Touching upon the potential impact of Bitcoin's DeFi space, Hoskinson emphasized the importance of ensuring Cardano's involvement. “One of the big strategic priorities for me in 2025 is making sure that Cardano doesn’t get left out of this story,” he said. He highlighted Cardano's suitability as a platform for developing hybrid applications that operate on both Bitcoin and Cardano networks.

在谈到比特币 DeFi 领域的潜在影响时，霍斯金森强调了确保卡尔达诺参与的重要性。 “对我来说，2025 年的一大战略重点是确保卡尔达诺不会被排除在这个故事之外，”他说。他强调了卡尔达诺适合作为开发在比特币和卡尔达诺网络上运行的混合应用程序的平台。

Hoskinson detailed how Cardano could facilitate interoperability with Bitcoin through the use of wrapped BTC tokens on the Cardano blockchain, enabled by trustless bridge mechanisms and virtual machines like BitVM. These bridges would allow Bitcoin holders to participate in DeFi activities on Cardano without relinquishing custody of their assets or relying on centralized exchanges.

Hoskinson 详细介绍了 Cardano 如何通过在 Cardano 区块链上使用包装的 BTC 代币来促进与比特币的互操作性，这由无需信任的桥接机制和 BitVM 等虚拟机实现。这些桥梁将允许比特币持有者参与卡尔达诺上的 DeFi 活动，而无需放弃对其资产的托管或依赖中心化交易所。

Acknowledging the Bitcoin community's preference for using Bitcoin exclusively, Hoskinson emphasized that any interoperability solutions must align with this ethos. “It’s very clear to me that that model must include and ought to include, has to include an option where you always pay with your Bitcoin. Other tokens pollute this narrative and, frankly speaking, will ensure the failure of the project,” he explained.

霍斯金森承认比特币社区倾向于只使用比特币，他强调任何互操作性解决方案都必须符合这种精神。 “我很清楚，该模型必须包括并且应该包括，必须包括您始终使用比特币支付的选项。其他代币污染了这种叙述，坦率地说，将确保该项目的失败，”他解释道。

By leveraging technologies like Babel fees, Hoskinson aims to allow users to pay transaction fees in Bitcoin, maintaining a seamless experience for Bitcoin users engaging with DeFi on Cardano.

通过利用 Babel 费用等技术，Hoskinson 的目标是允许用户用比特币支付交易费用，为比特币用户在 Cardano 上参与 DeFi 保持无缝体验。

Hoskinson revealed ongoing collaborations with key figures in the space, including Sergio Lerner, known for his work on FairGate, BitVM, and BitVMx. He also mentioned the successful test of a Halo 2 verification on Cardano’s mainnet, a significant milestone demonstrating Cardano’s capability to handle advanced cryptographic proofs with minimal transaction fees.

Hoskinson 透露了与该领域关键人物的持续合作，其中包括因在 FairGate、BitVM 和 BitVMx 方面的工作而闻名的 Sergio Lerner。他还提到了卡尔达诺主网上 Halo 2 验证的成功测试，这是一个重要的里程碑，表明卡尔达诺有能力以最低的交易费用处理高级加密证明。

“On the Cardano mainnet, thanks to Plutus V3, we tested our very first Halo 2 verification […] The transaction fee for this is just 2 ADA for a very large proof,” Hoskinson noted.

“在 Cardano 主网上，借助 Plutus V3，我们测试了我们的第一个 Halo 2 验证 […] 对于一个非常大的证明，交易费用仅为 2 ADA，”Hoskinson 指出。

Looking ahead, Hoskinson outlined plans to upgrade Cardano's Lace wallet to support Bitcoin in 2025, enhancing interoperability and user experience. “The DApp store in Lace will enable this Bitcoin-style DeFi,” he said. He also expressed intentions to engage with other Bitcoin ecosystem participants, such as the Ordinals community, to foster collaboration.

展望未来，Hoskinson 概述了在 2025 年升级 Cardano 的 Lace 钱包以支持比特币的计划，从而增强互操作性和用户体验。 “Lace 中的 DApp 商店将使这种比特币式的 DeFi 成为可能，”他说。他还表示有意与 Ordinals 社区等其他比特币生态系统参与者合作，以促进合作。

Hoskinson concluded with a reaffirmation of his commitment to advancing Bitcoin and Cardano's interoperability: “We’re just going to get it done. We’re just going to figure it out one way or the other, and it’s a high priority for us.”

霍斯金森最后重申了他对推进比特币和卡尔达诺互操作性的承诺：“我们只会完成它。我们只是想以一种或另一种方式解决这个问题，这对我们来说是重中之重。”

At press time, ADA traded at $0.9768.

截至发稿时，ADA 交易价格为 0.9768 美元。