為什麼比特幣價格將達到 50 萬美元

Cardano 創辦人兼以太坊聯合創始人 Charles Hoskinson 預測比特幣價格可能達到 25 萬至 50 萬美元

Bitcoin price is anticipated to reach new heights in the coming years, thanks to several key developments within the cryptocurrency's ecosystem, according to Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano and a co-founder of Ethereum.

卡爾達諾創始人兼以太坊聯合創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森 (Charles Hoskinson) 表示，由於加密貨幣生態系統內的幾項關鍵發展，比特幣價格預計在未來幾年將達到新的高度。

In a livestream on November 26, 2024, Hoskinson shared his bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC), attributing the potential surge to a combination of factors, including government discussions regarding a strategic Bitcoin reserve and the integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) capabilities into the network.

在2024 年11 月26 日的直播中，霍斯金森分享了他對比特幣(BTC) 的看好前景，將潛在的飆升歸因於多種因素，包括政府關於戰略性比特幣儲備的討論以及將去中心化金融(DeFi) 功能整合到市場中。

Bitcoin Price to Hit $500,000

比特幣價格將觸及 50 萬美元

Having commenced his cryptocurrency journey with Bitcoin, Hoskinson expressed renewed enthusiasm for the original cryptocurrency's future. “The revelation of this and after reviewing the technology realizing that it actually has a path to work reinvigorated my love of the ecosystem because Bitcoin went from a sleeping giant never to awaken in an innovation coma to an awakened giant,” he stated.

霍斯金森開始了他的比特幣加密貨幣之旅，他對原始加密貨幣的未來表達了新的熱情。他表示：「這項發現以及在審查該技術後意識到它實際上有一條可行的道路，重新激發了我對生態系統的熱愛，因為比特幣從一個在創新昏迷中永遠不會醒來的沉睡巨人變成了一個覺醒的巨人。

He highlighted the advancements enabled by Bitcoin's Taproot upgrade, which, together with technologies like BitVM and FairGate, is unlocking a degree of programmability that was previously unattainable on the Bitcoin network. These innovations are paving the way for the creation of a DeFi layer on Bitcoin.

他強調了比特幣 Taproot 升級的進步，該升級與 BitVM 和 FairGate 等技術一起，解鎖了比特幣網路之前無法實現的一定程度的可編程性。這些創新為在比特幣上創建 DeFi 層鋪平了道路。

Hoskinson went on to predict that DeFi within the Bitcoin ecosystem will surpass all other blockchain ecosystems in the next two to three years. “It is my belief that DeFi in the Bitcoin ecosystem will eclipse DeFi in all ecosystems in the cryptocurrency industry within 24 months to 36 months,” he asserted.

Hoskinson 繼續預測，比特幣生態系統中的 DeFi 將在未來兩到三年內超越所有其他區塊鏈生態系統。他斷言：“我相信，比特幣生態系統中的 DeFi 將在 24 個月到 36 個月內超越加密貨幣行業所有生態系統中的 DeFi。”

He attributed this anticipated dominance to Bitcoin's unparalleled scale and liquidity, noting “as good as Ethereum can be and Solana can be and Cardono can be, let’s be intellectually honest about this. Governments are talking about a strategic reserve of Bitcoin and Bitcoin alone it’s their entry point and perhaps in five or 10 or 15 years that dialogue will change.”

他將這種預期的主導地位歸因於比特幣無與倫比的規模和流動性，並指出「儘管以太坊、Solana 和 Cardono 都可以做到這一點，但讓我們在理智上誠實地對待這一點。各國政府正在談論比特幣的戰略儲備，而比特幣本身就是他們的切入點，也許在五年、十年或十五年內，這種對話將會改變。

This factor, the Cardano founder predicts, will massively contribute to the Bitcoin price. “It is my belief that Bitcoin is going to go to a quarter million to half million dollars within the next 12 to 24 months because of the investment inflows and the great interest that has been achieved,” Hoskinson predicted.

卡爾達諾創辦人預測，這項因素將對比特幣價格產生巨大影響。霍斯金森預測：“我相信，由於投資流入和已經產生的巨大興趣，比特幣將在未來 12 到 24 個月內達到 25 萬到 50 萬美元。”

Cardano x Bitcoin DeFi

卡爾達諾 x 比特幣 DeFi

Touching upon the potential impact of Bitcoin's DeFi space, Hoskinson emphasized the importance of ensuring Cardano's involvement. “One of the big strategic priorities for me in 2025 is making sure that Cardano doesn’t get left out of this story,” he said. He highlighted Cardano's suitability as a platform for developing hybrid applications that operate on both Bitcoin and Cardano networks.

在談到比特幣 DeFi 領域的潛在影響時，霍斯金森強調了確保卡爾達諾參與的重要性。 「對我來說，2025 年的一大戰略重點是確保卡爾達諾不會被排除在這個故事之外，」他說。他強調了卡爾達諾適合作為開發在比特幣和卡爾達諾網路上運行的混合應用程式的平台。

Hoskinson detailed how Cardano could facilitate interoperability with Bitcoin through the use of wrapped BTC tokens on the Cardano blockchain, enabled by trustless bridge mechanisms and virtual machines like BitVM. These bridges would allow Bitcoin holders to participate in DeFi activities on Cardano without relinquishing custody of their assets or relying on centralized exchanges.

Hoskinson 詳細介紹了 Cardano 如何透過在 Cardano 區塊鏈上使用包裝的 BTC 代幣來促進與比特幣的互通性，這由無需信任的橋接機制和 BitVM 等虛擬機實現。這些橋樑將允許比特幣持有者參與卡爾達諾上的 DeFi 活動，而無需放棄對其資產的託管或依賴中心化交易所。

Acknowledging the Bitcoin community's preference for using Bitcoin exclusively, Hoskinson emphasized that any interoperability solutions must align with this ethos. “It’s very clear to me that that model must include and ought to include, has to include an option where you always pay with your Bitcoin. Other tokens pollute this narrative and, frankly speaking, will ensure the failure of the project,” he explained.

霍斯金森承認比特幣社群傾向於只使用比特幣，他強調任何互通性解決方案都必須符合這種精神。 「我很清楚，該模型必須包括並且應該包括，必須包括您始終使用比特幣支付的選項。其他代幣污染了這種敘述，坦率地說，將確保該項目的失敗，」他解釋道。

By leveraging technologies like Babel fees, Hoskinson aims to allow users to pay transaction fees in Bitcoin, maintaining a seamless experience for Bitcoin users engaging with DeFi on Cardano.

透過利用 Babel 費用等技術，Hoskinson 的目標是允許用戶用比特幣支付交易費用，為比特幣用戶在 Cardano 上參與 DeFi 保持無縫體驗。

Hoskinson revealed ongoing collaborations with key figures in the space, including Sergio Lerner, known for his work on FairGate, BitVM, and BitVMx. He also mentioned the successful test of a Halo 2 verification on Cardano’s mainnet, a significant milestone demonstrating Cardano’s capability to handle advanced cryptographic proofs with minimal transaction fees.

Hoskinson 透露了與該領域關鍵人物的持續合作，其中包括因在 FairGate、BitVM 和 BitVMx 方面的工作而聞名的 Sergio Lerner。他還提到了卡爾達諾主網上 Halo 2 驗證的成功測試，這是一個重要的里程碑，表明卡爾達諾有能力以最低的交易費用處理高級加密證明。

“On the Cardano mainnet, thanks to Plutus V3, we tested our very first Halo 2 verification […] The transaction fee for this is just 2 ADA for a very large proof,” Hoskinson noted.

「在 Cardano 主網上，借助 Plutus V3，我們測試了我們的第一個 Halo 2 驗證 […] 對於一個非常大的證明，交易費用僅為 2 ADA，」Hoskinson 指出。

Looking ahead, Hoskinson outlined plans to upgrade Cardano's Lace wallet to support Bitcoin in 2025, enhancing interoperability and user experience. “The DApp store in Lace will enable this Bitcoin-style DeFi,” he said. He also expressed intentions to engage with other Bitcoin ecosystem participants, such as the Ordinals community, to foster collaboration.

展望未來，Hoskinson 概述了在 2025 年升級 Cardano 的 Lace 錢包以支援比特幣的計劃，從而增強互通性和用戶體驗。 「Lace 中的 DApp 商店將使這種比特幣式的 DeFi 成為可能，」他說。他還表示有意與 Ordinals 社群等其他比特幣生態系統參與者合作，以促進合作。

Hoskinson concluded with a reaffirmation of his commitment to advancing Bitcoin and Cardano's interoperability: “We’re just going to get it done. We’re just going to figure it out one way or the other, and it’s a high priority for us.”

霍斯金森最後重申了他對推進比特幣和卡爾達諾互通性的承諾：「我們只會完成它。我們只是想以一種或另一種方式解決這個問題，這對我們來說是重中之重。

At press time, ADA traded at $0.9768.

截至發稿時，ADA 交易價格為 0.9768 美元。